You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Irish Cesarewitch Preview
The Irish Cesarewitch, the Irish version of the English Cesarewitch, is scheduled to take place in October each year at the Curragh racecourse.
This handicap is open to runners aged three or older and is run over a stamina-testing two miles. Because of the trip, many National Hunt trainers target the race, and many find winners, as the trainer statistics below show.
The 2017 and 2018 renewals were held at the Navan racecourse due to the redevelopment of the Curragh, and the 2023 renewal saw the race upped in trip to two miles and one furlong.
Listowel Form Leads the Way
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Irish Cesarewitch Information:
- Irish Cesarewitch Past Winners
- Irish Cesarewitch Trainer Statistics
- Irish Cesarewitch Jockey Statistics
Our dedicated Curragh tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Irish Cesarewitch, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Curragh throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at Curragh Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026 (UKGC Regulated)
How competitive is the Irish Cesarewitch market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015, when the race had an over-round of 135%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 168%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Irish Cesarewitch, the over-round has been 149%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £149 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Irish Cesarewitch Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Irish Cesarewitch Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Irish Cesarewitch races over the last 20 renewals:
- Montefeltro (3:25.80) in 2013
- Laws Of Spin (3:29.40) in 2016
- El Salvador (3:29.90) in 2014
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Irish Cesarewitch next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -14.45. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Irish Cesarewitch, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 3:25.80 was set by Montefeltro in 2013, trained by Brian Ellison and ridden by Robert Tart, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2012 when Voleuse De Coeurs won in a time of 3:54.80 for trainer D K Weld, who booked Leigh Roche in the saddle.
Irish Cesarewitch Past Winners
Here are the Irish Cesarewitch past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed are the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Irish Cesarewitch are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 3:50.42 | Chally Chute (IRE) 8yo 9-11 (21 of 30) 16/1 | Sam Coen (5lbs) Ross O'Sullivan (IRE) |
| 2025 3:46.43 | Puturhandstogether (IRE) 4yo 8-7 (30 of 30) 7/1F | N G McCullagh Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2024 3:35.63 | The Euphrates (GB) 3yo 9-2 (27 of 30) 7/2F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2023 3:53.35 | Magellan Strait (IRE) 4yo 8-11 (21 of 30) 150/1 | Hugh Horgan (7lbs) Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2022 3:38.97 | Waterville (IRE) 3yo 8-9 (18 of 30) 5/1F | Wayne Lordan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2021 3:38.30 | Line Out (IRE) 9yo 8-9 (0 of 30) 18/1 | Shane Foley John E Kiely (IRE) |
| 2020 3:52.60 | Cape Gentleman (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (0 of 21) 15/2 | Ronan Whelan Emmet Mullins (IRE) |
| 2019 3:44.80 | Royal Illusion (IRE) 7yo 8-5 (0 of 18) 10/1 | J M Sheridan (7lbs) W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2018 3:35.20 | Brazos (USA) 4yo 8-12 (0 of 24) 16/1 | Shane Foley John Joseph Murphy (IRE) |
| 2017 3:51.80 | Lord Erskine (IRE) 4yo 8-5 (0 of 24) 25/1 | Conor Hoban H Rogers (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Irish Cesarewitch have been based:
- IRE: 19 winners with an additional 57 placings from 481 runners
- GB: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 24 runners
2026 Irish Cesarewitch Replay
Irish Cesarewitch Trainer Statistics
Two trainers have led the Irish Cesarewitch over the last 20 renewals, with both W P Mullins and A P O'Brien winning the race four times. W P Mullins winners have been Dani California (2009), Digeanta (2015), Laws Of Spin (2016) and Royal Illusion (2019). A P O'Brien winners have been with Bright Horizon (2010), El Salvador (2014), Waterville (2022) and The Euphrates (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Irish Cesarewitch are Joseph Patrick O'Brien (2 wins) and D K Weld (2 wins). Two trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Irish Cesarewitch. Noel Meade has sent a total of 20 runners to the race without recording any wins, whilst A J Martin has sent out 18 without a winner.
Here are some of the top Irish Cesarewitch trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| W P Mullins | 56-4-12 | -12.50 | -9.12 |
| A P O'Brien | 23-4-7 | +28.50 | +18.08 |
| Joseph Patrick O'Brien | 60-2-8 | +99.00 | +56.65 |
| D K Weld | 24-2-6 | -2.00 | +0.75 |
| John E Kiely | 10-1-2 | +9.00 | +3.63 |
| Mrs John Harrington | 10-1-1 | +3.00 | -1.50 |
| H Rogers | 7-1-2 | +19.00 | +13.26 |
| Brian Ellison | 7-1-1 | +2.00 | -1.00 |
| Emmet Mullins | 6-1-1 | +2.50 | -1.25 |
| John Joseph Murphy | 3-1-1 | +14.00 | +8.00 |
Irish Cesarewitch Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Irish Cesarewitch over the last 20 renewals is Shane Foley, who has won the race twice, with those two winners coming from Brazos (2018) and Line Out (2021). Multiple jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Irish Cesarewitch; Declan McDonogh (0-17), Rory Cleary (0-13) and Colin Keane (0-12) have all failed to produce a single winner despite having multiple rides in the race.
