You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Preview
The Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile, as the name suggests, is run over a mile on the dirt during the Breeders' Cup. First run in 2007, this race is open to runners aged three years old or older and was made a G1 in 2009.
New York Form Leads the Way
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Information:
- Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Past Winners
- Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Trainer Statistics
- Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Jockey Statistics
We also have a dedicated Keeneland tips page that will cover this race, as well as all the other races on the day. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Breeders' Cup Schedule section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026 (UKGC Regulated)
How competitive is the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 19 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2011, when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2015 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 19 renewals of the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile races over the last 19 renewals:
- Albertus Maximus (1:33.41) in 2008
- City Of Light (1:33.83) in 2018
- Knicks Go (1:33.85) in 2020
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 19 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile next time out, then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 13 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +2.13. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2026 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile.
The runner that holds the record over the past 19 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2007 renewal when Corinthian from James Jerkens under the guidance of Kent J Desormeaux, won in a time of 1:39.06, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Albertus Maximus, trained by Vladimir Cerin and ridden by G K Gomez set the quickest time of 1:33.41 in the 2008 renewal.
Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Challenge Series
Here are the races that are included in the Breeders' Cup Challenge Series for the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile:
- Gran Premio Pedro Pineyrua (Maroñas)
- Metropolitan Handicap (Saratoga)
- Pat OBrien Stakes (Del Mar)
- The Forego (Saratoga)
- OBS Korea Cup (Seoul)
Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Past Winners
Here are the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed are the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 1:34.71 | Nysos (USA) 4yo 9-0 (3 of 8) 7/10F | Flavien Prat Bob Baffert (USA) |
| 2024 1:35.48 | Full Serrano (ARG) 5yo 9-0 (3 of 13) 134/10 | Joel Rosario John W Sadler (USA) |
| 2023 1:35.97 | Codys Wish (USA) 5yo 9-0 (2 of 7) 4/5F | Junior Alvarado William Mott (USA) |
| 2022 1:35.33 | Codys Wish (USA) 4yo 9-0 (6 of 9) 43/20F | Junior Alvarado William Mott (USA) |
| 2021 1:34.12 | Life Is Good (USA) 3yo 8-11 (5 of 8) 7/10F | Irad Ortiz Jr Todd Pletcher (USA) |
| 2020 1:33.85 | Knicks Go (USA) 4yo 9-0 (5 of 12) 15/8F | Joel Rosario Brad H Cox (USA) |
| 2019 1:36.58 | Spun To Run (USA) 3yo 8-11 (3 of 10) 8/1 | Irad Ortiz Jr Juan Carlos Guerrero (USA) |
| 2018 1:33.83 | City Of Light (USA) 4yo 9-0 (1 of 9) 11/4 | Javier Castellano Michael McCarthy (USA) |
| 2017 1:35.20 | Battle Of Midway (USA) 3yo 8-11 (9 of 10) 18/1 | Flavien Prat Jerry Hollendorfer (USA) |
| 2016 1:35.72 | Tamarkuz (USA) 6yo 9-0 (8 of 9) 14/1 | Mike E Smith Kiaran McLaughlin (USA) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile have been based:
- USA: 19 winners with an additional 31 placings from 167 runners
- GB: 0 winners with an additional 3 placings from 6 runners
- CAN: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 5 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
- JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
- KOR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
- CHI: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2025 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Replay
Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Trainer Statistics
There are multiple leading trainers in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile over the last 19 renewals, with Todd Pletcher, Jerry Hollendorfer, and William Mott having all won the race twice. Todd Pletcher winners have been with Liams Map (2015) and Life Is Good (2021). Jerry Hollendorfer winners have been with Dakota Phone (2010) and Battle Of Midway (2017). William Mott winners have been with Codys Wish (2022 & 2023).
Here are some of the top Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile trainer statistics over the last 19 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Pletcher | 7-2-3 | -3.80 | -1.28 |
| Jerry Hollendorfer | 4-2-2 | +41.00 | +23.80 |
| William Mott | 4-2-3 | +0.95 | +0.79 |
| Bob Baffert | 15-1-3 | -13.30 | -11.42 |
| Steven Asmussen | 13-1-3 | +8.00 | +2.10 |
| John W Sadler | 6-1-2 | +8.40 | +7.54 |
| Brad H Cox | 6-1-2 | -3.12 | -3.05 |
| Doug O'Neill | 5-1-2 | +1.00 | +1.26 |
| Kiaran McLaughlin | 4-1-1 | +11.00 | +5.40 |
| Michael McCarthy | 3-1-1 | +0.75 | -0.35 |
Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile over the last 19 renewals is Joel Rosario, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Dakota Phone (2010), Knicks Go (2020) and Full Serrano (2024). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile are Rafael Bejarano (2 wins), Javier Castellano (2 wins), Flavien Prat (2 wins), Irad Ortiz Jr (2 wins) and Junior Alvarado (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile jockey statistics over the last 19 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Rosario | 13-3-6 | +30.28 | +20.97 |
| Rafael Bejarano | 8-2-2 | -0.38 | -2.63 |
| Javier Castellano | 8-2-3 | -2.75 | -2.80 |
| Flavien Prat | 7-2-5 | +13.70 | +10.82 |
| Irad Ortiz Jr | 5-2-3 | +5.70 | +3.62 |
| Junior Alvarado | 2-2-2 | +2.95 | +1.79 |
| Mike E Smith | 8-1-2 | +7.00 | +2.00 |
| Julien R Leparoux | 5-1-1 | +12.00 | +5.60 |
| G K Gomez | 4-1-3 | +2.50 | +1.87 |
| Rajiv Maragh | 2-1-1 | +6.00 | +3.20 |
2026 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Trends
Favourites' finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 9, 4, 11, 7, 6, 4, 1, 1, 4, 8, 6, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 3, 1
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the Racing Post in terms of previous runs, etc.
