You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Preview
The Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf was first introduced in 2007. The race is open to two-year-old runners and, since 2011, has been a Grade 1 race that is run over a mile on the turf.
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Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Information:
- Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Past Winners
- Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Trainer Statistics
- Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Jockey Statistics
Our dedicated Keeneland tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Keeneland throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Breeders' Cup Schedule section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026 (UKGC Regulated)
How competitive is the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 19 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2017, when the race had an over-round of 115%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 19 renewals of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf races over the last 19 renewals:
- Outstrip (1:33.20) in 2013
- Oscar Performance (1:33.28) in 2016
- Unquestionable (1:33.65) in 2023
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 19 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf next time out, then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -8.40. Ahead of the 2026 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
The runner that holds the record over the past 19 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2007 renewal when Nownownow from Francois Parisel under the guidance of Julien R Leparoux, won in a time of 1:40.48, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Outstrip, trained by Charlie Appleby and ridden by Mike E Smith set the quickest time of 1:33.20 in the 2013 renewal.
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Challenge Series
Here are the races that are included in the Breeders' Cup Challenge Series for the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf:
- Acomb Stakes (York)
- Summer Stakes (Woodbine)
- National Stakes (Curragh)
- The Pilgrim (Belmont Park)
- Bourbon Stakes (Keeneland)
- Prix Jean-Luc Lagardère (Longchamp)
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Past Winners
Here are the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed are the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 1:34.93 | Gstaad (GB) 2yo 8-10 (14 of 14) 6/5F | Christophe Soumillon A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2024 1:34.48 | Henri Matisse (IRE) 2yo 8-10 (12 of 12) 39/10F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2023 1:33.65 | Unquestionable (FR) 2yo 8-10 (7 of 11) 6/4F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2022 1:35.99 | Victoria Road (IRE) 2yo 8-10 (1 of 14) 558/100 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2021 1:34.72 | Modern Games (IRE) 2yo 8-10 (1 of 13) 13/8F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2020 1:35.81 | Fire At Will (USA) 2yo 8-10 (7 of 14) 33/1 | Ricardo Santana Jr Michael J Maker (USA) |
| 2019 1:35.11 | Structor (USA) 2yo 8-10 (2 of 14) 11/2 | Jose L Ortiz Chad C Brown (USA) |
| 2018 1:40.06 | Line of Duty (IRE) 2yo 8-10 (5 of 14) 3/1F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2017 1:35.97 | Mendelssohn (USA) 2yo 8-10 (1 of 14) 9/2 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 1:33.28 | Oscar Performance (USA) 2yo 8-10 (13 of 14) 7/1 | Jose L Ortiz Brian A Lynch (CAN) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf have been based:
- IRE: 8 winners with an additional 7 placings from 29 runners
- USA: 5 winners with an additional 24 placings from 156 runners
- GB: 5 winners with an additional 4 placings from 40 runners
- CAN: 1 winner with an additional 3 placings from 22 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
- JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2025 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Replay
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf over the last 19 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race eight times, with those eight winners coming from Wrote (2011), George Vancouver (2012), Hit It A Bomb (2015), Mendelssohn (2017), Victoria Road (2022), Unquestionable (2023), Henri Matisse (2024) and Gstaad (2025). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf are Charlie Appleby (3 wins) and John Gosden (2 wins). One trainer has not had the best of times in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf; Mark Casse has sent a total of 17 runners to the race without recording a win.
Here are some of the top Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf trainer statistics over the last 19 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 25-8-14 | +19.18 | +12.06 |
| Charlie Appleby | 7-3-5 | +4.00 | +2.90 |
| John Gosden | 4-2-2 | +6.50 | +3.10 |
| Todd Pletcher | 16-1-2 | -6.00 | -8.70 |
| Chad C Brown | 16-1-5 | -9.50 | -6.78 |
| Michael J Maker | 11-1-2 | +23.00 | +11.90 |
| Wesley A Ward | 8-1-4 | -3.00 | +1.90 |
| Francois Parisel | 1-1-1 | +11.00 | +6.60 |
| Brian A Lynch | 1-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.20 |
| Mark Casse | 17-0-2 | -17.00 | -15.08 |
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf over the last 19 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race seven times, with those seven winners coming from Wrote (2011), George Vancouver (2012), Hit It A Bomb (2015), Mendelssohn (2017), Victoria Road (2022), Unquestionable (2023) and Henri Matisse (2024). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf are Frankie Dettori (3 wins), William Buick (2 wins) and Jose L Ortiz (2 wins). Two jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 19 renewals in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf: John R Velazquez has ridden 15 runners in the race without recording any wins, whilst Joel Rosario has ridden 14 without a winner.
