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- Wham's 'Last Christmas' is odds-on at 10/11 to hit Number One.
- Kylie Minogue’s Amazon-exclusive track 'XMAS' surges into second favourite at 5/1.
- Bookmakers like William Hill now offering full Christmas chart markets.
Wham Favourite But Kylie Minogue Gains Ground for Christmas Chart Crown
With the festive season fast approaching, bookmakers have updated the betting odds for this year’s coveted Christmas Number One and Wham remain favourites to top the charts once again with their iconic hit ‘Last Christmas’, sitting at 10/11.
But all eyes are now on Kylie Minogue, who has surged to 5/1 after the release of her brand-new Amazon Music Original track ‘XMAS’.
With the single set to dominate Alexa’s default holiday playlists in homes across the UK, stream volumes are expected to spike significantly in the run-up to the big day.
Minogue’s exclusive deal with Amazon Music positions ‘XMAS’ front and centre as soon as listeners ask Alexa to play Christmas songs which is a key factor in streaming-driven chart rankings.
William Hill's latest market gives an implied probability of 52.4% that Wham hit the top spot once again.
Latest Christmas Number One 2025 Odds
| Christmas Number One 2025 | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wham | 10/11 | 52.4% |
| Kylie Minogue | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Mariah Carey | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Ed Sheeran | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Labrinth | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Alison Limerick | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Sidemen | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Taylor Swift | 16/1 | 5.9% |
Will Wham Take The Crown Once Again?
While Wham’s ‘Last Christmas’ is a perennial favourite that has topped the streaming charts around December for years, it only officially hit the Xmas Number One spot in 2023.
2024 also saw the classic song at Number One and we may well see a hat-trick take place this year.
Elsewhere in the market, Mariah Carey sits at 12/1, alongside a handful of other big names like Sabrina Carpenter, Ed Sheeran, Labrinth, and Alison Limerick.
Viral contenders such as the Sidemen (16/1) could also disrupt the traditional contenders.
What the expert says...
Where To Bet on the Christmas Number One 2025
Looking to place a festive flutter? There are plenty of top UK betting sites offering odds on the Christmas Number One.
Among them is William Hill, with new customers also able to take advantage of their offer below for free bets.