Here are some of the top Irish Cesarewitch jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Foley | 17-2-4 | +19.00 | +10.75 |
| Chris Hayes | 17-1-4 | -9.00 | -4.24 |
| W J Lee | 16-1-6 | +1.00 | +7.00 |
| Gary Carroll | 16-1-2 | -8.50 | -10.44 |
| Wayne Lordan | 16-1-2 | -10.00 | -10.49 |
| N G McCullagh | 14-1-2 | -6.00 | -7.12 |
| Ronan Whelan | 13-1-3 | -4.50 | -1.87 |
| Seamie Heffernan | 12-1-3 | +1.00 | +1.00 |
| Conor Hoban | 11-1-2 | +15.00 | +7.63 |
| Leigh Roche | 7-1-1 | +0.00 | -2.25 |
2027 Irish Cesarewitch Trends
Favourites' finishing positions (oldest to latest): 8, 3, 1, 23, 1, 1, 15, 18, 7, (7, 19), 13, (5, 8), 13, (DSQ, 14), 11, 1, 9, 1, (25, 1), (6, 18)
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (68%) - Break of 3 - 100 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Ran over 7½f - 2m (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Break of 23 - 422 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Ran over 1m4f - 2m1f (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Dam is not AUS/BRZ/FR/GER/JPN/USA bred
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Won within last 6 starts
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Had 1 - 5 placings (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Achieved a TS of 48+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Carried 121 - 161lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Ran in 4 - 31 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Not fallen (Career)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Fewer than 13 races (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Ran over 1m2½f - 2m1f (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Highest Run is not G2/LST
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Placed within last 4 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Curragh racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Irish Cesarewitch. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Irish Cesarewitch by adding a tip on the race here.
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2027 Irish Cesarewitch Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Irish Cesarewitch will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually made 48 hours before the race.
Irish Cesarewitch Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +109.00, is when runners had 2 career wins in Flat (Turf) races.
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 places in the past 180 days; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-93.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 21 (23,29,14) [30 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 30 (5,11,9) [30 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 27 (3,22,13) [30 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 21 (9,2,20) [30 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 18 (3,32,2) [30 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Irish Cesarewitch is Listowel; there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Listowel last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Curragh; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 412 runners, while female runners have produced 4 winners from a total of 93 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Irish Cesarewitch:
- Fast Company (2 Wins)
- Galileo (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Irish Cesarewitch despite multiple attempts:
- Authorized (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Sea The Stars (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Zoffany (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Dansili (0 Wins from 7 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Magellan Strait in 2023, winning for Joseph Patrick O'Brien at odds of 150/1 under the guidance of Hugh Horgan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Route to the Irish Cesarewitch
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Irish Cesarewitch. These are the races in which the recent winners ran before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Chally Chute Roscommon - 5th of 8 (5/1) | Watch Racing TV Irish EBF Lenebane Stakes |
| 2025 - Puturhandstogether Listowel - 2nd of 17 (13/2) | Listowel Races Supporters Club Lartigue Hurdle In Memory Of John Molyneaux |
| 2024 - The Euphrates Curragh - 4th of 6 (41/1) | Irish St Leger |
| 2023 - Magellan Strait Galway - 16th of 20 (66/1) | Connacht Hotel |
| 2022 - Waterville Leopardstown - 2nd of 5 (7/4) | Invesco Master Trust Rated Race |
| 2021 - Line Out Curragh - 8th of 17 (10/1) | Tesoro Vita Ladies Trophy Handicap |
| 2020 - Cape Gentleman Listowel - 2nd of 12 (18/1) | Listowel Races Supporters Club Failte Abhaile |
| 2019 - Royal Illusion Listowel - 2nd of 8 (13/8) | Behans Horseshoe Bar, Restaurant & Townhouse Accomodation Handicap |
| 2018 - Brazos Listowel - 3rd of 10 (11/4) | Behans Horseshoe Bar, Restaurant & Townhouse Accomodation Handicap |
| 2017 - Lord Erskine Listowel - 1st of 9 (7/4) | John & Terry Moriarty Memorial Handicap |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Irish Cesarewitch Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
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