You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Celebration Mile Preview
Established in 1967, the Celebration Mile currently holds Group 2 status, which it received in 1977. The race takes place at the Goodwood Racecourse in August of each year, is contested over a mile, as the name suggests, and is open to runners aged three or older.
Trust the market, favour the youngsters
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Celebration Mile Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Goodwood tips on the day of the race. Do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist, or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at Goodwood Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026 (UKGC Regulated)
How competitive is the Celebration Mile market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022, when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Celebration Mile, the over-round has been 112%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £112 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Celebration Mile Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Celebration Mile Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Celebration Mile races over the last 20 renewals:
- Lightning Spear (1:35.96) in 2016
- Lavenders Blue (1:36.21) in 2021
- Jonquil (1:36.80) in 2025
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Celebration Mile next time out, then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +6.00. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Celebration Mile, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Lightning Spear, trained by David Simcock and ridden by Oisin Murphy, who set the fastest winning time in the Celebration Mile. That runner won the race in a time of 1:35.96 in 2016. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Ralph Beckett and jockey Hector Crouch with Angel Bleu who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 1:44.67 in the 2023 renewal.
Celebration Mile Past Winners
Here are the Celebration Mile past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed are the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Celebration Mile are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 1:43.91 | Zavateri (IRE) 3yo 9-1 (6 of 7) 11/10F | Charles Bishop Eve Johnson Houghton (GB) |
| 2025 1:36.80 | Jonquil (GB) 3yo 9-1 (6 of 6) 3/1 | Colin Keane Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2024 1:43.95 | Ice Max (GB) 3yo 9-1 (5 of 4) 5/1 | Clifford Lee K R Burke (GB) |
| 2023 1:44.67 | Angel Bleu (FR) 4yo 9-6 (3 of 7) 9/2 | Hector Crouch Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2022 1:40.86 | Jadoomi (FR) 4yo 9-6 (5 of 5) 100/30 | William Buick Simon & Ed Crisford (GB) |
| 2021 1:36.21 | Lavenders Blue (IRE) 5yo 9-1 (7 of 9) 20/1 | Rob Hornby Amanda Perrett (GB) |
| 2020 1:40.38 | Century Dream (IRE) 6yo 9-4 (5 of 6) 11/4F | James Doyle Simon & Ed Crisford (GB) |
| 2019 1:37.47 | Duke Of Hazzard (FR) 3yo 8-12 (3 of 6) 3/1 | Rossa Ryan Paul Cole (GB) |
| 2018 1:37.12 | Beat The Bank (GB) 4yo 9-7 (7 of 8) 11/8F | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2017 1:38.89 | Lightning Spear (GB) 6yo 9-4 (3 of 6) 1/1F | Oisin Murphy David Simcock (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Celebration Mile have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 23 placings from 125 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2026 Celebration Mile Replay
Celebration Mile Trainer Statistics
There are multiple leading trainers in the Celebration Mile over the last 20 renewals, with Andrew Balding, Sir Michael Stoute, Simon & Ed Crisford, and David Simcock having all won the race twice. Andrew Balding's winners have been with Beat The Bank (2018) and Jonquil (2025). Sir Michael Stoute winners have been with Echelon (2007) and Zacinto (2009). Simon & Ed Crisford winners have been with Century Dream (2020) and Jadoomi (2022). David Simcock winners have been with Lightning Spear (2016 & 2017).
