You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Flying Scotsman Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place in September of each year at the Doncaster racecourse is the Flying Scotsman Stakes, which is run during the St Leger Festival.
The race is a Listed race that is run over a trip of seven furlongs and is open to runners aged two years old. It's a race which was won by Frankel back in 2010 on only his second start!
Winners come off a victory
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Flying Scotsman Stakes Information:
- Flying Scotsman Stakes Past Winners
- Flying Scotsman Stakes Trainer Statistics
- Flying Scotsman Stakes Jockey Statistics
Our dedicated Doncaster tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Flying Scotsman Stakes, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Doncaster throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026 (UKGC Regulated)
How competitive is the Flying Scotsman Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2005, when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Flying Scotsman Stakes, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Flying Scotsman Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Flying Scotsman Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Flying Scotsman Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Nafaqa (1:23.38) in 2014
- New Mandate (1:24.35) in 2020
- Frankel (1:24.83) in 2010
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Flying Scotsman Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -13.45. Ahead of the 2027 Flying Scotsman Stakes, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:23.38 was set by Nafaqa in 2014, trained by B W Hills and ridden by Paul Hanagan, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2008 when Secrecy won in a time of 1:29.26 for trainer Michael Jarvis, who booked Philip Robinson in the saddle.
Flying Scotsman Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Flying Scotsman Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed are the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Flying Scotsman Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 1:24.90 | Forbidden Fire (GB) 2yo 8-11 (8 of 9) 9/2 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2025 1:25.98 | Avicenna (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (6 of 8) 11/2 | William Buick Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2024 1:24.89 | Benevento (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (4 of 7) 7/1 | David Egan Raphael E Freire (NOR) |
| 2023 1:25.96 | Dancing Gemini (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (7 of 9) 5/1 | Lewis Edmunds Roger Teal (GB) |
| 2021 1:25.67 | Noble Truth (FR) 2yo 9-0 (1 of 9) 9/1 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2020 1:24.35 | New Mandate (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (3 of 11) 17/2 | Frankie Dettori Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2019 1:25.35 | Molatham (GB) 2yo 9-0 (5 of 5) 1/1F | Jim Crowley Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2018 1:26.55 | Sangarius (GB) 2yo 9-0 (2 of 8) 11/10F | Ryan Moore Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2017 1:25.58 | Tip Two Win (GB) 2yo 9-0 (2 of 8) 11/2 | Adam Kirby Roger Teal (GB) |
| 2016 1:27.49 | Rodaini (USA) 2yo 9-0 (5 of 7) 6/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Simon Crisford (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Flying Scotsman Stakes have been based:
- GB: 19 winners with an additional 23 placings from 131 runners
- NOR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 4 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2026 Flying Scotsman Stakes Replay
Flying Scotsman Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Flying Scotsman Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Roger Varian, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Ektihaam (2011), Molatham (2019) and Avicenna (2025). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Flying Scotsman Stakes are Sir Michael Stoute (2 wins), Saeed bin Suroor (2 wins), John Gosden (2 wins) and Roger Teal (2 wins). One trainer has not had the best of times in the Flying Scotsman Stakes; Richard Hannon has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording a win.
Here are some of the top Flying Scotsman Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Varian | 7-3-6 | +3.03 | +3.15 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 5-2-2 | -0.65 | -0.56 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 4-2-3 | -0.07 | -0.14 |
| John Gosden | 3-2-2 | +1.68 | +1.68 |
| Roger Teal | 2-2-2 | +10.50 | +6.30 |
| Charlie Appleby | 6-1-6 | +4.00 | +4.28 |
| Andrew Balding | 6-1-4 | -0.50 | +2.30 |
| Ralph Beckett | 4-1-1 | +5.50 | +2.10 |
| Clive Cox | 2-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.88 |
| Raphael E Freire | 1-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.38 |
Flying Scotsman Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Flying Scotsman Stakes over the last 20 renewals is William Buick, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Ashdan (2012), Noble Truth (2021) and Avicenna (2025). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Flying Scotsman Stakes is Silvestre De Sousa (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Flying Scotsman Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Buick | 8-3-7 | +10.30 | +7.30 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 4-2-2 | +5.63 | +3.77 |
| Ryan Moore | 10-1-3 | -7.90 | -4.81 |
| Oisin Murphy | 7-1-5 | -1.50 | +2.40 |
| David Egan | 2-1-1 | +6.00 | +3.38 |
| Tom Queally | 2-1-1 | -0.50 | -1.00 |
| Lewis Edmunds | 1-1-1 | +5.00 | +3.00 |
| James Doyle | 7-0-2 | -7.00 | -1.28 |
| Jamie Spencer | 6-0-3 | -6.00 | +2.81 |
| Sean Levey | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -2.00 |
2027 Flying Scotsman Stakes Trends
Favourites' finishing positions (oldest to latest): (1, 5), 6, 4, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 4, 1, 5, 2, 1, 1, 3, 2, 3, 6, 2, 3
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (65%) - No bigger than 12/1
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Fewer than 4 races (Career)
- 19 / 20 (66%) - Highest Placed is not G2-3/Cl5-6
- 19 / 20 (70%) - Not in a G1-2/Cl5-6 (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (72%) - Placed within last 1 starts
- 19 / 20 (77%) - Beaten no more -5¼l (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (82%) - In a field of 6 - 15 (Debut)
- 19 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 80+ (Non-Hcps)
- 19 / 20 (85%) - Not in IRL/SCO/WAL (Debut)
- 19 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Career Place)
- 19 / 20 (86%) - No bigger than 40/1 (Career)
- 19 / 20 (88%) - Won within last 2 starts
- 19 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 25/1 (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (89%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Doncaster racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Flying Scotsman Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Flying Scotsman Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
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2027 Flying Scotsman Stakes Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Flying Scotsman Stakes will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.
