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- Harry Kane remains the clear favourite for the 2026 Ballon d'Or with bet365, priced at 6/4 despite England's exit at the World Cup semi-final stage
- Spain's World Cup success has propelled Lamine Yamal and Rodri into second and third in the market, with Rodri also having claimed the tournament's Golden Ball
- Kylian Mbappe, Lionel Messi, Ousmane Dembele and Fabian Ruiz round out a competitive field further down the odds
Kane Holds Firm At The Top
It's been a fascinating year in the race for football's most prestigious individual honour, and bookmakers still have Harry Kane out in front for the 2026 Ballon d'Or.
What makes his position at the top of the market particularly interesting is that it's come despite England falling short of the World Cup final, exiting at the semi-final stage.
Kane's sustained form for Bayern appears to have been enough to keep him ahead of the chasing pack, a reminder that Ballon d'Or voting has never been purely about international success alone.
While deep international tournament runs have historically played a significant role in shaping the conversation, Kane's consistent output at Bayern seems to have carried enough weight on its own to keep him ahead of players who went considerably further at the World Cup.
Bet365's latest market gives an implied probability of 40% that Kane will win the award later this year.
Ballon d'Or Odds: The Full Breakdown
Bet365 have priced up the full market following the conclusion of the World Cup, with Kane's club form keeping him at the head of the field.
Spain's World Cup Winners Close The Gap
Spain's success at the World Cup has understandably had a major impact on the rest of the market.
Lamine Yamal sits as the clearest challenger to Kane, priced at 2/1, while his teammate Rodri isn't far behind at 7/2.
Rodri's position is boosted significantly by his Golden Ball triumph at the tournament, recognising him as the standout player across the whole competition, an achievement that carries real weight in Ballon d'Or conversations even when it doesn't automatically translate into favouritism.
The Manchester City midfielder was as big as 150/1 for the Ballon d'Or during the World Cup, but his odds were instantly slashed after he captained his country to winning.
Ballon d'Or 2026 Odds: Rodri Slashed from 150/1 to 3/1 After World Cup Triumph
Where To Bet On The Ballon d'Or
Bet365 currently offer one of the more detailed markets on this year's award, though it's always worth comparing prices across a wider range of betting sites before placing a bet, particularly with voting still some way off and prices likely to shift as the club season develops.
Many operators are also running free bets for new customers, which is worth exploring if you're new to betting on individual awards markets.
Our guide to the best football betting sites is a good place to start for comparing your options.
