Australian Open Tennis Preview, Stats & Analysis

The season's first Grand Slam fires up on Melbourne's hard courts, with Carlos Alcaraz and Elena Rybakina defending their titles. We break down the men's and women's contenders, the latest odds, ten-year winner trends and hard-court form across both singles draws.
Australian Open Tennis Preview, Stats & Analysis
James Banting
James Banting Content Editor

Ever feel like you’re guessing when betting on tennis, cricket or golf? I make sense of the stats and trends so you can bet confidently and enjoy watching your bets play out.

Australian Open Information

Step onto the court with our meticulously crafted Australian Open Tennis Betting Guide. Immerse yourself in trend analysis and expert assessments, as we serve up a strategic approach for your betting game during one of tennis's grandest tournaments and the first Grand Slam of the season.

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📊🎾 Gain insights and check the chance of champions like Sinner & Sabalenka and unwrap the secrets to an informed bet!

When is the Australian Open Tournament?

The 2027 Australian Open dates are to be confirmed in due course.

How can I bet on the Australian Open Tennis Tournament?

If you are new to tennis betting you may wish to check out the best tennis betting sites. We've gathered data on over 60 UK bookmakers, measuring their tennis output and providing useful reviews and information regarding the best bookies to use for your tennis bets. There are also offers and promos which may help maximise your tennis betting experience.

Take a look at our Tennis Betting Advice Guide which explains the various tennis betting markets available and important factors to consider like the different match surfaces (clay, hard court, grass, indoor etc).

Before finalising your Australian Open bets check out the Australian Open tennis tips throughout the tournament, plus the thoughts and predictions from OLBG's most profitable tennis tipsters over on the Best Tennis Tipsters page.

Who won the 2026 Australian Open Men's Singles Title?

Spain's Carlos Alcaraz became the youngest player to complete a career grand slam (winning all 4 major titles) at the age of 22 after defeating Novak Djokovic 3-1 (2-6, 6-2, 6-3, 7-5) in the Australian Open final.

Who won the 2026 Australian Open Women's Singles Title?

Elena Rybakina won her first Australian Open title after defeating the number 1 seed Aryna Sabalenka 2-1 (6-4, 4-6, 6-4) in the final.

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Australian Open Men's Singles Betting Guide

Who will win the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles Title?

Carlos Alcaraz of Spain is the defending Australian Open Men's champion. Before we take a closer look at the main contenders in the Australian Open Men's Singles draw here are the latest 2027 Australian Open Men's Odds:

2027 Australian Open 31 Jan @ 08:30 - Win Tournament
Carlos Alcaraz2.10
Jannik Sinner2.20
Alexander Zverev8.00
Novak Djokovic13.00
Ben Shelton17.00
Rafael Jodar21.00
Taylor Fritz29.00
Jack Draper29.00
Arthur Fils34.00
Lorenzo Musetti34.00

OLBG's knowledgeable tennis tipsters provide their analysis and ante-post selections for the Australian Open Men's Singles Winner plus daily tennis predictions throughout the Australian Open tournament.

Here's the top ten players in the world at the time of writing (16th January 2026):

1. Carlos Alcaraz (Age 22)

  • Career hard court wins/matches: 125/156 (80%)
  • 2025 hard court: 28 wins 4 defeats (88%), 3 titles
  • Australian Open Best: W (2026)
  • US Open 2026: 

2. Jannik Sinner (Age 24)

  • Career hard court wins/matches: 165/216 (76%)
  • 2025 hard court: 24 wins 3 defeats (89%), 2 titles
  • Australian Open Best: W (2024 & 2025)
  • US Open 2026:

3. Alexander Zverev (Age 28)

  • Career hard court wins/matches: 249/371 (67%)
  • 2025 hard court: 24 wins 9 defeats (73%), 0 titles
  • Australian Open Best: RU (2025)
  • US Open 2026:

