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- Betting sites are heavily backing a Manchester City move for Chelsea midfielder Enzo Fernandez, with the switch priced at just 1/6 as Deadline Day negotiations continue.
- Chelsea are understood to want a minimum of £120m for Fernandez, with talks between the two clubs ongoing as the deadline approaches.
- The 25-year-old previously worked under current City manager Enzo Maresca during the Italian's time in charge at Chelsea.
One Of Deadline Day's Biggest Stories
It's Deadline Day, and bookmakers are still offering odds on one of the biggest potential moves of the entire window, with Enzo Fernandez heavily fancied to complete a switch to Manchester City before business closes tonight.
The betting suggests a big chance of the deal getting done before the deadline shuts at 11pm, with the market reacting to reports that talks between the two clubs are already well underway.
A move of this size on the final day of the window is exactly the kind of story that keeps punters glued to their phones right up until the deadline passes, and Fernandez's situation looks set to be one of the defining sagas of the entire window regardless of how it eventually resolves.
Days like this one have a habit of throwing up late twists even when a deal looks close to done, and with clubs across Europe scrambling to finalise their own business simultaneously, nothing involving a fee this size should be treated as a formality until it's actually confirmed.
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Man City Overwhelming Favourites
With negotiations reportedly progressing, the market has priced this up as close to a formality, though a switch away from Chelsea isn't the only outcome still being offered.
| Enzo Fernandez Next Club | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Man City | 1/6 | 85.7% |
| Not to sign or agree a contract with any other club | 9/4 | 30.8% |
| Real Madrid | 33/1 | 2.9% |
Man City's implied probability of 85.7% leaves very little room for any other outcome, reflecting just how advanced these talks are understood to be with the deadline fast approaching.
The 30.8% priced on Fernandez not agreeing a contract with any other club offers a route for those less convinced a deal gets over the line in time, while Real Madrid remain included as a distant outsider at 33/1, an implied probability of just 2.9%.
Chelsea's Valuation And Ongoing Talks
It is understood that Chelsea want a minimum of £120m for Fernandez, a valuation that reflects both his importance to the squad and the premium clubs typically have to pay for genuine quality on the final day of a window.
Talks between the two clubs are underway as they work through the finer details of a price, with the scale of the reported fee likely to shape how quickly, or slowly, this situation ultimately develops.
Adding an extra layer of intrigue to the move is Fernandez's previous working relationship with current City boss Enzo Maresca, who managed the Argentina international during his own spell in charge at Chelsea.
Whether Chelsea's valuation proves to be a sticking point or simply the opening position in a negotiation that was always going to land somewhere in that region remains to be seen, but with the clock now working against both parties, neither side has the luxury of dragging this out much longer.
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Other Deadline Day Moves
Deadline Day always throws up a surprise or two with bookmakers offering markets on other potential transfers on the final day of the window.
One of the biggest potential transfers, other than Enzo Fernandez, is Julian Alvarez, who wants to leave Atletico Madrid.
It looks increasingly unlikely that he will depart so close to the window slamming shut, though with Arsenal now the only real destination.
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Where To Bet On Enzo Fernandez's Next Club
For those looking to get involved in the market, it's worth comparing prices across a range of betting sites, since odds on fast-moving deadline day stories like this one can shift quickly as negotiations develop.
Checking out some of the best football betting sites is a sensible starting point given how little time remains before the window shuts.
With the deadline closing at 11pm tonight, anyone considering getting involved would do well to act quickly and keep tabs on how the market moves over the closing hours.
