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- The Great British Bake Off returns for Series 17 next Tuesday, 22 September, with Nigella Lawson joining the judging panel alongside Paul Hollywood after Prue Leith's departure.
- Shannon Amy is the early favourite among the betting sites at 6/4 (40.0% implied probability), just ahead of Gabe Capes at 7/4 (36.4%).
- Clara Satchell-Silva and Danni share third spot in the betting at 2/1 (33.3%), with eight of the twelve bakers currently priced between 3/1 and 7/2.
New Judging Line-Up Set As Twelve Bakers Enter The Tent
A new era begins for the Great British Bake Off next Tuesday, 22 September, when Series 17 gets under way with a fresh face behind the judging table.
Nigella Lawson steps into the tent as a judge alongside Paul Hollywood, having replaced Prue Leith following her departure, and it's fair to say the experts have taken plenty of interest in how the twelve new bakers will fare under the new pairing
Shannon Amy has emerged as the early favourite to lift the trophy, with the full field now priced up ahead of the opening episode.
According to Channel 4's release, Amy is a nature-loving foodie who dreams of bringing “a little forest magic” to the Bake Off tent.
Entertainment Betting Sites: Best Bookmakers Compared on Reality TV, Entertainment and Novelty Bets
Great British Bake Off Series 17 Winner Odds
| Baker | Hometown | Occupation | Winner Odds* | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Amy | Gloucestershire | Project planner & scheduler | 6/4 | 40.0% |
| Gabe Capes | West Midlands | Artist & drag king | 7/4 | 36.4% |
| Clara Satchell-Silva | Hertfordshire | Marketing graduate | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Danni | Dorset | HGV service centre administrator | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Yannis | London | Paediatric doctor | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| Mo Mahirr | West Midlands | Law student | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| Tom Whittaker | West Yorkshire | Hairdresser | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| Elizabeth 'Connie' Lewis | London | NHS hospital discharge lead | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| Nikki | London | Advertising post-producer | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Moyin Odeniran | Essex | Political economy student | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Gary Harding | Nottinghamshire | Retired garment technologist | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Molly Chauhan | London | Accessibility coordinator | 7/2 | 22.2% |
Shannon Amy's 6/4 price gives her an implied 40.0% chance of winning, a healthy edge over the rest of the field before a single episode has aired.
Gabe Capes follows at 7/4 (36.4%), with Clara Satchell-Silva and Danni tied for third at 2/1 (33.3%).
From there the market bunches tightly, with Yannis, Mo Mahirr, Tom Whittaker and Elizabeth 'Connie' Lewis all matched at 3/1 (25.0%), and Nikki, Moyin Odeniran, Gary Harding and Molly Chauhan rounding out the field together at 7/2 (22.2%).
*As betting sites currently aren't taking bets on this event, odds have been compiled as theoretical probability from an entertainment perspective only and come from an industry expert
A Big Season For The Judging Panel Too
While the bakers get most of the attention in the betting, Nigella Lawson's arrival is arguably the bigger story of Series 17.
Prue Leith spent a decade on the panel before stepping down, and bringing in a cook with Nigella's profile and following is a genuine change in tone for a show that's built much of its charm around the chemistry between its judges.
How viewers and the remaining bakers respond to that shift could end up shaping the tone of the whole series, quite aside from who eventually takes home the trophy.
What the expert says...
Where To Bet On Bake Off
Bake Off markets are yet to become live across bookmakers, but they may well be available in the coming days.
For a wider look at where these kinds of markets tend to be covered best throughout the series, OLBG's guide to the best entertainment betting sites is a good place to check.
