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- Amazon MGM Studios and director Denis Villeneuve have reportedly assembled a six-man shortlist to replace Daniel Craig
- Callum Turner sits close behind at 2/1, with Henry Cavill the clearest name from outside the reported shortlist still attracting significant support at 6/1.
- Jack Barton, one of the six names on the shortlist, is not yet included in the betting market, while fellow shortlisted actor Paul Mescal has also yet to be priced.
Villeneuve's Shortlist Takes Shape
According to reports, Amazon MGM Studios and director Denis Villeneuve have put together a shortlist of six actors under consideration to replace Daniel Craig as James Bond, and bookmakers have moved quickly to reflect the news with a reshuffled set of odds.
The shortlist reportedly comprises Jack Barton, Jack Lowden, Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, Paul Mescal and Harris Dickinson, six names that between them cover a genuinely broad range of styles and career stages.
Casting a role this significant has always been treated as something of a national event in its own right, and a shortlist featuring this mix of established leading men and rising stars only adds to the intrigue over who Villeneuve ultimately has in mind.
Villeneuve's own track record with big-budget, tonally serious franchise filmmaking has been well documented in recent years, and it's easy to see why a shortlist assembled under his watch might lean toward actors capable of carrying that same sense of gravity.
Ladbrokes' full market has Jack Lowden as the clear favourite, but there is still plenty of time for that to change.
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Barton And Mescal Yet To Be Priced
Despite being named among the six actors reportedly under consideration, Jack Barton is not currently included in the betting market at all, a notable absence given his inclusion on the shortlist itself.
Paul Mescal, another of the six reportedly shortlisted names, is similarly yet to be priced by bookmakers, leaving two of Villeneuve's reported picks without an entry in the current odds.
For now, though, it means the current odds reflect four of the six shortlisted names alongside several actors who haven't been publicly linked to the same reports but remain well established in the wider betting conversation.
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The Odds: Lowden Leads The Way
With four of the six reportedly shortlisted names now included in the market, Jack Lowden has emerged as the new favourite ahead of a genuinely competitive field.
| Next James Bond | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Lowden | 6/4 | 40.0% |
| Callum Turner | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Henry Cavill | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Jack O'Connell | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Josh O'Connor | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Tom Francis | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Harris Dickinson | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Jacob Elordi | 14/1 | 6.7% |
Lowden's implied probability of 40.0% puts him narrowly ahead of Callum Turner at 33.3%, with the pair combining for the vast majority of the market's confidence between them.
Henry Cavill's 14.3% is the clearest indication that names outside the reported shortlist haven't been forgotten by punters, even with fresh reports pointing elsewhere.
Jack O'Connell, Josh O'Connor and Tom Francis are all tied at 10/1, each carrying an implied probability of 9.1%, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson and Harris Dickinson sit level at 12/1.
What the expert says...
Where To Bet On The Next James Bond
For those looking to get involved in the market, Ladbrokes is offering prices on all nine named contenders, and you can find out more via the Ladbrokes review on OLBG.
With the shortlist reports still developing and two names yet to be priced, this looks like a market well worth following closely on the betting sites over the coming weeks.
Checking out some of the best entertainment betting sites is a sensible starting point for anyone newer to casting markets like this one.
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