Big Brother UK Eviction Odds: Millie, Rochelle Or Pauline?

The mole twist has claimed its first victims, with Millie, Rochelle and Pauline all up for Big Brother UK's first eviction on Friday night. Full odds and preview inside.
Big Brother UK Eviction Odds: Millie, Rochelle Or Pauline?

Copyright: ITV

Jake Ashton
Jake Ashton - Your Betting Odds Guide 👍

I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.

  • Millie, Rochelle and Pauline are all up for the public vote ahead of Big Brother UK's first eviction on Friday night.
  • Mole Tays and Deputy Mole Philip chose the trio as their nominations, and all three failed to correctly guess the mole's identity, ruling out any chance of saving themselves.
  • Millie is the odds-on pick to leave first at 1/2 (66.7% implied probability), with Rochelle next at 6/4 (40.0%) and Pauline the outsider at 6/1 (14.3%).

Mole Twist Leaves Three Housemates Facing The Public Vote

The fallout from Big Brother UK's mole twist has arrived quickly, with the first eviction of the series set to take place on Friday night and Millie, Rochelle and Pauline all up for the public vote. 

Mole Tays and Deputy Mole Philip chose the trio as their nominations for the week, and each of the three had a chance to save themselves from the vote entirely by correctly identifying the mole, but all three guessed wrong, leaving their fate in the hands of viewers instead.

With that twist now playing out in full, attention turns to who could be the first housemate to leave the house, and the betting experts already have a clear early view on how it might go.

Millie and Pauline both featured prominently in the pre-launch winner betting, with Pauline installed as the outright market leader at 6/4 and Millie sitting close behind at 2/1. 

Now, just days into the series, Millie finds herself the clear favourite to be the first one out.

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Big Brother UK First Eviction Odds

Millie is the clear favourite to be the first housemate voted out at 1/2, an implied 66.7% chance that puts her well clear of her fellow nominees. 

Rochelle follows at 6/4 (40.0%), while Pauline is the current outsider of the three at 6/1 (14.3%).

Big Brother UK First EvictionOdds*Implied Probability
Millie1/266.7%
Rochelle6/440.0%
Pauline6/114.3%

Public votes are notoriously difficult to call, and with an episode still to air tonight, plenty can still shift depending on how the housemates' relationships develop and how each of the nominees is edited across the coverage.

*As betting sites currently aren't taking bets on this event, odds have been compiled as theoretical probability from an entertainment perspective only and come from an industry expert

Why Rochelle's Price Isn't A Foregone Conclusion

Rochelle's odds tell an interesting story of their own. She's been an entertaining housemate this week, involved in plenty of discussions and arguments that could easily cut either way come Friday, the kind of housemate viewers either rally behind or turn on quickly, depending on how those moments have landed. 

That volatility is exactly why her price sits closer to Millie's than it might otherwise, rather than drifting out alongside Pauline's.

Millie's position as the clear favourite suggests the public has already made up its mind to a large degree, but with a few days still to go before the result airs, there's time yet for any of these three to see their price move.

What the expert says...
Millie at 1/2 feels like the betting experts are already fairly settled on this one, and when a price gets that short this early, it usually takes something fairly dramatic to shift it. It looks like a two-horse race, with Pauline looking safe according to the latest odds.

Jake Ashton - Entertainment Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Where To Bet On Big Brother UK

For more on where to find strong coverage of shows like this throughout the run, OLBG's guide to the best entertainment betting sites is worth a browse.

Entertainment Betting Sites: Best Bookmakers Compared on Reality TV, Entertainment and Novelty Bets
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Entertainment Betting Sites: Best Bookmakers Compared on Reality TV, Entertainment and Novelty Bets

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