Flying Scotsman Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +9.11, is when runners ran in a Class 4 last time out.
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 5; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-27.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 8 (7,4) [9 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 6 (8,1) [8 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 4 (1) [7 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 7 (2,5) [9 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 1 (5,3) [9 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Flying Scotsman Stakes are Newmarket (July) and Newbury; there have been a total of 6 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 126 runners, while female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 11 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Flying Scotsman Stakes; that stallion, Kingman, has produced 2 winners (2021,2018).
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Secrecy in 2008, winning for Michael Jarvis at odds of 12/1 under the guidance of Philip Robinson. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Flying Scotsman Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Route to the Flying Scotsman Stakes
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Flying Scotsman Stakes. These are the races in which the recent winners ran before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Forbidden Fire Salisbury - 1st of 8 (5/2) | Michael Brunton Memorial British EBF Novice Stakes |
| 2025 - Avicenna Doncaster - 1st of 7 (5/6) | George Prior Memorial EBF Novice Stakes |
| 2024 - Benevento Ripon - 2nd of 7 (12/1) | Ripon Champion Two Years Old Trophy |
| 2023 - Dancing Gemini Newbury - 1st of 13 (11/2) | Chapel Down British EBF Maiden Stakes |
| 2021 - Noble Truth York - 4th of 5 (11/4) | Acomb Stakes |
| 2020 - New Mandate Sandown - 1st of 5 (15/8) | Betway Nursery Handicap |
| 2019 - Molatham York - 1st of 14 (2/1) | British Stallion Studs EBF Convivial Maiden Stakes |
| 2018 - Sangarius Newmarket (July) - 1st of 13 (11/8) | "Ironxcell" EBF Novice Stakes |
| 2017 - Tip Two Win Ripon - 2nd of 7 (16/1) | Ripon Champion Two Years Old Trophy |
| 2016 - Rodaini Newmarket (July) - 1st of 3 (10/11) | Fly Easyjet From London Southend Airport Nursery Handicap |
Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival
Here is the schedule for the four-day St Leger Festival races, which we cover with blogs. Each race will be linked to the race blog and will detail last year's winner in the table below.
Thursday at St Leger Festival
There are a couple of Group 2s which take centre stage on the opening day of the St Leger Festival: the May Hill Stakes, where the two-year-olds feature and then the Park Hill Fillies Stakes, where the older fillies compete. We also have the 2-y-o Stakes, a valuable Class Two race.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Carrie Red Fillies Nursery | Speed Of Sound (IRE) 2yo - 7/4 | Richard Spencer Saffie Osborne |
| Doncaster 2yo Stakes | Night In Vegas (IRE) 2yo - 5/6 | Eve Johnson Houghton Charles Bishop |
| May Hill Stakes | Musical Times (IRE) 2yo - 7/4 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| Park Hill Stakes | Waardah (IRE) 4yo - 5/2 | Owen Burrows Callum Rodriguez |
| St Leger Festival Middle Distance Handicap | Devils Peak (GB) 3yo - 15/8 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
Friday at St Leger Festival
On Friday, the feature race of the day is the Group 2 Doncaster Cup, which is part of the British Champion Series. The Flying Childers Stakes is another race on Friday, which carries a decent purse on offer for the two-year-olds.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster Cup | Caballo De Mar (IRE) 5yo - 5/6 | George Scott Oisin Murphy |
| Flying Childers Stakes | Final Objective (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Hamad Al Jehani James Doyle |
| Flying Scotsman Stakes | Forbidden Fire (GB) 2yo - 9/2 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
Saturday at St Leger Festival
The feature race of the festival, the Group 1 St Leger, takes place on Saturday, another race which is part of the British Champion Series. The three races before the St Leger all carry decent purses too: the Champagne Stakes, the Portland and the Park Stakes.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Champagne Stakes | Desert Castle (GB) 2yo - 1/1 | Charlie Appleby Billy Loughnane |
| Park Stakes | More Thunder (IRE) 5yo - 4/5 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| Portland Heritage Handicap | Air Force One (IRE) 5yo - 11/2 | Geoff Oldroyd Clifford Lee |
| St Leger | Highwayman (FR) 3yo - 11/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Saffie Osborne |
| St Leger Festival Mile Handicap | Scoville (GB) 4yo - 5/1 | William Haggas Daniel Tudhope |
| St Leger Festival Ten Furlong Handicap | Thunder Run (IRE) 5yo - 11/4 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
Sunday at St Leger Festival
Sunday is a bit more low-key, with only one class one race, which is the Sceptre Stakes for the fillies over 7f, and there are also some decent handicaps carrying good purses.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| City of Doncaster Handicap | Inishbeg (IRE) 3yo - 33/1 | Kevin Ryan Jack Nicholls |
| Mallard Handicap | Valedictory (GB) 4yo - 7/4 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| Sceptre Stakes | Pina Sonata (GB) 4yo - 12/1 | James Fanshawe Daniel Muscutt |
| St Leger Festival Sprint Handicap | Blue Brother (FR) 5yo - 5/2 | Hamad Al Jehani Callum Rodriguez |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Flying Scotsman Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
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