You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 Breeders' Cup Mile Preview
The Breeders' Cup Mile is run on the turf over a mile, open to runners 3yo+. First run in 1984, there is a purse of $2m on offer, and in 2018, Sir Michael Stoute ended the American run of 7 straight winners in the race. That was the first European success since Goldikova's third win in 2010 and was the first UK/IRE success since 1995 when John Oxx's Ridgewood Pearl won.
The other European success in the race was with Vincent O'Brien in 1990, Francois Boutin with back-to-back wins in 1987-88, John Gosden's success in 1984, Aidan O'Brien, who had the 1-2-3 in 2020 and then Charlie Appleby won three on the bounce with Space Blues (2021), Modern Games (2022) and Master of The Seas (2023).
Keeneland Leads the Way
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Breeders' Cup Mile Information:
- Breeders' Cup Mile Past Winners
- Breeders' Cup Mile Trainer Statistics
- Breeders' Cup Mile Jockey Statistics
Our dedicated Keeneland tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Breeders' Cup Mile, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Keeneland throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Breeders' Cup Schedule section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026 (UKGC Regulated)
How competitive is the Breeders' Cup Mile market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2008, when the race had an over-round of 115%. The race in 2006 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Breeders' Cup Mile, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Breeders' Cup Mile Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Breeders' Cup Mile Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Breeders' Cup Mile races over the last 20 renewals:
- Tourist (1:31.71) in 2016
- Wise Dan (1:31.78) in 2012
- Goldikova (1:32.26) in 2009
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Breeders' Cup Mile next time out, then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 15 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -1.44. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2026 Breeders' Cup Mile.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2018 renewal when Expert Eye from Sir Michael Stoute under the guidance of Frankie Dettori, won in a time of 1:39.80, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Tourist, trained by William Mott and ridden by Joel Rosario set the quickest time of 1:31.71 in the 2016 renewal.
Breeders' Cup Mile Challenge Series
Here are the races that are included in the Breeders' Cup Challenge Series for the Breeders' Cup Mile:
- Queens Plate (Kenilworth)
- Dubai Turf (Meydan)
- Yasuda Kinen (Tokyo)
- Queen Anne Stakes (Royal Ascot)
- Sussex Stakes (Goodwood)
- Fourstardave Handicap (Saratoga)
- Woodbine Mile (Woodbine)
- City of Hope Mile (Santa Anita)
- Coolmore Turf Mile Stakes (Keeneland)
- Prix de la Forêt (Longchamp)
Breeders' Cup Mile Past Winners
Here are the Breeders' Cup Mile past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed are the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Breeders' Cup Mile are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 1:33.66 | Notable Speech (GB) 4yo 9-0 (2 of 13) 13/5F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2024 1:32.65 | More Than Looks (USA) 4yo 9-0 (6 of 10) 69/10 | Jose L Ortiz Cherie DeVaux (USA) |
| 2023 1:32.45 | Master Of The Seas (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (13 of 13) 33/10F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2022 1:33.96 | Modern Games (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (4 of 14) 11/8F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2021 1:34.01 | Space Blues (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (2 of 13) 21/10F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2020 1:33.73 | Order Of Australia (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (14 of 14) 40/1 | Pierre-Charles Boudot A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2019 1:32.45 | Uni (GB) 5yo 8-11 (9 of 13) 9/2 | Joel Rosario Chad C Brown (USA) |
| 2018 1:39.80 | Expert Eye (GB) 3yo 8-11 (6 of 14) 9/2F | Frankie Dettori Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2017 1:34.55 | World Approval (USA) 5yo 9-0 (5 of 14) 11/4F | John R Velazquez Mark Casse (CAN) |
| 2016 1:31.71 | Tourist (USA) 5yo 9-0 (5 of 14) 33/1 | Joel Rosario William Mott (USA) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Breeders' Cup Mile have been based:
- USA: 8 winners with an additional 24 placings from 134 runners
- GB: 5 winners with an additional 5 placings from 42 runners
- FR: 4 winners with an additional 2 placings from 18 runners
- CAN: 2 winners with an additional 4 placings from 18 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 5 placings from 30 runners
- JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 6 runners
- CHI: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2025 Breeders' Cup Mile Replay
Breeders' Cup Mile Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Breeders' Cup Mile over the last 20 renewals is Charlie Appleby, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Space Blues (2021), Modern Games (2022), Master Of The Seas (2023) and Notable Speech (2025). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Breeders' Cup Mile are F Head (3 wins), Mark Casse (2 wins) and Charles LoPresti (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Breeders' Cup Mile trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Appleby | 5-4-5 | +8.38 | +5.36 |
| F Head | 6-3-5 | +2.38 | +2.05 |
| Mark Casse | 9-2-4 | +2.75 | +0.53 |
| Charles LoPresti | 3-2-3 | +2.05 | +2.53 |
| A P O'Brien | 24-1-6 | +17.00 | +7.56 |
| Chad C Brown | 15-1-3 | -9.50 | -8.50 |
| William Mott | 13-1-3 | +21.00 | +12.73 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 5-1-1 | +0.50 | -1.30 |
| Richard Dutrow Jr | 4-1-2 | +4.50 | +2.35 |
| Dale Romans | 3-1-1 | +48.00 | +28.00 |
Breeders' Cup Mile Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Breeders' Cup Mile over the last 20 renewals is William Buick, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Space Blues (2021), Modern Games (2022), Master Of The Seas (2023) and Notable Speech (2025). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Breeders' Cup Mile are Olivier Peslier (3 wins), John R. Velazquez (2 wins) and Joel Rosario (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Breeders' Cup Mile; Ryan Moore has ridden 13 runners in the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Breeders' Cup Mile jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Buick | 7-4-5 | +6.38 | +3.36 |
| Olivier Peslier | 6-3-5 | +2.38 | +2.05 |
| John R Velazquez | 13-2-3 | -6.00 | -5.65 |
| Joel Rosario | 9-2-3 | +30.50 | +19.30 |
| Frankie Dettori | 11-1-3 | -5.50 | -4.16 |
| Julien R Leparoux | 9-1-4 | -1.00 | +0.85 |
| Jose L Ortiz | 6-1-1 | +1.90 | -0.86 |
| Robby Albarado | 5-1-1 | +46.00 | +26.00 |
| Jose Lezcano | 3-1-1 | -1.20 | -1.52 |
| Pierre-Charles Boudot | 2-1-1 | +39.00 | +23.00 |
2026 Breeders' Cup Mile Trends
Favourites' finishing positions (oldest to latest): 9, 2, 1, 1, 1, 3, 4, 1, 8, 5, 6, 1, 1, (2, 4), 7, 1, 1, (1, 5), 3, 1
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the Racing Post in terms of previous runs, etc.
