Strictly 2026 Elimination Odds: Shaun Wright-Phillips 11/10 To Go As Movie Week Dances Revealed

Shaun Wright-Phillips is a short-priced 11/10 favourite to become Strictly's first elimination of the series, with Movie Week dances now confirmed for most couples ahead of this weekend's live show.
Strictly 2026 Elimination Odds: Shaun Wright-Phillips 11/10 To Go As Movie Week Dances Revealed
Jake Ashton
Jake Ashton - Your Betting Odds Guide 👍

I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.

  • Shaun Wright-Phillips is the 11/10 favourite to become the first Strictly elimination of the series, with Sarah Storey (2/1) the only other couple inside single-figure odds.
  • Movie Week dances have been confirmed for most couples, including Shaun and Alexis's Salsa to "You Should Be Dancing" from Saturday Night Fever, though John & Katya, Sarah & Julian and Tabby & Mark are still to be announced.
  • In the winner market, Lacey Turner remains clear at the top at 5/2, with John Nellis (10/3) and Dani Dyer (6/1) the nearest challengers.

First Elimination Looms As Movie Week Dances Are Revealed

Strictly Come Dancing's first elimination of the series is edging closer, and UK Betting Sites already have a clear idea of who's most at risk. 

Shaun Wright-Phillips is the 11/10 favourite to be the one to leave the competition, with the drama set to play out against the backdrop of Movie Week, one of the show's most eagerly anticipated theme weeks.

Dances for this weekend's Movie Week shows have now been confirmed for the majority of couples, pairing routines with some of cinema's most memorable soundtracks. 

Here's how this weekend's lineup currently reads, with John & Katya, Sarah & Julian and Tabby & Mark's dances still to be announced.

Couple

Dance

Music

Film

Bethany & Nancy

Paso doble

"No Good Deed"

Wicked: For Good

Cach & Maddie

Samba

"We Go Together"

Grease

Chris & Amy

Cha-cha-cha

"I'm Always Here"

Baywatch

Dani & Nikita

Foxtrot

"Beauty and the Beast"

Beauty and the Beast

Delta & Kai

American Smooth

"I'll Never Love Again"

A Star Is Born

Graeme & Lauren

Waltz

"The Godfather Theme"

The Godfather

Jaime & Carlos

Cha-cha-cha

"Pretty Woman"

Pretty Woman

Lacey & Vito

Quickstep

"I Knew It, I Knew You"

Toy Story 5

Lawrence & Jowita

Viennese waltz

"Le Festin"

Ratatouille

Melanie & Aljaž

Waltz

"Edelweiss"

The Sound of Music

Shaun & Alexis

Salsa

"You Should Be Dancing"

Saturday Night Fever

Will & Dianne

Foxtrot

"Old Time Rock and Roll"

Risky Business

With Shaun already the clear favourite to leave, his Salsa to Saturday Night Fever takes on extra significance.

Strictly Elimination Odds: Shaun Wright-Phillips The Clear Favourite

Here's how bet365 currently prices this week's elimination:

Strictly First Elimination

Odds

Implied Probability

Shaun Wright-Phillips

11/10

47.6%

Sarah Storey

2/1

33.3%

Chris Appleton

11/2

15.4%

Melanie Walters

11/2

15.4%

Jaime Winstone

14/1

6.7%

Cach Mercer

40/1

2.4%

At close to even money, Shaun Wright-Phillips' position as the clear favourite to leave leaves little ambiguity about where the judges' scores and public support have landed so far this series.

Strictly Come Dancing Winner Odds

Away from this week's elimination battle, here's how the outright winner market looks:

Strictly 2026 Winner

Odds

Implied Probability

Lacey Turner

5/2

28.6%

John Nellis

10/3

23.1%

Dani Dyer

6/1

14.3%

Delta Goodrem

13/2

13.3%

Lawrence Robb

10/1

9.1%

Tabby Stoecker

12/1

7.7%

Cach Mercer

14/1

6.7%

Will Best

14/1

6.7%

Bethany Antonia

20/1

4.8%

Graeme Hall

33/1

2.9%

Jaime Winstone

50/1

2.0%

Chris Appleton

80/1

1.2%

Melanie Walters

80/1

1.2%

Sarah Storey

100/1

1.0%

Shaun Wright-Phillips

125/1

0.8%

Lacey Turner remains clear at the top of the market at 5/2, with John Nellis the closest challenger at 10/3. 

Dani Dyer and Delta Goodrem round out the current top four, both priced closely enough together to suggest the judges haven't yet separated them by much.

Expert View

What the expert says...
Shaun finished joint bottom of the judges leaderboard last week and will need a big performance on Week 2 to push himself away from that danger zone, both with the judges and viewers at home.

Jake Ashton - Strictly Betting Expert - OLBG.com

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