4. Novak Djokovic (Age 38)

  • Career hard court wins/matches: 584/683 (86%)
  • 2025 hard court: 21 wins 7 defeats (75%), 0 titles
  • Australian Open Best: 10 titles between 2008 and 2023
  • US Open 2026:

5. Lorenzo Musetti (Age 23)

  • Career hard court wins/matches: 82/142 (58%)
  • 2025 hard court: 18 wins 11 defeats (62%), 0 titles
  • Australian Open Best: QF (retired) (2026)
  • US Open 2026:

6. Alex De Minaur (Age 26)

  • Career hard court wins/matches: 219/322 (68%)
  • 2025 hard court: 31 wins 11 defeats (74%), 1 title
  • Australian Open Best: QF (2025 & 2026)
  • US Open 2026:

7. Felix Auger-Aliassime (Age 25)

  • Career hard court wins/matches: 142/238 (60%)
  • 2025 hard court: 25 wins 10 defeats (71%), 1 title
  • Australian Open Best: QF (2022)
  • US Open 2026:

8. Ben Shelton (Age 23)

  • Career hard court wins/matches: 90/138 (65%)
  • 2025 hard court: 23 wins 9 defeats (72%), 1 title
  • Australian Open Best: SF (2025)
  • US Open 2026: 

9. Taylor Fritz (Age 28)

  • Career hard court wins/matches: 283/423 (67%)
  • 2025 hard court: 31 wins 12 defeats (72%), 1 title
  • Australian Open Best: QF (2024)
  • US Open 2026: 

10. Jack Draper (Age 24) *absent

  • Career hard court wins/matches: 122/172 (71%)
  • 2025 hard court: 14 wins 4 defeats (78%), 1 title
  • Australian Open Best: 4R (2025)
  • US Open 2026:

For more in-depth player stats head over to the official ATP Tour website, the full 2027 Australian Open Men's Draw when known will be available to view on the official Australian Open website.

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Australian Open Men's Singles Last Ten Winners

Here's a table showing the last ten Australian Open Men's Singles winners including the beaten finalist and set scores:

YearChampion (World Ranking)Runner Up (WR)Set Score
2026Carlos Alcaraz (1)Novak Djokovic (4)3-1
2025Jannik Sinner (1)Alexander Zverev (2)3-0
2024Jannik Sinner (4)Daniil Medvedev (3)3-2
2023Novak Djokovic (5)Stefanos Tsitsipas (4)3-0
2022Rafa Nadal (5)Daniil Medvedev (2)3-2
2021Novak Djokovic (1)Daniil Medvedev (4)3-0
2020Novak Djokovic (2)Dominic Thiem (5)3-2
2019Novak Djokovic (1)Rafael Nadal (2)3-0
2018Roger Federer (2)Marin Cilic (6)3-2
2017Roger Federer (17)Rafael Nadal (9)3-2

Spain's Carlos Alcaraz won his first Australian Open title and in the process became the youngest player in history at the age of 22 to record a career grand slam winning all four major mens tennis titles.

Australian Open Ladies Singles Betting Guide

Who will win the 2027 Australian Open Women's Singles Title?

Elena Rybakina is the defending champion. Before we take a closer look at the main contenders here are the latest 2027 Australian Open Women's Odds:

2027 Australian Open Women 31 Jan @ 08:00 - Win Tournament
Aryna Sabalenka2.75
Elena Rybakina4.50
Iga Swiatek5.00
Coco Gauff8.00
Mirra Andreeva13.00
Amanda Anisimova17.00
Linda Noskova19.00
Qinwen Zheng21.00
Naomi Osaka21.00
Alexandra Eala21.00

Here is the top ten ladies in the world (correct on 16th January 2026):

1. Aryna Sabalenka (Age 27)

  • Career hard court wins/matches: 304/408 (75%)
  • 2025 hard court: 36 wins 6 defeats (86%), 3 titles + 1 in 2026
  • Australian Open Best: Won (2023 & 2024)
  • US Open 2026:

