Avengers: Doomsday Odds: Awards Season Markets And The Race To Kill Doctor Doom

With Avengers: Doomsday still to land later this year, early specials cover its Academy Award chances, Rotten Tomatoes score, and which character finally takes down Doctor Doom.
Avengers: Doomsday Odds: Awards Season Markets And The Race To Kill Doctor Doom
Jake Ashton
Jake Ashton - Your Betting Odds Guide 👍

I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.

  • Avengers: Doomsday is a 4/1 shot to be nominated for Best Picture
  • Thor is the current favourite to be the character who kills Doctor Doom, priced at 6/4 ahead of Captain America at 5/2.
  • The film's Rotten Tomatoes rating is essentially a coin flip on the 88% Tomatometer line, with "Under" the marginal favourite at 4/6.

Doomsday Hype Builds Ahead Of Later Release

Anticipation for Avengers: Doomsday continues to build well ahead of its release later this year, with the film's sprawling ensemble cast and long-awaited big-screen debut for Doctor Doom already generating plenty of conversation among fans. 

Betting sites have responded with a full slate of specials covering everything from the film's awards season prospects to which character will ultimately be the one to bring down its central villain.

Robert Downey Jr's Doctor Doom is set to be the star of the movie and the hype around the movie will ramp up in the coming months as release day approaches.

With such a vast ensemble cast assembled for a single film, working out exactly how the story resolves itself has become something of a parlour game among fans in the months leading up to release.

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Awards Season Markets: Best Picture, Nominations And Reviews

Superhero films have historically struggled for major awards recognition, and the betting reflects that, even with Doomsday's scale and ambition.

MarketSelectionOddsImplied Probability
Best Picture NominationYes4/120.0%
Total Academy Award NominationsOver 16/440.0%
Total Academy Award NominationsUnder 14/660.0%
Rotten Tomatoes RatingOver 88%Evs50.0%
Rotten Tomatoes RatingUnder 88%4/660.0%

A 20.0% implied probability for a Best Picture nomination is actually a reasonably generous rating for a superhero blockbuster, reflecting the increased awards attention Marvel films have picked up in recent years for craft categories even when the top prize remains out of reach.

The Rotten Tomatoes market is essentially a coin flip around the 88% Tomatometer line, with "Under" priced as a narrow favourite at 60.0% against "Over" at 50.0% on Evens.

It's worth noting that recent MCU crossover films have had a genuinely mixed run with critics, which likely explains why bookmakers aren't willing to commit strongly in either direction on the Tomatometer line.

Who Will Kill Doctor Doom?

The most fun market of the bunch looks at which character will ultimately be responsible for taking down Doctor Doom, with eight names currently priced up.

Character to kill Doctor DoomOddsImplied Probability
Thor6/440.0%
Captain America5/228.6%
Loki5/116.7%
Mister Fantastic6/114.3%
The Thing7/112.5%
Human Torch8/111.1%
Shang-Chi10/19.1%
Black Panther12/17.7%

Thor's implied probability of 40.0% makes him the standout favourite, with Captain America the clearest alternative at 28.6%. Loki and Mister Fantastic round out the more fancied names, while The Thing and Human Torch sit in the middle of the market.

The spread across eight different characters shows just how many credible candidates this ensemble offers for a climactic showdown.

What the expert says...
Thor makes sense as favourite, he's been central to so many of the franchise's biggest villain confrontations over the years, and Doomsday feels like exactly the kind of finale moment he's built for. But I wouldn't completely rule out Mister Fantastic given his history with Doom in the comics, that rivalry runs deep and it would be a satisfying way to tie things together on screen.

Jake Ashton - Entertainment Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Where To Bet On Avengers: Doomsday Specials

For those looking to get involved in these markets, it's worth comparing prices across a range of betting sites, since odds on film specials like these can vary between bookmakers depending on how each is reading pre-release buzz. 

Checking out some of the best entertainment betting sites is a sensible starting point, and many offer free bets for new customers, which can be a useful, low-risk way to get involved before the film's release.

With plenty of time still to run before Doomsday actually hits cinemas, there's every chance these markets could see further movement as more details and reviews emerge.

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