7:30 Wolverhampton Tips

MY NAP FOR TODAY TAKES US TO THE 7.30 AT WOLVERHAMPTON. BALDING AND MURPHY TEAM UP WITH FAHIDI. STEP UP IN TRIP CERTAINLY HAS HELPED, AND DEFINITELY TICKS ALL MY BOXES.

I did expect a better price than the current price of 7/2 for Everyoneknowsadave. However, I still think he has the best form in the race.

Down the field at Kempton thirteen days ago but will no doubt come on appreciably for that first outing since June. He's on a very competitive mark, three pounds below his last win, and the much-underrated Callum Shepherd, who is two from five aboard the gelding, takes the ride.

Don't take any lower than 7.50 (13/2) odds on the bet. Model says fair odds are 7.08 - anything above that is positive value Positive expected value bet +

Lightly raced 3yo filly who has been racing over longer trips. Some good bits of form this year, the slow ground probably not helping in her last two run. Her last run over this 12f trip was in July, 2nd of 10 that day in a decent class 4 turf contest - now running in an AW class 5. Just one previous run on the AW, it came at this track and she was only beaten 2L that day.

DREAM HARDER wouldn't be my outsider of this field so is probably value at this price. He's two pounds lighter than two recent runs at Southwell, that showed glimpses of ability and might be able to turn the corner soon. Gets the champion jockey Billy the Kid in the saddle, so maybe there's still some life in him.

Won on the turf last time out and not as exposed on an all weather surface, so not impossible to imagine the grey doubling up

Made All's last visit to Wolves was a CD handicap victory in March. Slightly stronger race today but he is 1lb lower and having won over hurdles recently he still retains ability.