The Game Awards 2026 Odds: GTA VI Dominates The Game Of The Year Market

Grand Theft Auto VI is a heavy favourite for Game of the Year at the 13th Game Awards this December. Here's how the odds look across the night's biggest categories.
The Game Awards 2026 Odds: GTA VI Dominates The Game Of The Year Market
Jake Ashton
Jake Ashton - Your Betting Odds Guide 👍

I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.

  • Grand Theft Auto VI is a heavy 1/5 favourite for Game of the Year at the 13th Game Awards, with betting sites making it the standout pick of the night.
  • Marathon leads the Best Multiplayer category at 2/1, while Mina the Hollower is the narrow favourite for Best Independent Game at the same price.
  • The Game Awards 2026 takes place on Thursday, 10 December, streaming live from Peacock Theater in Los Angeles.

GTA VI Dominates The Game Of The Year Race

Grand Theft Auto VI has emerged as a heavy favourite to win Game of the Year at the 13th Game Awards, with betting sites pricing Rockstar's long-awaited release at just 1/5, comfortably the shortest price of any nominee across the night's biggest categories. 

The ceremony takes place on Thursday, 10 December, streaming live from Peacock Theater in Los Angeles, and this year's show looks set to be dominated by conversation around one release above all others.

A price that short this far ahead of the ceremony reflects just how significant an event GTA VI's launch is for the industry as a whole, and it leaves the rest of this year's Game of the Year field competing largely for the runner-up spot rather than a genuine shot at the top prize itself. 

Few releases generate this level of one-sided market confidence, and it speaks to the scale of anticipation that's surrounded the title for years.

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The Odds: Game Of The Year

With six games currently priced up, GTA VI sits well clear of a field that spans several genuinely different styles of release.

Game Of The Year 2026
OddsImplied Probability
Grand Theft Auto VI1/583.3%
Resident Evil Requiem5/228.6%
Saros7/222.2%
Control Resonant9/110.0%
Crimson Desert12/17.7%
Fable12/17.7%

GTA VI's implied probability of 83.3% leaves very little room for a surprise winner elsewhere in the category, though Resident Evil Requiem's 28.6% at least offers a credible alternative given the strength of that franchise's recent run of releases.

Control Resonant sits at 10.0%, while Crimson Desert and Fable are tied at the foot of this selection at 12/1 apiece, each carrying an implied probability of 7.7%.

Best Multiplayer And Best Independent Game

Away from the night's headline category, Marathon leads the way in Best Multiplayer, while Mina the Hollower holds a narrow edge in Best Independent Game.

Best Multiplayer GameOddsImplied Probability
Marathon2/133.3%
Gears of War: E-Day7/222.2%
Subnautica 210/19.1%
Enshrouded16/15.9%
Grounded 220/14.8%

Marathon's implied probability of 33.3% puts it ahead of Gears of War: E-Day at 22.2%, with the pair accounting for the bulk of the category's confidence between them.

Best Independent Game
OddsImplied Probability
Mina the Hollower2/133.3%
Big Walk3/125.0%
Mixtape18/15.3%
Meccha Chameleon18/15.3%

Best Independent Game looks like a genuine two-horse race, with Mina the Hollower's 33.3% only narrowly ahead of Big Walk's 25.0%, leaving Mixtape and Meccha Chameleon tied well behind at 18/1 apiece.

What the expert says...
GTA VI at that price is about as close to a formality as these awards get, it would take a huge shock for anything else to win Game of the Year this year. The independent category is the one I'd actually watch closest though, Mina the Hollower and Big Walk being that close together tells you the voters genuinely can't separate them.

Jake Ashton - Entertainment Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Where To Bet On The Game Awards 2026

For those looking to get involved in these markets, it's worth comparing prices across a range of betting sites, since odds on award categories like these can shift as the ceremony approaches in December. 

Checking out some of the best entertainment betting sites is a sensible starting point for anyone newer to this type of market.

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