- 20 / 20 (60%) - In a field of 9 - 15 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Not in a G2/LST/Cl2 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Off a break of 21 - 55 days
- 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 73/10 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran in 2 - 6 races (Season)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran in 6 - 21 races (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Won by at least a neck (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran in 7 - 28 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 28/1 (Career Place)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 157/10 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Win)
- 19 / 20 (79%) - Achieved an RPR of 113+ (Class)
- 18 / 20 (84%) - Highest Placed is G1
- 18 / 20 (87%) - Placed within last 2 starts
- 17 / 20 (84%) - No older than a 5yo
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Keeneland racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Breeders' Cup Mile. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Breeders' Cup Mile by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2026 Breeders' Cup Mile Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2026 renewal of the Breeders' Cup Mile will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually made 48 hours before the race.
Breeders' Cup Mile Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +83.40, is when runners had 6 starts in the past year.
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G2) last time out; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-64.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 2 (8,4) [13 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 6 (7,4) [10 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 13 (6,3) [13 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 4 (2,12) [14 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 2 (1,12) [13 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Breeders' Cup Mile is Keeneland; there have been a total of 8 winners of this race who ran at Keeneland last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Longchamp; there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Longchamp last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 15 winners from a total of 208 runners, while female runners have produced 5 winners from a total of 42 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Breeders' Cup Mile:
- Dubawi (4 Wins)
- Anabaa (3 Wins)
- Bernstein (2 Wins)
- More Than Ready (2 Wins)
- Wisemans Ferry (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Breeders' Cup Mile despite multiple attempts:
- Dansili (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Galileo (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- War Front (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Choisir (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Court Vision in 2011, winning for Dale Romans at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Robby Albarado. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 10 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Breeders' Cup Mile Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for International racing.
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Breeders' Cup Schedule
Breeders' Cup Juvenile races on Friday
Friday at the Breeders' Cup is all about the Juveniles; we have five Grade 1 races dedicated to the 2-year-old runners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 18:55 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint | Cy Fair (USA) 2yo - 5/1 | George Weaver Irad Ortiz Jr |
| 19:35 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies | Super Corredora (USA) 2yo - 44/5 | John W Sadler Hector I Berrios |
| 20:15 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf | Balantina (IRE) 2yo - 14/1 | Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Oisin Murphy |
| 20:55 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Juvenile | Ted Noffey (USA) 2yo - 4/5 | Todd Pletcher John R Velazquez |
| 19:42 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint | Splendora (USA) 4yo - 29/10 | Bob Baffert Flavien Prat |
Breeders' Cup Championship races on Friday
The Championship races on Saturday at the Breeders' Cup sees a total of nine Grade 1 races, with the highlight of the American season, the Breeders' Cup Classic.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 21:35 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf | Gstaad (GB) 2yo - 6/5 | A P O'Brien Christophe Soumillon |
| 17:10 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile | Nysos (USA) 4yo - 7/10 | Bob Baffert Flavien Prat |
| 17:48 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint | Shisospicy (USA) 3yo - 53/10 | Jose Francisco D'Angelo Irad Ortiz Jr |
| 18:26 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Sprint | Bentornato (USA) 4yo - 17/10 | Jose Francisco D'Angelo Irad Ortiz Jr |
| 19:04 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf | Gezora (FR) 3yo - 91/10 | F-H Graffard Mickael Barzalona |
| 20:20 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Mile | Notable Speech (GB) 4yo - 13/5 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 20:58 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Distaff | Scylla (USA) 5yo - 76/10 | William Mott Junior Alvarado |
| 21:36 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Turf | Ethical Diamond (IRE) 5yo - 28/1 | W P Mullins Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| 22:16 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Classic | Forever Young (JPN) 4yo - 7/2 | Yoshito Yahagi Ryusei Sakai |
