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- Pep Guardiola is taking an extended break from management after leaving Manchester City at the end of last season
- England are the clear favourites among the betting sites to be Guardiola's next job at 13/8
- Barcelona and Italy share second favouritism at 5/1
Guardiola Sticking To His Sabbatical For Now
Bookmakers have wasted no time speculating on where Pep Guardiola goes next, even though the man himself insists he isn't going anywhere just yet.
Guardiola is currently taking a break from the dugout following his departure from Manchester City at the end of last season, and that stance hasn't changed despite genuine interest from elsewhere over the summer.
Italy moved for Guardiola during the close season, hoping to tempt him into the Azzurri hot seat, but he informed the FIGC that he intends to press on with his original plan: a period away from the game to rest, spend time with his family and travel.
It's a rare moment of downtime for a manager who has barely stopped since his playing career wound down, but it hasn't stopped punters and bookmakers alike from looking ahead to his next permanent post.
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Pep Guardiola Next Job Odds
England replacing Thomas Tuchel with Guardiola is currently the standout market leader, with the national team out in front of a strong list of would-be suitors.
| Pep Guardiola's Next Role | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| England national team | 13/8 | 38.1% |
| Barcelona | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Italy National Team | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Bayern Munich | 11/2 | 15.4% |
| Argentina National Team | 11/2 | 15.4% |
| Brazil National Team | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Any MLS Club | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Spain National Team | 15/2 | 11.8% |
At 13/8, England carry an implied 38.1% chance of landing Guardiola as Tuchel's permanent successor, putting them clear of the rest of the field by some distance.
Barcelona and Italy are locked together in second at 5/1 (16.7% apiece), a nod to both his history at the Camp Nou and the FIGC's rebuffed summer approach.
Bayern Munich and Argentina follow at 11/2 (15.4%), while Brazil sit a shade further back at 6/1 (14.3%).
Why England Make Sense As Favourites
England's tough World Cup exit is the obvious driving force behind Guardiola's leading price.
Thomas Tuchel's management in the Semi-Final against Argentina, and Guardiola's pedigree, his familiarity with the Premier League and his relationships with a host of England-qualified players he managed at City all make him an easy name to attach to the role, whether or not there's any concrete substance behind it yet.
The counterpoint is obvious too: Guardiola has been clear about wanting time away from the day-to-day grind, and a switch straight into an international set-up would represent a genuine change of pace rather than a rest.
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Where To Bet On Guardiola's Next Job
Markets like this tend to move quickly once a manager's situation becomes live, so it's worth comparing prices across the betting sites rather than settling on the first one you see.
For football specifically, our rundown of the best football betting sites is a solid starting point if you're weighing up where to open an account for markets like this one.
