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- Spider-Man: Brand New Day is odds-on at 1/3 (75.0% implied probability) to be crowned the highest grossing movie of 2026
- Avengers: Doomsday is next best fancied at 6/4 (40.0%) despite not yet featuring in this year's top ten earners
- Spider-Man's current $2.48 billion global haul is comfortably clear of second-placed The Odyssey on $1.73 billion
Spider-Man's Box Office Lead Matches Its Betting Price
The race for the highest-grossing movie of 2026 is well underway, and bookies already have a market that lines up closely with how the box office charts actually look.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits as the clear leader on both counts, priced at 1/3 to finish top after already banking close to $2.5 billion worldwide.
What makes this market particularly interesting is where it doesn't quite match the current standings.
Avengers: Doomsday is priced second favourite at 6/4, despite not yet appearing anywhere in this year's top ten earners, suggesting punters are backing a huge release still to come rather than anything that's already hit cinemas.
The Odyssey, meanwhile, sits second in the actual box office charts but only fourth in the betting at 7/2, some way adrift of the two blockbusters currently favoured ahead of it.
Entertainment Betting Sites: Best Bookmakers Compared on Reality TV, Entertainment and Novelty Bets
Highest Grossing Movie Of 2026 Odds
| Film | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 1/3 | 75.0% |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 6/4 | 40.0% |
| The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | 5/2 | 28.6% |
| The Odyssey | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Toy Story 5 | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Michael | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Dune: Part Three | 30/1 | 3.2% |
| The Hunger Games: Sunrise On The Reaping | 35/1 | 2.8% |
| Jumanji 3 | 35/1 | 2.8% |
Spider-Man's 1/3 price gives it an implied 75.0% chance of finishing the year on top, with Avengers: Doomsday and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie next best fancied at 6/4 and 5/2 respectively.
The Odyssey follows at 7/2, with Toy Story 5 (6/1) and Michael (7/1) rounding out the more competitive end of the market.
Dune: Part Three, The Hunger Games: Sunrise On The Reaping and Jumanji 3 make up the current outsiders, all still to release and priced accordingly as longer-term punts.
How The Current Top Ten Compares
| Rank | Film | Worldwide Gross | International Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | $2.48bn | 61.9% |
| 2 | The Odyssey | $1.73bn | 64.6% |
| 3 | Toy Story 5 | $1.15bn | 58.1% |
| 4 | Michael | $1.03bn | 63.8% |
| 5 | The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | $1.01bn | 57.5% |
| 6 | The Devil Wears Prada 2 | $693m | 68.2% |
| 7 | Project Hail Mary | $685m | 49.8% |
| 8 | Pegasus 3 | $656m | 99.8% |
| 9 | Minions & Monsters | $524m | 65% |
| 10 | Obsession | $519m | 49.3% |
Spider-Man's lead over The Odyssey already stands at more than $750 million, a gap that's proving hard to ignore in the betting even before Avengers: Doomsday and Dune: Part Three have properly weighed in.
Pegasus 3's split stands out too, with a remarkable 99.8% of its gross coming from international markets, while Project Hail Mary and Obsession are the two films in the current top ten running closest to an even domestic-international split.
What the expert says...
Where To Bet On The Box Office Race
As with any long-running specials market, it's worth comparing prices across the betting sites before committing.
For more on where these kinds of entertainment markets are covered well, OLBG's guide to the best entertainment betting sites is worth a browse too.