Here are some of the top Celebration Mile trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Balding | 6-2-3 | +0.38 | +0.71 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 5-2-2 | +6.50 | +3.76 |
| Simon & Ed Crisford | 5-2-4 | +3.08 | +4.37 |
| David Simcock | 5-2-3 | +2.00 | +1.43 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 8-1-3 | -5.00 | -5.38 |
| Clive Cox | 8-1-3 | -6.20 | -4.60 |
| Ralph Beckett | 4-1-3 | +1.50 | +3.62 |
| Chris Wall | 3-1-1 | +18.00 | +10.50 |
| K R Burke | 3-1-1 | +3.00 | -2.00 |
| John Gosden | 3-1-2 | -1.50 | +0.06 |
Celebration Mile Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Celebration Mile over the last 20 renewals is Oisin Murphy, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Lightning Spear (2016 & 2017) and Beat The Bank (2018). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Celebration Mile is Ryan Moore (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Celebration Mile jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oisin Murphy | 6-3-5 | +3.38 | +2.68 |
| Ryan Moore | 3-2-2 | +8.50 | +4.76 |
| James Doyle | 5-1-3 | -1.25 | -0.37 |
| Hector Crouch | 4-1-2 | +1.50 | +2.12 |
| William Buick | 4-1-1 | +0.33 | -0.92 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 3-1-2 | -0.62 | +0.21 |
| Clifford Lee | 2-1-1 | +4.00 | -1.00 |
| Rossa Ryan | 2-1-2 | +2.00 | +2.38 |
| Rob Hornby | 1-1-1 | +20.00 | +12.00 |
| Colin Keane | 1-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.88 |
2027 Celebration Mile Trends
Favourites' finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 1, DSQ, 2, 7, 3, 1, 3, 1, 5, 1, 1, 4, 1, 2, 4, 5, 2, 4, 1
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (78%) - In a field of 3 - 10 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Ran in 1 - 3 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Break of 9 - 145 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Held an OR of 106+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not in a Cl2-3 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 86+ (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 107+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - In a field of 6 - 14 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran in 1 - 6 races (Season)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 10/1 (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (76%) - No bigger than 50/1 (Career)
- 19 / 20 (79%) - Achieved an RPR of 111+ (Last 5)
- 18 / 20 (65%) - Within the first 4 of the market
- 18 / 20 (81%) - Placed within last 3 starts
- 17 / 20 (75%) - Won within last 5 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Goodwood racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Celebration Mile. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Celebration Mile by adding a tip on the race here.
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2027 Celebration Mile Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Celebration Mile will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.
Celebration Mile Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +28.94, is when runners had 2 places in the past year.
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were drawn in stall 4; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-18.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 6 (8) [7 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 6 (7) [6 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 5 [4 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 3 (2) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 5 (4) [5 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Celebration Mile is Goodwood; there have been a total of 7 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Salisbury; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Salisbury last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 112 runners, while female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 15 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Celebration Mile:
- Dubawi (3 Wins)
- Dark Angel (2 Wins)
- Lope De Vega (2 Wins)
- Pivotal (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Celebration Mile; that stallion is Dutch Art, who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Lavenders Blue in 2021, winning for Amanda Perrett at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Rob Hornby. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2027 Celebration Mile, head over to see which runners the best racing tipsters are tipping today.
Route to the Celebration Mile
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Celebration Mile. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Zavateri York - 5th of 14 (8/1) | City of York Stakes |
| 2025 - Jonquil Goodwood - 5th of 10 (7/2) | Lennox Stakes |
| 2024 - Ice Max Chantilly - 5th of 7 (29/5) | Prix Messidor |
| 2023 - Angel Bleu Ascot - 4th of 8 (9/2) | Summer Mile Stakes |
| 2022 - Jadoomi Clairefontaine - 1st of 6 (32/5) | Prix du Pays dAuge - 9th Etape Defi du Galop - Une Pensee Pour le Havre |
| 2021 - Lavenders Blue Newmarket (July) - 8th of 13 (41/1) | Falmouth Stakes |
| 2020 - Century Dream Chantilly - 5th of 8 (29/1) | Prix dIspahan |
| 2019 - Duke Of Hazzard Goodwood - 1st of 9 (3/1) | Thoroughbred Stakes |
| 2018 - Beat The Bank Goodwood - 5th of 8 (9/2) | Sussex Stakes |
| 2017 - Lightning Spear Goodwood - 3rd of 7 (8/1) | Sussex Stakes |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Celebration Mile Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Content Editor
Andy Powell
Content Editor