2. Iga Swiatek (Age 24)

  • Career hard court wins/matches: 210/266 (79%)
  • 2025 hard court: 41 wins 10 defeats (80%), 2 titles
  • Australian Open Best: SF (2022 & 2025)
  • US Open 2026:

3. Coco Gauff (Age 21)

  • Career hard court wins/matches: 173/243 (71%)
  • 2025 hard court: 30 wins 9 defeats (77%), 2 titles
  • Australian Open Best: SF (2024)
  • US Open 2026:

4. Amanda Anisimova (Age 24)

  • Career hard court wins/matches: 134/212 (63%)
  • 2025 hard court: 26 wins 9 defeats (74%), 2 titles
  • Australian Open Best: QF (2026)
  • US Open 2026:

5. Elena Rybakina (Age 26)

  • Career hard court wins/matches: 200/296 (68%)
  • 2025 hard court: 37 wins 14 defeats (73%), 1 title
  • Australian Open Best: W (2026)
  • US Open 2026:

6. Jessica Pegula (Age 31)

  • Career hard court wins/matches: 293/437 (67%)
  • 2025 hard court: 35 wins 12 defeats (74%), 1 title
  • Australian Open Best: SF (2026)
  • US Open 2026:

7. Jasmine Paolini (Age 30)

  • Career hard court wins/matches: 161/273 (59%)
  • 2025 hard court: 27 wins 12 defeats (69%), 0 titles
  • Australian Open Best: 4R (2024)
  • US Open 2026:

8. Mirra Andreeva (Age 18)

  • Career hard court wins/matches: 84/114 (74%)
  • 2025 hard court: 25 wins 9 defeats (74%), 2 titles
  • Australian Open Best: 4R (2025 & 2026)
  • US Open 2026:

9. Madison Keys (Age 30)

  • Career hard court wins/matches: 257/407 (63%)
  • 2025 hard court: 24 wins 6 defeats (80%), 2 titles
  • Australian Open Best: W (2025)
  • US Open 2026:

10. Belinda Bencic (Age 28)

  • Career hard court wins/matches: 239/361 (66%)
  • 2025 hard court: 32 wins 13 defeats (71%), 2 titles + 1 in 2026
  • Australian Open Best: 4R (2016, 2023 & 2025)
  • US Open 2026:

For more in-depth player stats take a look at the official WTA Tour website, the full Women's Singles draw when made will be available to view on the official Australian Open website and as always will be vitally important as there are likely to be numerous potential banana skins early on for the leading contenders.

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Australian Open Ladies Singles Last Ten Winners

Here's a table showing the last ten Australian Open Ladies winners including the beaten finalist and set scores:

YearChampion (WR)Runner Up (WR)Set Score
2026Elena Rybakina (5)Aryna Sabalenka (1)2-1
2025Madison Keys (14)Aryna Sabalenka (1)2-1
2024Aryna Sabalenka (2)Qinwen Zheng (15)2-0
2023Aryna Sabalenka (5)Elena Rybakina (25)2-1
2022Ashleigh Barty (1)Danielle Collins (30)2-0
2021Naomi Osaka (3)Jennifer Brady (24)2-0
2020Sofia Kenin (15)Garbine Muguruza (32)2-1
2019Naomi Osaka (4)Petra Kvitova (6)2-1
2018Caroline Wozniacki (2)Simona Halep (1)2-1
2017Serena Williams (2)Venus Williams (17)2-0

In 2024 Aryna Sabalenka became the first player to win back-to-back Australian Open Women's Singles titles since Victoria Azarenka in 2012 and 2013. Sabalenka's hat-trick attempt was thwarted by maiden slam winner Madison Keys in 2025. Aryna would have been the first lady to accomplish the hat-trick since Martina Hingis in 1997-1999. Sabalenka's fourth straight Australian Open appearance in 2026 also ended in defeat to first time winner Elena Rybakina.

Early Rounds Favs vs Dogs

How often does an underdog win in the early rounds of the Australian Open?

