You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 Breeders' Cup Turf Preview
The Breeders' Cup Turf was first run in 1984, and being on the turf, you get lots of European interest in this race. The race is open to 3yo+ and is run over 12f (1m4f) on the turf with a purse of $4m.
Recent Winners Arrive Off a Win
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Breeders' Cup Turf Information:
- Breeders' Cup Turf Past Winners
- Breeders' Cup Turf Trainer Statistics
- Breeders' Cup Turf Jockey Statistics
Our dedicated Keeneland tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Breeders' Cup Turf, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Keeneland throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Breeders' Cup Schedule section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026 (UKGC Regulated)
How competitive is the Breeders' Cup Turf market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009, when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2013 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Breeders' Cup Turf, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Breeders' Cup Turf Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Breeders' Cup Turf Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Breeders' Cup Turf races over the last 20 renewals:
- Little Mike (2:22.83) in 2012
- Highland Reel (2:23.00) in 2016
- Magician (2:23.23) in 2013
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Breeders' Cup Turf next time out, then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -12.13. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:22.83 was set by Little Mike in 2012, trained by Dale Romans and ridden by R A Dominguez, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2007 when English Channel won in a time of 2:36.96 for trainer Todd Pletcher, who booked John R Velazquez in the saddle.
Breeders' Cup Turf Challenge Series
Here are the races that are included in the Breeders' Cup Challenge Series for the Breeders' Cup Turf:
- Gran Premio Internacional Carlos Pellegrini (San Isidro)
- Dubai Sheema Classic (Meydan)
- Gran Premio Club Hipico Falabella (Santiago)
- Takarazuka Kinen (Hanshin)
- Prince of Waless Stakes (Royal Ascot)
- King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Ascot)
- Christophe Clement Turf (Saratoga)
- Del Mar Handicap (Del Mar)
- Kentucky Turf Cup (Kentucky Downs)
- Irish Champion Stakes (Leopardstown)
- Prix de lArc de Triomphe (Longchamp)
- Champion Stakes (Ascot)
Breeders' Cup Turf Past Winners
Here are the Breeders' Cup Turf past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed are the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Breeders' Cup Turf are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 2:25.45 | Ethical Diamond (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (14 of 14) 28/1 | Dylan Browne McMonagle W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2024 2:26.07 | Rebels Romance (IRE) 6yo 9-0 (11 of 13) 19/10F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2023 2:24.30 | Auguste Rodin (IRE) 3yo 8-10 (4 of 11) 5/2F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2022 2:26.35 | Rebels Romance (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (5 of 13) 596/100 | James Doyle Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2021 2:25.90 | Yibir (GB) 3yo 8-10 (8 of 14) 17/2 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2020 2:28.02 | Tarnawa (IRE) 4yo 8-11 (3 of 10) 3/1 | Colin Keane D K Weld (IRE) |
| 2019 2:24.73 | Bricks And Mortar (USA) 5yo 9-0 (9 of 12) 11/8F | Irad Ortiz Jr Chad C Brown (USA) |
| 2018 2:32.65 | Enable (GB) 4yo 8-11 (2 of 13) 8/13F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2017 2:26.19 | Talismanic (GB) 4yo 9-0 (1 of 13) 14/1 | Mickael Barzalona A Fabre (FR) |
| 2016 2:23.00 | Highland Reel (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (12 of 12) 7/2 | Seamie Heffernan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Breeders' Cup Turf have been based:
- GB: 8 winners with an additional 7 placings from 39 runners
- IRE: 7 winners with an additional 8 placings from 36 runners
- USA: 4 winners with an additional 18 placings from 131 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 10 runners
- JPN: 0 winners with an additional 3 placings from 4 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
- SAF: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
- ARG: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- CAN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2025 Breeders' Cup Turf Replay
Breeders' Cup Turf Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Breeders' Cup Turf over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from St Nicholas Abbey (2011), Magician (2013), Found (2015), Highland Reel (2016) and Auguste Rodin (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Breeders' Cup Turf are Charlie Appleby (3 wins), Brian Meehan (2 wins) and Sir Michael Stoute (2 wins). One trainer has not had the best of times in the Breeders' Cup Turf; Philip D'Amato has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording a win.
Here are some of the top Breeders' Cup Turf trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 32-5-13 | -5.00 | -5.87 |
| Charlie Appleby | 8-3-5 | +11.36 | +7.82 |
| Brian Meehan | 6-2-3 | +9.00 | +4.83 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 6-2-3 | +0.41 | -0.48 |
| Chad C Brown | 16-1-4 | -13.62 | -10.77 |
| Todd Pletcher | 11-1-3 | -6.00 | -5.86 |
| John Gosden | 7-1-3 | -5.38 | -4.46 |
| H Graham Motion | 6-1-2 | +2.00 | +1.30 |
| A Fabre | 5-1-2 | +10.00 | +5.17 |
| Dale Romans | 4-1-1 | +22.00 | +12.00 |
Breeders' Cup Turf Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Breeders' Cup Turf over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Conduit (2008 & 2009), Magician (2013), Found (2015) and Auguste Rodin (2023). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Breeders' Cup Turf are Frankie Dettori (3 wins), John R Velazquez (2 wins) and William Buick (2 wins). Two jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Breeders' Cup Turf: Javier Castellano has ridden 12 runners in the race without recording any wins whilst Joel Rosario has ridden 11 without a winner.
