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- Sam Fender and Olivia Dean top the betting to claim this year's Christmas Number One
- Rein Me In has already spent 23 non-consecutive weeks at Number One and remains at the top of the charts as of writing
- Olivia Rodrigo and Ella Langley are tied as the clearest challengers at 2/1, with Wham rounding out the leading names at 5/2.
Fender And Dean Lead A Record-Breaking Year
Sam Fender and Olivia Dean top the betting odds to be this year's Christmas Number One, with betting experts making the pair favourites at 6/4 after a genuinely remarkable twelve months for their collaboration Rein Me In.
The song has already spent 23 non-consecutive weeks at Number One this year, a run that shows no signs of stopping given it remains at the top of the charts as of writing.
That kind of staying power across a calendar year is rare for any single, let alone one now being tipped to add a Christmas Number One to its list of achievements.
Songs that dominate the charts this consistently tend to build a level of public familiarity that can work heavily in their favour once the festive race gets underway, and Rein Me In's continued presence at the top suggests that momentum hasn't faded in the slightest.
Christmas Number One has always carried a unique weight in British music culture, and a track already this deeply embedded in the national conversation arrives at the festive race with an obvious head start over the rest of the field.
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Fender And Dean Clear Favourites
With nine acts currently priced up, Fender and Dean sit clear at the top of a genuinely varied market.
| Christmas Number One 2026 | Odds* | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Sam Fender and Olivia Dean | 6/4 | 40.0% |
| Olivia Rodrigo | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Ella Langley | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Wham | 5/2 | 28.6% |
| Ed Sheeran | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| Kylie Minogue | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| LadBaby | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Sidemen | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Bov Boys | 12/1 | 7.7% |
*As betting sites currently aren't taking bets on this event, odds have been compiled as theoretical probability from an entertainment perspective only and come from an industry expert
Fender and Dean's implied probability of 40.0% puts them clear at the top, though Olivia Rodrigo and Ella Langley, tied at 2/1 apiece, carry an implied probability of 33.3%.\
Wham's continued presence in the market at 5/2 is a reminder that festive perennials remain a genuine threat every single year, regardless of how dominant a newer single might look on paper.
Rein Me In's Remarkable Run Continues
Twenty-three non-consecutive weeks at Number One is an extraordinary achievement by any measure, and it places Rein Me In firmly among the standout chart stories of the year regardless of how the Christmas race itself eventually plays out.
The fact that the song remains at the summit as of writing only strengthens the case for Fender and Dean heading into the festive period, since a track already occupying the top spot doesn't need to overcome the same climb as a fresh challenger.
Whether Rein Me In can hold off a field that includes several more overtly seasonal contenders will be one of the more interesting subplots of this year's race.
Streaming behaviour also tends to shift in the run-up to Christmas itself, with festive favourites often enjoying a late surge.
What the expert says...
Where To Bet On Christmas Number One
For those looking to get involved in the market, it's worth comparing prices across a range of betting sites, since odds on the Christmas Number One race can shift considerably as December approaches and public voting patterns become clearer.
Checking out some of the best entertainment betting sites is a sensible starting point for anyone newer to this type of market, and many offer free bets for new customers, which can be a useful, low-risk way to follow the race through to Christmas Day itself.
