Premier League Sack Race Odds: De Zerbi Shortens After Another Spurs Defeat

Roberto De Zerbi has shortened into favourite in the dreaded Sack Race after another Tottenham defeat, with Manchester United's Michael Carrick close behind following a poor week of his own.
Premier League Sack Race Odds: De Zerbi Shortens After Another Spurs Defeat
Jake Ashton
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  • Roberto De Zerbi has shortened into favourite in the Sack Race at 2/1 (33.3% implied probability) after another defeat left Tottenham without a league win and rock bottom of the table.
  • Michael Carrick is second favourite at 5/2 (28.6%) following a torrid week for Manchester United, which ended in a 1-1 draw against lowly Fulham.
  • Spurs head into the three-week international break with just two points from five games, while Gary Neville branded United's display "pathetic" on commentary.

De Zerbi Shortens As Tottenham's Troubles Deepen

Another defeat for Tottenham this weekend has sent Roberto De Zerbi shortening into favourite among the betting sites to be the next Premier League manager to go. 

Spurs head into the three-week international break without a win in the league and rock bottom of the table with just two points from five games, a run of form that's put real pressure on the Sack Race market.

Michael Carrick is second favourite behind him, after a genuinely miserable week for his Manchester United side ended in a 1-1 draw with lowly Fulham. 

Gary Neville didn't hold back on commentary, saying: "I've watched Manchester United since the age of five and that's the worst 15 minutes I've ever seen. Absolutely pathetic."

Two points from five games is about as bad a start as any Premier League manager could have, and with the table now showing Spurs rooted at the bottom heading into a lengthy pause in fixtures, there's no obvious quick fix on the horizon.

Next Premier League Manager To Leave Odds

Premier League Sack RaceOddsImplied Probability
Roberto De Zerbi2/133.3%
Michael Carrick5/228.6%
Alvaro Arbeloa4/120.0%
Pierre Sage5/116.7%
Frank Lampard7/112.5%
Gary O'Neil11/18.3%

De Zerbi's 2/1 price gives him an implied 33.3% chance of being the next manager to leave, with Carrick close behind at 5/2.

Alvaro Arbeloa, whose Fulham side have struggled for results of their own, sits third at 4/1 (20.0%), with Pierre Sage next at 5/1 (16.7%).

Why This International Break Matters

An international break arriving at exactly this moment could prove significant for both De Zerbi and Carrick. 

Three weeks without a fixture gives struggling managers time to work on the training ground away from the immediate glare of results, but it also gives boardrooms time to weigh up their options without the pressure of an upcoming match forcing a snap decision either way. 

How both clubs use that time could end up shaping this market significantly heading into the run of fixtures that follows.

Some managers use the downtime to reset and come back with a clear plan, while others find the pause simply delays an inevitable decision that's already been made behind closed doors. 

Either way, both De Zerbi and Carrick will know that a poor return to action once the Premier League resumes could turn today's short prices into something considerably shorter still.

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Expert View

What the expert says...
De Zerbi moving into favourite isn't a surprise given where Spurs sit in the table, but I think the timing of this international break actually works in his favour. Carrick's situation concerns me more, if I'm honest. That Fulham performance is exactly the kind of result that turns a difficult week into a genuine crisis, and Gary Neville's reaction on commentary tells you everything about how it's being perceived externally.

Jake Ashton - Football Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Where To Bet On The Sack Race

Manager markets like this one tend to move fast once a bad week hits, so it's worth checking the betting sites for the latest prices rather than relying on odds from earlier in the season, and keeping an eye out for free bets that can be used to cover one of the longer-priced names.

Check out our guide to the best football betting sites for various bookmakers giving special markets this season.

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