Here are some of the top Breeders' Cup Turf jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 15-5-12 | +7.91 | +7.35 |
| Frankie Dettori | 16-3-5 | +0.62 | -3.23 |
| John R Velazquez | 11-2-5 | +2.00 | +3.20 |
| William Buick | 7-2-4 | +5.40 | +2.56 |
| Irad Ortiz Jr | 8-1-3 | -5.62 | -3.88 |
| R A Dominguez | 5-1-2 | +21.00 | +13.10 |
| Mickael Barzalona | 3-1-1 | +12.00 | +6.40 |
| James Doyle | 3-1-1 | +3.96 | +1.58 |
| Dylan Browne McMonagle | 2-1-1 | +27.00 | +15.80 |
| Joseph O'Brien | 2-1-2 | +4.00 | +2.75 |
2026 Breeders' Cup Turf Trends
Favourites' finishing positions (oldest to latest): 6, 5, 4, 1, 3, 4, 3, 2, 4, 2, 2, 3, 1, 1, 2, 11, 5, 1, 1, 6
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the Racing Post in terms of previous runs, etc.
- 20 / 20 (65%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 20 / 20 (67%) - No bigger than 28/1
- 20 / 20 (67%) - Achieved an RPR of 116+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (67%) - Achieved an RPR of 113+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (70%) - Carried 122 - 134lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Not in a G1-3/LST/Cl6 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Break of 27 - 161 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Ran in 7 - 22 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 8/1 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Had 1 - 4 wins (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Had 2 - 6 placings (Season)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Carried 122 - 134lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Carried 118 - 131lbs (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 1 - 5 wins (Season)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 2 - 6 placings (1 Year)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Keeneland racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Breeders' Cup Turf. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Breeders' Cup Turf by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2026 Breeders' Cup Turf Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2026 renewal of the Breeders' Cup Turf will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually made 48 hours before the race.
Breeders' Cup Turf Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +18.27, is when runners were IRE-bred.
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners wore blinkers; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-52.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 14 (1,10) [14 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 11 (1,3) [13 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 4 (6,1) [11 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 5 (3,2) [13 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 8 (6,10) [14 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Breeders' Cup Turf are Longchamp and Belmont Park; there have been a total of 4 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 204 runners, while female runners have produced 3 winners from a total of 22 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Breeders' Cup Turf:
- Galileo (4 Wins)
- Dubawi (3 Wins)
- Dalakhani (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Breeders' Cup Turf despite multiple attempts:
- English Channel (0 Wins from 13 runners)
- Kittens Joy (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Frankel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Ethical Diamond in 2025, winning for W P Mullins at odds of 28/1 under the guidance of Dylan Browne McMonagle. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2026 Breeders' Cup Turf, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today? All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Breeders' Cup Turf Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for International racing.
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Breeders' Cup Schedule
Breeders' Cup Juvenile races on Friday
Friday at the Breeders' Cup is all about the Juveniles; we have five Grade 1 races dedicated to the 2-year-old runners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 18:55 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint | Cy Fair (USA) 2yo - 5/1 | George Weaver Irad Ortiz Jr |
| 19:35 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies | Super Corredora (USA) 2yo - 44/5 | John W Sadler Hector I Berrios |
| 20:15 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf | Balantina (IRE) 2yo - 14/1 | Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Oisin Murphy |
| 20:55 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Juvenile | Ted Noffey (USA) 2yo - 4/5 | Todd Pletcher John R Velazquez |
| 19:42 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint | Splendora (USA) 4yo - 29/10 | Bob Baffert Flavien Prat |
Breeders' Cup Championship races on Friday
The Championship races on Saturday at the Breeders' Cup sees a total of nine Grade 1 races, with the highlight of the American season, the Breeders' Cup Classic.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 21:35 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf | Gstaad (GB) 2yo - 6/5 | A P O'Brien Christophe Soumillon |
| 17:10 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile | Nysos (USA) 4yo - 7/10 | Bob Baffert Flavien Prat |
| 17:48 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint | Shisospicy (USA) 3yo - 53/10 | Jose Francisco D'Angelo Irad Ortiz Jr |
| 18:26 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Sprint | Bentornato (USA) 4yo - 17/10 | Jose Francisco D'Angelo Irad Ortiz Jr |
| 19:04 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf | Gezora (FR) 3yo - 91/10 | F-H Graffard Mickael Barzalona |
| 20:20 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Mile | Notable Speech (GB) 4yo - 13/5 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 20:58 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Distaff | Scylla (USA) 5yo - 76/10 | William Mott Junior Alvarado |
| 21:36 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Turf | Ethical Diamond (IRE) 5yo - 28/1 | W P Mullins Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| 22:16 Keeneland Breeders' Cup Classic | Forever Young (JPN) 4yo - 7/2 | Yoshito Yahagi Ryusei Sakai |
