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- Lacey Turner has surged to favourite at 5/2 having scored 27 with Vito Coppola for their Cha-Cha-Cha to Whitney Houston.
- John Nellis topped the actual judges' leaderboard with 31 points for his Foxtrot with Katya Jones
- Dani Dyer, last week's favourite, has drifted out to 11/2
Turner Takes Over As Leaderboard Throws Up A Twist
This year's Strictly Come Dancing live shows kicked off at the weekend and it looks set to be another great series on the iconic ballroom.
The couples took to the floor for their first dances of the series, and the bookmakers have reshuffled the winner market considerably in response.
Lacey Turner and Vito Coppola's Cha-Cha-Cha to Whitney Houston's "How Will I Know" has proven the standout moment for bettors, propelling her straight to favourite at 5/2.
John Nellis, whose Foxtrot with Katya Jones to "Ordinary" earned a table-topping 31 points, has been one of the biggest market movers after he impressed the judges.
bet365's market now puts Nellis at 10/3 to be crowned Strictly champion this series.
How The Couples Scored On Week One
| Couple | Score | Dance |
|---|---|---|
| John & Katya | 31 | Foxtrot |
| Delta & Kai | 29 | Samba |
| Lacey & Vito | 27 | Cha-Cha-Cha |
| Bethany & Nancy | 26 | Quickstep |
| Graeme & Lauren | 24 | Cha-Cha-Cha |
| Dani & Nikita | 22 | Samba |
| Jaime & Carlos | 21 | Tango |
| Cach & Maddie | 20 | Quickstep |
| Lawrence & Jowita | 20 | Paso Doble |
| Will & Dianne | 18 | Samba |
| Chris & Amy | 16 | Tango |
| Sarah & Julian | 15 | Quickstep |
| Shaun & Alexis | 15 | Cha-Cha-Cha |
| Melanie & Aljaž | 15 | Cha-Cha-Cha |
Strictly Come Dancing 2026 Winner Odds
| Strictly Come Dancing 2026 Winner | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Lacey Turner | 5/2 | 28.6% |
| John Nellis | 10/3 | 23.1% |
| Dani Dyer | 11/2 | 15.4% |
| Delta Goodrem | 13/2 | 13.3% |
| Lawrence Robb | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Cach Mercer | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Tabby Stoecker | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| Bethany Antonia | 20/1 | 4.8% |
| Will Best | 22/1 | 4.3% |
| Graeme Hall | 33/1 | 2.9% |
| Jaime Winstone | 33/1 | 2.9% |
| Chris Appleton | 66/1 | 1.5% |
| Melanie Walters | 80/1 | 1.2% |
| Sarah Storey | 100/1 | 1.0% |
| Shaun Wright-Phillips | 125/1 | 0.8% |
Turner's 5/2 price gives her an implied 28.6% chance of winning, with Nellis close behind at 10/3 (23.1%).
Dani Dyer and Delta Goodrem occupy third and fourth at 11/2 and 13/2 respectively, while Lawrence Robb rounds out the current top five at 10/1.
Scores Don't Tell The Whole Story
Delta Goodrem's case is another example of the gap between the leaderboard and the betting.
Her 29-point Samba was the second-highest score of the night, yet she trails in fourth in the winner market at 13/2.
Meanwhile, Dani Dyer's comeback narrative made her the clear pre-series favourite in our last update, but a middling 22 points has seen her drift from 10/3 to 11/2, suggesting her story alone may not be enough to sustain that position without the scores to back it up.
With no one eliminated last weekend and the first vote-off not happening until this Saturday, there's still plenty of scope for this market to move again.
What the expert says...
Where To Bet On Strictly
Bet365 have this year's field fully priced up, and you can read more about what they offer via OLBG's bet365 review.
For a wider look at where these kinds of markets tend to be covered well throughout the series, OLBG's guide to the best entertainment betting sites is worth a browse too.
