- Shaun Wright-Phillips is the 11/10 favourite to become the first Strictly elimination of the series, with Sarah Storey (2/1) the only other couple inside single-figure odds.
- Movie Week dances have been confirmed for most couples, including Shaun and Alexis's Salsa to "You Should Be Dancing" from Saturday Night Fever, though John & Katya, Sarah & Julian and Tabby & Mark are still to be announced.
- In the winner market, Lacey Turner remains clear at the top at 5/2, with John Nellis (10/3) and Dani Dyer (6/1) the nearest challengers.
First Elimination Looms As Movie Week Dances Are Revealed
Strictly Come Dancing's first elimination of the series is edging closer, and UK Betting Sites already have a clear idea of who's most at risk.
Shaun Wright-Phillips is the 11/10 favourite to be the one to leave the competition, with the drama set to play out against the backdrop of Movie Week, one of the show's most eagerly anticipated theme weeks.
Dances for this weekend's Movie Week shows have now been confirmed for the majority of couples, pairing routines with some of cinema's most memorable soundtracks.
Here's how this weekend's lineup currently reads, with John & Katya, Sarah & Julian and Tabby & Mark's dances still to be announced.
Couple | Dance | Music | Film |
|---|---|---|---|
Bethany & Nancy | Paso doble | "No Good Deed" | Wicked: For Good |
Cach & Maddie | Samba | "We Go Together" | Grease |
Chris & Amy | Cha-cha-cha | "I'm Always Here" | Baywatch |
Dani & Nikita | Foxtrot | "Beauty and the Beast" | Beauty and the Beast |
Delta & Kai | American Smooth | "I'll Never Love Again" | A Star Is Born |
Graeme & Lauren | Waltz | "The Godfather Theme" | The Godfather |
Jaime & Carlos | Cha-cha-cha | "Pretty Woman" | Pretty Woman |
Lacey & Vito | Quickstep | "I Knew It, I Knew You" | Toy Story 5 |
Lawrence & Jowita | Viennese waltz | "Le Festin" | Ratatouille |
Melanie & Aljaž | Waltz | "Edelweiss" | The Sound of Music |
Shaun & Alexis | Salsa | "You Should Be Dancing" | Saturday Night Fever |
Will & Dianne | Foxtrot | "Old Time Rock and Roll" | Risky Business |
With Shaun already the clear favourite to leave, his Salsa to Saturday Night Fever takes on extra significance.
Strictly Elimination Odds: Shaun Wright-Phillips The Clear Favourite
Here's how bet365 currently prices this week's elimination:
Strictly First Elimination | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
Shaun Wright-Phillips | 47.6% | |
Sarah Storey | 33.3% | |
Chris Appleton | 15.4% | |
Melanie Walters | 15.4% | |
Jaime Winstone | 6.7% | |
Cach Mercer | 2.4% |
At close to even money, Shaun Wright-Phillips' position as the clear favourite to leave leaves little ambiguity about where the judges' scores and public support have landed so far this series.
Strictly Come Dancing Winner Odds
Away from this week's elimination battle, here's how the outright winner market looks:
Strictly 2026 Winner | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
Lacey Turner | 28.6% | |
John Nellis | 23.1% | |
Dani Dyer | 14.3% | |
Delta Goodrem | 13.3% | |
Lawrence Robb | 9.1% | |
Tabby Stoecker | 7.7% | |
Cach Mercer | 6.7% | |
Will Best | 6.7% | |
Bethany Antonia | 4.8% | |
Graeme Hall | 2.9% | |
Jaime Winstone | 2.0% | |
Chris Appleton | 1.2% | |
Melanie Walters | 1.2% | |
Sarah Storey | 1.0% | |
Shaun Wright-Phillips | 0.8% |
Lacey Turner remains clear at the top of the market at 5/2, with John Nellis the closest challenger at 10/3.
Dani Dyer and Delta Goodrem round out the current top four, both priced closely enough together to suggest the judges haven't yet separated them by much.
Expert View
What the expert says...
Where To Bet On Strictly Come Dancing
These odds are priced up with bet365, as one of the UK's most popular betting sites for Strictly markets.
OLBG's guide to the best entertainment betting sites is worth a look before placing a bet on either market.




