Strictly Come Dancing 2026: The Odds Ahead Of The First Live Show

Dani Dyer remains the Strictly Come Dancing 2026 favourite ahead of tomorrow's first live show, with John Nellis and Will Best both shortening sharply since the professional pairings were revealed.
Strictly Come Dancing 2026: The Odds Ahead Of The First Live Show
Jake Ashton
Jake Ashton - Your Betting Odds Guide 👍

I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.

  • Dani Dyer remains the Strictly Come Dancing favourite at 10/3
  • John Nellis and Will Best have both moved in market
  • Bet365 give full odds ahead of first live show

Nellis And Best Shorten As Ballroom Action Looms

This year's series of Strictly kicked off last weekend with the launch show, but it's tomorrow night that really matters, as the celebrities take to the ballroom floor for the first live show of the series. 

With professional pairings now confirmed, bookmakers have reshuffled the market considerably, and a couple of names in particular have caught the eye since our last look at this race.

Dani Dyer remains out in front, but even she has shortened since the launch, moving from 7/2 to 10/3 as her partnership with Nikita Kuzmin appears to have done nothing to dent her position as the celebrity to beat. 

The bigger story, though, belongs further down the field, where John Nellis and Will Best have both shortened dramatically now that viewers have had their first proper look at how each celebrity has been paired.

Strictly Come Dancing 2026 Winner Odds

CelebrityProfessional PartnerOddsImplied Probability
Dani DyerNikita Kuzmin10/323.1%
Lawrence RobbJowita Przystał5/116.7%
Delta GoodremKai Widdrington6/114.3%
Lacey TurnerVito Coppola15/211.8%
John NellisKatya Jones8/111.1%
Will BestDianne Buswell9/110.0%
Tabby StoeckerMark Karmalita10/19.1%
Cach MercerMaddie Ingoldsby14/16.7%
Bethany AntoniaNancy Xu22/14.3%
Jaime WinstoneCarlos Gu22/14.3%
Graeme HallLauren Oakley28/13.4%
Melanie WaltersAljaž Škorjanec33/12.9%
Sarah StoreyJulian Caillon33/12.9%
Shaun Wright-PhillipsAlexis Warr40/12.4%
Chris AppletonAmy Dowden40/12.4%

Dani Dyer's 10/3 price gives her an implied 23.1% chance of winning, with Lawrence Robb next at 5/1 (16.7%) and Delta Goodrem close behind at 6/1 (14.3%). 

Lacey Turner rounds out the current top four at 15/2, while John Nellis and Will Best have both moved into the top six. 

Tabby Stoecker and Cach Mercer occupy the middle of the market, and the rest of the field spans 22/1 through to a shared longest price of 40/1 for Shaun Wright-Phillips and Chris Appleton.
15/2

How The Market Has Shifted Since The Launch Show

It's worth comparing today's prices against how the market looked before the pairings were revealed, and the movement tells its own story. 

Nellis's shift from 12/1 to 8/1 alongside Katya Jones is one of the sharpest we've seen, and Will Best has followed a near-identical path, tightening from 12/1 to 9/1 with Dianne Buswell in his corner. 

Lawrence Robb and Delta Goodrem have also come in slightly, from 11/2 and 7/1, respectively.

At the other end, several names have drifted out considerably. 

Melanie Walters has moved from 16/1 to 33/1, Graeme Hall from 16/1 to 28/1, and Shaun Wright-Phillips from 28/1 to 40/1, suggesting their pairings haven't generated quite the same early buzz.

What the expert says...
Dani Dyer shortening rather than drifting after the launch show tells you the pairing with Nikita hasn't dampened any of the goodwill around her comeback story. The move I find most interesting is John Nellis, though; going from 12/1 to 8/1 off the back of one pairing reveal is a big jump, and Katya's proven track record with contestants who improve fast makes that shortening feel earned rather than hype.

Jake Ashton - Strictly Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Where To Bet On Strictly

Bet365 have this year's field fully priced up, and you can read more about what they offer via OLBG's bet365 review.

For a wider look at where these kinds of markets tend to be covered well throughout the series, OLBG's guide to the best entertainment betting sites is worth a browse too.

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