- 19 / 19 (76%) - Not in a G3/Cl3 (Last Win)
- 19 / 19 (79%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 19 / 19 (82%) - Highest Run is not G2-3/LST
- 19 / 19 (82%) - Not on SFT/GD/GF/FM/SLW/STD (Last Win)
- 19 / 19 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 109+ (Last 3)
- 19 / 19 (84%) - Furthest Won 1m - 1m1½f
- 19 / 19 (84%) - In a field of 4 - 10 (LTO)
- 19 / 19 (86%) - Furthest ran 1m - 1m2f
- 19 / 19 (89%) - Ran over 7f - 1m1f (Last Win)
- 18 / 19 (82%) - Ran on FS (LTO)
- 18 / 19 (84%) - Within the first 8 of the market
- 18 / 19 (89%) - No older than a 5yo
- 18 / 19 (89%) - Placed within last 2 starts
- 17 / 19 (72%) - Achieved an RPR of 111+ (Going)
- 17 / 19 (77%) - No bigger than 36/1 (Career)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Keeneland racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2026 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2026 renewal of the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually made 48 hours before the race.
Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +31.62, is when runners were Bay in colour.
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G3) when last winning; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-38.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 3 (6,7) [8 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 3 (8,9) [13 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 2 (7) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (7,1) [9 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 5 (3,6) [8 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile is Saratoga; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Saratoga last time out. The next best courses, which have produced the second most winners, are Santa Anita and Belmont Park; there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile:
- Into Mischief (3 Wins)
- Curlin (2 Wins)
- Smart Strike (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile despite multiple attempts:
- Tiznow (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Giants Causeway (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 19 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Dakota Phone in 2010, winning for Jerry Hollendorfer at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Joel Rosario. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 19 renewals, there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2026 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile, head over to see which runners the best racing tipsters are tipping today. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for International racing.
About the author
About the author and editor
Breeders' Cup Schedule
Breeders' Cup Juvenile races on Friday
Friday at the Breeders' Cup is all about the Juveniles; we have five Grade 1 races dedicated to the 2-year-old runners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 18:55 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint | Cy Fair (USA) 2yo - 5/1 | George Weaver Irad Ortiz Jr |
| 19:35 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies | Super Corredora (USA) 2yo - 44/5 | John W Sadler Hector I Berrios |
| 20:15 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf | Balantina (IRE) 2yo - 14/1 | Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Oisin Murphy |
| 20:55 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Juvenile | Ted Noffey (USA) 2yo - 4/5 | Todd Pletcher John R Velazquez |
| 19:42 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint | Splendora (USA) 4yo - 29/10 | Bob Baffert Flavien Prat |
Breeders' Cup Championship races on Friday
The Championship races on Saturday at the Breeders' Cup sees a total of nine Grade 1 races, with the highlight of the American season, the Breeders' Cup Classic.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 21:35 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf | Gstaad (GB) 2yo - 6/5 | A P O'Brien Christophe Soumillon |
| 17:10 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile | Nysos (USA) 4yo - 7/10 | Bob Baffert Flavien Prat |
| 17:48 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint | Shisospicy (USA) 3yo - 53/10 | Jose Francisco D'Angelo Irad Ortiz Jr |
| 18:26 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Sprint | Bentornato (USA) 4yo - 17/10 | Jose Francisco D'Angelo Irad Ortiz Jr |
| 19:04 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf | Gezora (FR) 3yo - 91/10 | F-H Graffard Mickael Barzalona |
| 20:20 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Mile | Notable Speech (GB) 4yo - 13/5 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 20:58 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Distaff | Scylla (USA) 5yo - 76/10 | William Mott Junior Alvarado |
| 21:36 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Turf | Ethical Diamond (IRE) 5yo - 28/1 | W P Mullins Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| 22:16 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Classic | Forever Young (JPN) 4yo - 7/2 | Yoshito Yahagi Ryusei Sakai |