Here are some of the top Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf jockey statistics over the last 19 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 15-7-9 | +26.98 | +14.56 |
| Frankie Dettori | 9-3-3 | +6.50 | +1.50 |
| William Buick | 8-2-4 | -4.00 | -2.70 |
| Jose L Ortiz | 6-2-5 | +8.50 | +9.30 |
| Julien R Leparoux | 9-1-3 | +3.00 | +1.00 |
| G K Gomez | 6-1-1 | +4.00 | +0.40 |
| Mike E Smith | 5-1-2 | +2.00 | +1.20 |
| Ricardo Santana Jr | 2-1-1 | +32.00 | +18.80 |
| Christophe Soumillon | 1-1-1 | +1.20 | +0.72 |
| John R Velazquez | 15-0-1 | -15.00 | -12.50 |
2026 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Trends
Favourites' finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 2, 1, 6, 7, 4, 3, 12, 2, 3, 6, (1, 9), 5, 2, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the Racing Post in terms of previous runs, etc.
- 19 / 19 (63%) - Achieved an RPR of 101+ (LTO)
- 19 / 19 (80%) - Within the first 10 of the market
- 19 / 19 (80%) - Achieved an RPR of 84+ (Last Win)
- 19 / 19 (85%) - No bigger than 33/1
- 19 / 19 (86%) - Beaten no more -3¾l (LTO)
- 19 / 19 (86%) - Fewer than 1 races (Course)
- 19 / 19 (88%) - Not on HY/SLW/FS (LTO)
- 19 / 19 (88%) - Highest Won is not G1/Cl3/Cl5
- 19 / 19 (88%) - Fewer than 2 placings (Trip)
- 19 / 19 (88%) - Not in a G1/Cl3/Cl5 (Last Win)
- 19 / 19 (88%) - Not on HY/SLW/FS (Last Win)
- 19 / 19 (89%) - Fewer than 1 placings (Course)
- 19 / 19 (89%) - Not in a G2-3/Cl5 (Debut)
- 16 / 19 (57%) - No bigger than 7/2 (Last Win)
- 16 / 19 (62%) - Won by at least 1l (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Keeneland racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf by adding a tip on the race here.
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2026 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2026 renewal of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually made 48 hours before the race.
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Trend Analysis
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were off a break of 26 days; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-45.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 14 (8,6) [14 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 12 (6,11) [12 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 7 (10,4) [11 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (4,9) [14 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 1 (3,5) [13 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf is Newmarket (Rowley); there have been a total of 7 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best courses, which have produced the second most winners, are Longchamp and Belmont Park; there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf; that stallion, Wootton Bassett, has produced 2 winners (2024,2023).
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf; that stallion is City Zip, who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 19 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Fire At Will in 2020, winning for Michael J Maker at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Ricardo Santana Jr. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 19 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2026 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf, head over to see which runners the best racing tipsters are tipping today. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for International racing.
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Breeders' Cup Schedule
Breeders' Cup Juvenile races on Friday
Friday at the Breeders' Cup is all about the Juveniles; we have five Grade 1 races dedicated to the 2-year-old runners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 18:55 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint | Cy Fair (USA) 2yo - 5/1 | George Weaver Irad Ortiz Jr |
| 19:35 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies | Super Corredora (USA) 2yo - 44/5 | John W Sadler Hector I Berrios |
| 20:15 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf | Balantina (IRE) 2yo - 14/1 | Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Oisin Murphy |
| 20:55 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Juvenile | Ted Noffey (USA) 2yo - 4/5 | Todd Pletcher John R Velazquez |
| 19:42 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint | Splendora (USA) 4yo - 29/10 | Bob Baffert Flavien Prat |
Breeders' Cup Championship races on Friday
The Championship races on Saturday at the Breeders' Cup sees a total of nine Grade 1 races, with the highlight of the American season, the Breeders' Cup Classic.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 21:35 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf | Gstaad (GB) 2yo - 6/5 | A P O'Brien Christophe Soumillon |
| 17:10 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile | Nysos (USA) 4yo - 7/10 | Bob Baffert Flavien Prat |
| 17:48 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint | Shisospicy (USA) 3yo - 53/10 | Jose Francisco D'Angelo Irad Ortiz Jr |
| 18:26 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Sprint | Bentornato (USA) 4yo - 17/10 | Jose Francisco D'Angelo Irad Ortiz Jr |
| 19:04 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf | Gezora (FR) 3yo - 91/10 | F-H Graffard Mickael Barzalona |
| 20:20 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Mile | Notable Speech (GB) 4yo - 13/5 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 20:58 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Distaff | Scylla (USA) 5yo - 76/10 | William Mott Junior Alvarado |
| 21:36 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Turf | Ethical Diamond (IRE) 5yo - 28/1 | W P Mullins Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| 22:16 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Classic | Forever Young (JPN) 4yo - 7/2 | Yoshito Yahagi Ryusei Sakai |
