You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 American Grand National Preview
The American Grand National Hurdle Stakes is a G1 race run at Far Hills in October of each year over a distance of two and five-eighths miles, previously known as the Breeders' Cup Grand National.
Unlike the Aintree Grand National, this is run over hurdles (fourteen of them) but still attracts foreign raiders, with Gordon Elliott's Jury Duty winning the race in 2018 under Robbie Power. A year later, in 2019, it was Nicky Henderson and Nico de Boinville teaming up to win with Brain Power.
In 2022, it was a success for the Irish when Hanlon's Hewick won the race, and after a couple of home successes, it was more success for the Irish and Gordon Elliott again, with Zanahiyr winning the 2025 renewal.
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American Grand National Information:
- American Grand National Past Winners
- American Grand National Trainer Statistics
- American Grand National Jockey Statistics
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026 (UKGC Regulated)
Below you will find the 2026 American Grand National Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the American Grand National Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run American Grand National races over the last 10 renewals:
- Zanahiyr (3:34.80) in 2025
- Rawnaq (4:50.00) in 2016
- Brain Power (4:55.60) in 2019
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 10 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the American Grand National next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 9 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -4.00. Why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
Over the last 10 renewals, it was Zanahiyr, trained by Gordon Elliott and ridden by Jack Kennedy, who set the fastest winning time in the American Grand National. That runner won the race in a time of 3:34.80 in 2025. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Todd McKenna and jockey Harrison Beswick with Noah And The Ark who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 5:41.20 in the 2023 renewal.
American Grand National Past Winners
Here are the American Grand National past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the American Grand National are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 3:34.80 | Zanahiyr (IRE) 8yo 11-2 7/4 | Jack Kennedy Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2024 5:02.86 | Snap Decision (USA) 10yo 11-2 29/10 | Graham Watters Jack Fisher (USA) |
| 2023 5:41.20 | Noah And The Ark (IRE) 9yo 11-2 40/1 | Harrison Beswick Todd McKenna (USA) |
| 2022 5:11.60 | Hewick (IRE) 7yo 11-2 21/10 | Jordan Gainford John Joseph Hanlon (IRE) |
| 2021 4:57.20 | The Mean Queen (IRE) 5yo 10-8 9/10F | Richard Condon Keri Brion (USA) |
| 2019 4:55.60 | Brain Power (IRE) 8yo 11-2 11/2 | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2018 5:14.20 | Jury Duty (IRE) 7yo 11-2 13/10F | Robbie Power Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2017 4:57.40 | Mr. Hot Stuff (USA) 11yo 11-2 F | Danny Mullins Jack Fisher (USA) |
| 2016 4:50.00 | Rawnaq (IRE) 9yo 11-2 F | R Walsh Cyril Murphy (USA) |
| 2015 4:57.20 | Dawalan (FR) 5yo 11-2 F | Ross Geraghty Cyril Murphy (USA) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the American Grand National have been based:
- USA: 6 winners with an additional 11 placings from 58 runners
- IRE: 3 winners with an additional 5 placings from 16 runners
- GB: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 9 runners
2025 American Grand National Replay
American Grand National Trainer Statistics
There are multiple leading trainers in the American Grand National over the last 10 renewals, with Jack Fisher, Gordon Elliott, and Cyril Murphy having all won the race twice. Jack Fisher winners have been Mr. Hot Stuff (2017) and Snap Decision (2024). Gordon Elliott winners have been with Jury Duty (2018) and Zanahiyr (2025). Cyril Murphy winners have been with Dawalan (2015) and Rawnaq (2016).
Here are some of the top American Grand National trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Fisher | 13-2-5 | -9.10 | -3.59 |
| Gordon Elliott | 10-2-4 | -4.40 | -3.71 |
| Cyril Murphy | 10-2-4 | -10.00 | -7.40 |
| Keri Brion | 5-1-2 | -3.10 | -1.98 |
| Todd McKenna | 3-1-2 | +38.00 | +23.77 |
| Nicky Henderson | 3-1-1 | +3.50 | +1.30 |
| John Joseph Hanlon | 1-1-1 | +2.10 | +1.26 |
| Leslie F Young | 8-0-1 | -8.00 | -5.81 |
| Jonathan E Sheppard | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -3.72 |
| Archibald J Kingsley Jr | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | +0.00 |
American Grand National Jockey Statistics
Here are some of the top American Grand National jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Watters | 5-1-1 | -1.10 | -1.26 |
| Jack Kennedy | 4-1-2 | -0.70 | -0.89 |
| Danny Mullins | 4-1-2 | -4.00 | -1.61 |
| Ross Geraghty | 4-1-1 | -4.00 | -3.60 |
| Harrison Beswick | 3-1-3 | +38.00 | +24.17 |
| Nico de Boinville | 3-1-1 | +3.50 | +1.30 |
| Robbie Power | 2-1-1 | +0.30 | -0.22 |
| Jordan Gainford | 1-1-1 | +2.10 | +1.26 |
| Richard Condon | 1-1-1 | +0.90 | +0.00 |
| R Walsh | 1-1-1 | -1.00 | -0.60 |
2026 American Grand National Trends
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the Racing Post in terms of previous runs, etc.
- 10 / 10 (59%) - Ran in 3 - 9 races (1 Year)
- 10 / 10 (67%) - Highest Placed is G1
- 10 / 10 (72%) - Carried 146 - 166lbs (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (73%) - Not on SFT/GF/STD (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (73%) - Achieved an RPR of 126+ (Class)
- 10 / 10 (75%) - Dam is not FR/GB/GER bred
- 10 / 10 (76%) - Not in a G3/LST/Cl4-5 (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (78%) - Not in a LST/Cl2/Cl4 (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (78%) - Ran in 4 - 23 races (Hurdle)
- 10 / 10 (80%) - Highest Won is not G3/LST/Cl3-4
- 10 / 10 (81%) - Ran over 2m½f - 3m½f (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (83%) - Not on FM/STD (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (83%) - Ran in 6 - 50 races (Career)
- 10 / 10 (86%) - Had 3 - 24 placings (Career)
- 10 / 10 (87%) - Is not CAN/GB/GER bred
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2026 American Grand National Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2026 renewal of the American Grand National will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually made 48 hours before the race.
American Grand National Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +31.40, is when runners had 1 career place on the going.
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career places in the class; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-27.
The course which has produced the most winners of the American Grand National is Belmont Park; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Belmont Park last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 9 winners from a total of 82 runners, while female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 1 runner.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the American Grand National; that stallion, Azamour, has produced 2 winners (2016,2015).
All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this American Grand National Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for International racing.
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