Across the last 10 Australian Open tournaments (2017-2026), roughly 1 in 4 underdogs have won in the first round, although the women's underdogs have done better than the men's.

  • Men's 1st Round Underdog: 143 wins from 614 matches (23.29%)
  • Women's 1st Round Underdog: 169 wins from 625 matches (27.04%)

The rates stay fairly steady through the second and third rounds. On the men's side, the underdog win rate stays between 23.29% and 24.04%, whilst on the women's side it ranges from 25.95% to 29.11%, so the women's underdogs have won more often in every one of the opening three rounds.

Overall, across 2,180 completed matches in the first three rounds for both tours, the underdog has been successful 25.32% of the time (552 wins).

Later Rounds Favs vs Dogs

How does the underdog record change in the later rounds of the Australian Open?

On the women's side, the matches become more closely contested as the tournament progresses. In round four, the underdog win rate rises above 30% for the first time (30.38%, 24 wins from 79 matches), before reaching 35.90% in the quarter-finals. It dips back to 30% in the semi-finals, and the finals have been split 5-5.

The picture is less clear on the men's side. Round four has a higher underdog win rate (27.03%) than any of the opening three rounds, and it eases to 25% in the quarter-finals. The semi-finals are another matter, with just 11.11% of underdogs successful (2 wins from 18). The finals are a small sample of 10 matches, but the underdog has won 3 of them.

Australian Open Correct Set Betting

What is the most common winning set score at the Australian Open?

The picture differs between the two tours, as the men play best of five sets and the women play best of three. Across the last 10 Australian Open tournaments (2017-2026), there do seem to be more clear-cut matches on the women's side.

On the women's side, a 2-0 win has occurred in 68.79% of matches (862), whilst a 2-1 win has made up the other 31.21% (391). The opening two rounds both see at least 68.89% of matches finish 2-0, peaking at 72.15% in round two, but that drops to 63.92% in round three and 64.56% in round four. The straight-sets rate then rises again to 72.50% in the quarter-finals and 75% in the semi-finals (15 of 20 matches).

On the men's side, a 3-0 win happens much less often, in just 45.91% of matches (561). Round 3 has the highest proportion of 3-0 wins, at 50.97%, and is the only round above 50%.

Of all men's matches, 32.90% have finished 3-1 (402) and 21.19% have gone the distance to a 3-2 scoreline (259). The finals are a small sample of only 10 matches, but 5 of them have gone to five sets.

ATP By Round

How do men's set scores change round by round at the Australian Open?

The chart below shows how the men's set scores change through the tournament. The 3-0 win rate stays in a narrow band of 44.44% to 45.51% in every round except round three, which peaks at 50.97%. The 3-1 scoreline is most common in the quarter-finals (38.89%, or 14 of 36), whilst the final stands out for going the distance, with half of the 10 finals ending 3-2. The later rounds are smaller samples, with 36 quarter-finals, 18 semi-finals and 10 finals across the ten tournaments.

WTA By Round

How do women's set scores change round by round at the Australian Open?

The chart below shows how the women's set scores change through the tournament. Unlike the other tournaments, the straight-sets rate moves around quite a bit: it peaks at 72.15% in round two, dips to 63.92% in round three, then climbs to 72.50% in the quarter-finals and 75% in the semi-finals (15 of 20). The final is the only round where 2-1 is the more common result, with 6 of the 10 finals going to three sets, though that is a very small sample.

Author Information

James Banting writes the words and maintains the data for this Australian Open Tennis Preview. As Tipster Competition assistant James works closely with our Tennis Tipsters, settling bets and ensuring accuracy in all results which are also utilised in the updates for all the Tennis Previews on OLBG.

James Banting

About the author

James is a knowledgeable sports betting specialist with over 20 years of experience in the sports betting industry. Today James focuses on producing informative betting content on the major sporting events throughout the year in Horse Racing and Tennis, as well as contributing to our Cricket and Golf Content. - James Banting, Expert Guide

- James Banting, Content Editor

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