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- Championship leader Kimi Antonelli is the 7/4 favourite for the Spanish Grand Prix, with betting sites reacting to his spectacular comeback win from 19th on the grid at the Italian Grand Prix.
- This is the first Spanish Grand Prix to be held at the new Madring circuit, which has replaced Barcelona-Catalunya as the race's permanent home.
- Sunday's 57-lap race gets underway at 14:00 BST, with Lando Norris and George Russell the clearest challengers to Antonelli at 7/2 and 9/2 respectively.
Antonelli Leads Into A Historic Weekend
Formula 1 heads to Madrid this weekend for round 14 of the 2026 season, with championship leader Kimi Antonelli arriving as the 7/4 favourite following a spectacular win at the Italian Grand Prix.
Bookmakers have reacted to that victory, which saw Antonelli fight back from 19th on the grid in front of his home fans, by making him the clear favourite once again heading into an historic weekend for the sport.
This will be the first Spanish Grand Prix held at the new Madring circuit, with the purpose-built track replacing Barcelona-Catalunya as the permanent home of the race.
Sunday's 57-lap contest gets underway at 14:00 BST, giving fans their first proper look at how a genuinely new venue on the calendar handles a full grand prix weekend.
Antonelli's Italian Grand Prix drive was the kind of performance that tends to stick in the memory long after a season concludes, and carrying that momentum into a brand new circuit adds an extra layer of intrigue to how the reigning championship leader approaches this weekend.
Bet365's latest market gives an implied probability of 36.4% that Antonelli wins this weekend's race.
The Odds: Antonelli Favourite Ahead Of Norris And Russell
With seven drivers currently priced up, Antonelli sits clear at the top of a field that includes several proven race winners.
| Spanish Grand Prix Winner | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | 7/4 | 36.4% |
| Lando Norris | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| George Russell | 9/2 | 18.2% |
| Charles Leclerc | 15/2 | 11.8% |
| Lewis Hamilton | 15/2 | 11.8% |
| Max Verstappen | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Oscar Piastri | 11/1 | 8.3% |
Antonelli's implied probability of 36.4% puts him clearly ahead of Lando Norris at 22.2%, with George Russell rounding out the top three at 18.2%.
Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton are tied at 15/2 apiece, both carrying an implied probability of 11.8%, while Max Verstappen's 9.1% is a notably longer price than his championship pedigree might normally suggest.
The Top Motorsport Betting Sites 2026
A New Chapter For The Spanish Grand Prix
The Madring is a purpose-built circuit running 5.47km around 20 corners, incorporating both street-circuit and road-course sections around the Ifema Exhibition Centre between the Spanish capital and Barajas airport.
That hybrid layout, blending the tight, technical demands of a street circuit with the flowing characteristics of a traditional road course, makes this one of the more unpredictable venues on this year's calendar simply because nobody has raced a Formula 1 car around it competitively before.
With 20 corners packed into just 5.47km, overtaking opportunities and tyre management are both likely to play a significant role in how the race unfolds, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see the Madring produce a genuinely different kind of spectacle to the circuit it's replacing.
What the expert says...
Where To Bet On The Spanish Grand Prix
For those looking to get involved in the race, bet365 is offering prices on every named driver, and you can find out more via the bet365 review on OLBG.
Checking out some of the top motorsport betting sites is a sensible starting point for anyone newer to Formula 1 markets.
