You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Dewhurst Stakes Preview
Established in 1875, the Dewhurst Stakes is scheduled to take place in October of each year at the Newmarket racecourse. This Group 1 race is open to two-year-old colts and fillies only and is over a straight seven furlongs.
The race takes place during the Future Champions Festival and can produce 'Classic' contenders for the following season. City of Troy won this race in 2023 for Aidan O'Brien and then went on to win the following season's Derby.
National Stakes Route Has Gone Quiet
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Dewhurst Stakes Information:
We also have a dedicated Newmarket tips page that will cover this race, as well as all the other races on the day. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Future Champions Festival section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026 (UKGC Regulated)
How competitive is the Dewhurst Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013, when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Dewhurst Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Dewhurst Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Dewhurst Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Dewhurst Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- U S Navy Flag (1:22.37) in 2017
- Darkness Falls (1:22.47) in 2026
- Chaldean (1:22.54) in 2022
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Dewhurst Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -3.14. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2014 renewal when Belardo from Roger Varian under the guidance of Andrea Atzeni, won in a time of 1:27.31, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, U S Navy Flag, trained by A P O'Brien and ridden by Ryan Moore set the quickest time of 1:22.37 in the 2017 renewal.
Dewhurst Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Dewhurst Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed are the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Dewhurst Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 1:22.47 | Darkness Falls (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (5 of 5) 6/4 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2025 1:23.39 | Gewan (GB) 2yo 9-3 (5 of 9) 25/1 | James Doyle Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2024 1:26.70 | Shadow Of Light (GB) 2yo 9-3 (1 of 5) 1/1F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2023 1:24.85 | City Of Troy (USA) 2yo 9-3 (2 of 8) 8/15F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2022 1:22.54 | Chaldean (GB) 2yo 9-3 (5 of 7) 5/2F | Frankie Dettori Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2021 1:24.82 | Native Trail (GB) 2yo 9-1 (5 of 8) 5/6F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2020 1:25.24 | St Marks Basilica (FR) 2yo 9-1 (12 of 14) 10/1 | Frankie Dettori A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2019 1:26.55 | Pinatubo (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (2 of 9) 1/3F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2018 1:24.35 | Too Darn Hot (GB) 2yo 9-1 (5 of 7) 1/1F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2017 1:22.37 | U S Navy Flag (USA) 2yo 9-1 (1 of 9) 5/1 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Dewhurst Stakes have been based:
- IRE: 12 winners with an additional 13 placings from 54 runners
- GB: 8 winners with an additional 17 placings from 111 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2026 Dewhurst Stakes Replay
Dewhurst Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Dewhurst Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race eight times, with those eight winners coming from Beethoven (2009), War Command (2013), Air Force Blue (2015), Churchill (2016), U S Navy Flag (2017), St Marks Basilica (2020), City Of Troy (2023) and Darkness Falls (2026). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Dewhurst Stakes are J S Bolger (4 wins), Charlie Appleby (3 wins) and Andrew Balding (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Dewhurst Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 40-8-19 | +20.34 | +28.65 |
| J S Bolger | 11-4-5 | +34.80 | +22.72 |
| Charlie Appleby | 13-3-5 | -7.84 | -7.34 |
| Andrew Balding | 9-2-2 | +20.50 | +9.56 |
| John Gosden | 8-1-2 | -6.00 | -5.57 |
| Roger Varian | 3-1-2 | +8.00 | +5.65 |
| Brian Meehan | 9-0-2 | -9.00 | -6.00 |
| Richard Hannon | 6-0-0 | -6.00 | -6.00 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
| Charles Hills | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -1.00 |
Dewhurst Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Dewhurst Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race six times, with those six winners coming from Beethoven (2009), Air Force Blue (2015), Churchill (2016), U S Navy Flag (2017), City Of Troy (2023) and Darkness Falls (2026). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Dewhurst Stakes is William Buick (3 wins).
Here are some of the top Dewhurst Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 15-6-10 | +32.43 | +20.73 |
| William Buick | 12-3-5 | -6.84 | -6.34 |
| James Doyle | 7-1-2 | +19.00 | +10.70 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 3-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.25 |
| Tom Queally | 1-1-1 | +0.67 | +0.42 |
| Oisin Murphy | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -5.62 |
| Wayne Lordan | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -0.50 |
| Seamie Heffernan | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -2.10 |
| Jamie Spencer | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | +0.00 |
| Rossa Ryan | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
2027 Dewhurst Stakes Trends
Favourites' finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 7, 10, 1, 2, 1, 1, 4, 1, 1, 9, 1, 1, 3, 1, (1, 3), 1, 1, 2, 2
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (70%) - Highest Run is not G3/LST/Cl2-5
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Highest Placed is not Cl2-5
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Achieved an RPR of 102+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Highest Won is not Cl4-5
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved an RPR of 97+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 33/1
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Beaten no more -4l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 9/1 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 2 - 5 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 74+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Break of 14 - 91 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 60+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 54+ (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (87%) - Within the first 8 of the market
- 18 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Newmarket racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Dewhurst Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Dewhurst Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2027 Dewhurst Stakes Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Dewhurst Stakes will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually made 48 hours before the race.
Dewhurst Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +55.77, is when runners had a highest class run of Class 1 (G1).
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 5th in the betting market; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-24.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 5 (3) [5 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 5 (6,7) [9 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 1 (4) [5 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 2 (4,1) [8 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 5 (7) [7 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Dewhurst Stakes is Curragh; there have been a total of 9 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Doncaster; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Doncaster last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Dewhurst Stakes:
- Galileo (3 Wins)
- War Front (3 Wins)
- Lope De Vega (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Dewhurst Stakes; that stallion is No Nay Never, who has failed to produce a winner from 10 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Beethoven in 2009, winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Ryan Moore. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 12 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2027 Dewhurst Stakes, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Route to the Dewhurst Stakes
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Dewhurst Stakes. These are the races in which the recent winners ran before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Darkness Falls Leopardstown - 1st of 9 (1/1) | Golden Fleece Stakes |
| 2025 - Gewan Doncaster - 4th of 5 (6/5) | Champagne Stakes |
| 2024 - Shadow Of Light Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 6 (11/4) | Middle Park Stakes |
| 2023 - City Of Troy Newmarket (July) - 1st of 9 (4/6) | Superlative Stakes |
| 2022 - Chaldean Doncaster - 1st of 3 (2/1) | Champagne Stakes |
| 2021 - Native Trail Curragh - 1st of 7 (7/2) | National Stakes |
| 2020 - St Marks Basilica Curragh - 3rd of 10 (9/1) | National Stakes |
| 2019 - Pinatubo Curragh - 1st of 8 (1/3) | National Stakes |
| 2018 - Too Darn Hot Doncaster - 1st of 6 (4/11) | Champagne Stakes |
| 2017 - U S Navy Flag Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 12 (10/1) | Middle Park Stakes |
Other Principal races during the Future Champions Festival
Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Dewhurst Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Future Champions Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Friday Challenge Stakes | Never So Brave (IRE) 5yo - 4/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| Friday Fillies Mile | Musical Times (IRE) 2yo - 4/9 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| Friday Old Rowley Cup | Study Of Words (IRE) 3yo - 10/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| Saturday Dewhurst Stakes | Darkness Falls (IRE) 2yo - 6/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| Saturday Cesarewitch Handicap | Alphonse Le Grande (IRE) 7yo - 18/1 | A J Martin Patrick McGettigan |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Dewhurst Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
About the author
About the author and editor
