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- Fulham's Alvaro Arbeloa leads the dreaded Premier League Sack Race with betting sites pricing him at 3/1 after three losses from his opening three league games.
- Fulham's latest defeat was a 3-2 loss to Crystal Palace, despite leading twice in the game, leaving them 19th in the table.
- Crystal Palace boss Pierre Sage sits behind Arbeloa in the market at 5/1, despite his side's win in that same fixture.
Arbeloa Under Pressure After Winless Start
Alvaro Arbeloa leads the dreaded Sack Race market to be the next Premier League manager to leave his post, with betting sites reacting to a torrid start to the season that's seen Fulham lose all three of their opening league fixtures.
BetVictor has Arbeloa at 3/1, the shortest price of the entire market, following a run of results that's left the club firmly in the relegation zone.
Fulham's latest defeat came in painful fashion, a 3-2 loss to Crystal Palace in which they led twice during the game before ultimately falling short.
Results like that, where a side shows enough quality to lead on two separate occasions but still comes away with nothing, often prove particularly damaging for a manager's standing, since they suggest the problems run deeper than simply being outclassed from start to finish.
That defeat leaves Fulham 19th in the Premier League table after three games, a position that will only intensify scrutiny on Arbeloa as the club looks to turn its start around before the situation becomes even more difficult to recover from.
Arbeloa Clear Favourite in Dreaded Sack Race Market
With five managers currently priced up, Arbeloa sits clear at the top of a market shaped by an unusual mix of struggling and seemingly secure names.
| Next Manager to Go | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Arbeloa | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| Pierre Sage | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Roberto De Zerbi | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Unai Emery | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Frank Lampard | 10/1 | 9.1% |
Arbeloa's implied probability of 25.0% puts him clearly ahead of the rest of the field, reflecting just how damaging that run of results has proven for his standing this early in the season.
Roberto De Zerbi rounds out the market's more fancied names at 14.3%, while Unai Emery and Frank Lampard are tied at 10/1 apiece, both carrying an implied probability of 9.1%.
That spread suggests the market is keeping a watchful eye on several situations simultaneously, even with Arbeloa's position looking considerably more precarious than anyone else's at this early stage.
Three Straight Losses Pile On The Pressure
Opening a Premier League campaign with three defeats from three is about as difficult a start as any manager can face, and it's clearly filtered through into how the betting market now views Arbeloa's prospects of seeing out the season.
The nature of the Palace defeat, squandering two separate leads, will likely draw particular attention given what it suggests about game management and resilience under pressure.
Sitting 19th after this early stage of the season isn't necessarily fatal on its own, since plenty of clubs have recovered from slow starts in previous campaigns, but the combination of results, performances and a market reaction this pronounced tends to create its own momentum.
What the expert says...
Where To Bet On The Premier League Sack Race
For those looking to get involved in the market, betvictor is offering prices on all five named managers, and you can find out more via the BetVictor review on OLBG.
With the season still in its early stages, this looks like a market well worth following closely as results continue to shape the pressure on managers across the division.
Checking out some of the best football betting sites is a sensible starting point for anyone newer to this type of market.
