You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Joel Stakes Preview
Run on the second day of the Cambridgeshire meeting in September each year at the Newmarket racecourse, the Joel Stakes is a Group 2 race open to runners aged three or older and run over a straight mile.
The race was upgraded to its current Group 2 status in 2011, having previously been run as a Group 3.
Haydock and Doncaster Share the Feeder Role
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Joel Stakes Information:
We also have a dedicated Newmarket tips page that will cover this race, as well as all the other races on the day. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Cambridgeshire Meeting section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026 (UKGC Regulated)
How competitive is the Joel Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015, when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Joel Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Joel Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Joel Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Joel Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Eagle Mountain (1:34.07) in 2008
- Talk Of New York (1:34.30) in 2026
- Kameko (1:34.41) in 2020
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Joel Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -13.00. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Joel Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2024 renewal when Prague from Dylan Cunha under the guidance of Daniel Tudhope, won in a time of 1:40.53, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Eagle Mountain, trained by M F De Kock and ridden by K Shea set the quickest time of 1:34.07 in the 2008 renewal.
Joel Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Joel Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed are the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Joel Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 1:34.30 | Talk Of New York (GB) 3yo 9-2 (6 of 7) 4/9F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2025 1:37.57 | Zeus Olympios (GB) 3yo 9-2 (4 of 6) 2/1 | Clifford Lee K R Burke (GB) |
| 2024 1:40.53 | Prague (IRE) 4yo 9-6 (1 of 4) 100/30 | Daniel Tudhope Dylan Cunha (GB) |
| 2023 1:34.71 | Mutasaabeq (GB) 5yo 9-9 (2 of 6) 11/4F | Jim Crowley Charles Hills (GB) |
| 2022 1:38.43 | Mutasaabeq (GB) 4yo 9-6 (2 of 6) 5/2 | Jim Crowley Charles Hills (GB) |
| 2021 1:34.56 | Benbatl (GB) 7yo 9-4 (3 of 7) 13/8 | Oisin Murphy Saeed bin Suroor (GB) |
| 2020 1:34.41 | Kameko (USA) 3yo 9-5 (5 of 6) 85/40 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2019 1:35.60 | Benbatl (GB) 5yo 9-4 (3 of 6) 4/1 | Oisin Murphy Saeed bin Suroor (GB) |
| 2018 1:36.89 | Mustashry (GB) 5yo 9-7 (2 of 5) 15/8F | Jim Crowley Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2017 1:38.67 | Beat The Bank (GB) 3yo 9-0 (6 of 8) 11/8F | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Joel Stakes have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 24 placings from 141 runners
- SAF: 2 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners
- QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2026 Joel Stakes Replay
Joel Stakes Trainer Statistics
Two trainers have led the Joel Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with both Saeed bin Suroor and Charles Hills winning the race three times. Saeed bin Suroor's winners have been Creachadoir (2007) and Benbatl (2019 & 2021). Charles Hills winners have been with Ransom Note (2011) and Mutasaabeq (2022 & 2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Joel Stakes are Sir Michael Stoute (2 wins), David O'Meara (2 wins), Andrew Balding (2 wins) and Roger Charlton (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Joel Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saeed bin Suroor | 13-3-4 | -1.62 | -3.93 |
| Charles Hills | 7-3-5 | +5.25 | +6.53 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 12-2-5 | -6.37 | -2.66 |
| David O'Meara | 8-2-2 | +11.50 | +5.50 |
| Andrew Balding | 7-2-4 | -1.49 | -0.55 |
| Roger Charlton | 3-2-3 | +3.91 | +2.20 |
| Charlie Appleby | 5-1-2 | -3.56 | -3.12 |
| K R Burke | 4-1-1 | -1.00 | -0.75 |
| A P O'Brien | 3-1-2 | +5.50 | +3.49 |
| Dylan Cunha | 2-1-1 | +2.33 | -1.00 |
Joel Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Joel Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Oisin Murphy, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Beat The Bank (2017), Benbatl (2019 & 2021) and Kameko (2020). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Joel Stakes are Ryan Moore (3 wins) and Daniel Tudhope (3 wins).
Here are some of the top Joel Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oisin Murphy | 7-4-5 | +6.14 | +3.87 |
| Ryan Moore | 15-3-8 | -1.84 | +1.60 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 7-3-3 | +16.83 | +7.50 |
| William Buick | 8-1-3 | -6.56 | -4.87 |
| Clifford Lee | 3-1-1 | +0.00 | +0.25 |
| Kerrin McEvoy | 1-1-1 | +2.75 | +1.65 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -3.50 |
| James Doyle | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -4.20 |
| Jamie Spencer | 5-0-2 | -5.00 | -0.60 |
| Pat Dobbs | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -1.00 |
2027 Joel Stakes Trends
Favourites' finishing positions (oldest to latest): (4, 1), 2, 1, 2, 4, 7, 1, 2, 1, 3, 1, 1, 2, 3, 3, 3, 1, (2, 3), 2, 1
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (62%) - No bigger than 10/1
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Achieved an RPR of 112+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Highest Placed is not LST/Cl2-5
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Carried 124 - 135lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - In a field of 5 - 12 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 20 / 20 (86%) - No bigger than 12/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 50/1 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not in a Cl2-4 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran in a Non Handicap (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in FRA/DEU/SCO/ZAF/TUR/USA (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (79%) - Won within last 5 starts
- 19 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 99+ (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (69%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Place)
- 18 / 20 (72%) - Beaten no more -4l (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Newmarket racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Joel Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Joel Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
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2027 Joel Stakes Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Joel Stakes will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually made 48 hours before the race.
Joel Stakes Trend Analysis
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 5rd in the betting market; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-20.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 6 (5) [7 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 4 (6) [6 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 1 [4 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 2 (3) [6 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 (3) [6 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Joel Stakes are Goodwood, Haydock and York; there have been a total of 4 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 141 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 9 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Joel Stakes:
- Dubawi (3 Wins)
- Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Joel Stakes; that stallion is Dark Angel, who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Penitent in 2012, winning for David O'Meara at odds of 10/1 under the guidance of Daniel Tudhope. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 8 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Route to the Joel Stakes
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Joel Stakes. These are the races in which the recent winners ran before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Talk Of New York Goodwood - 2nd of 7 (2/5) | Thoroughbred Stakes |
| 2025 - Zeus Olympios Haydock - 1st of 9 (11/4) | Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Superior Mile Stakes |
| 2024 - Prague Haydock - 2nd of 7 (10/3) | Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Superior Mile Stakes |
| 2023 - Mutasaabeq York - 7th of 11 (7/1) | City of York Stakes |
| 2022 - Mutasaabeq Goodwood - 4th of 5 (1/1) | Celebration Mile |
| 2021 - Benbatl Goodwood - 2nd of 9 (9/4) | Celebration Mile |
| 2020 - Kameko York - 4th of 5 (11/2) | Juddmonte International Stakes |
| 2019 - Benbatl Moonee Valley - 2nd of 8 (9/1) | Ladbrokes Cox Plate |
| 2018 - Mustashry Doncaster - 1st of 9 (5/2) | Park Stakes |
| 2017 - Beat The Bank Goodwood - 1st of 6 (7/4) | Thoroughbred Stakes |
Other Principal races during the Cambridgeshire Meeting
Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Joel Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Cambridgeshire Meeting, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Thursday at the Cambridgeshire Meeting
The highlight on the opening day of the three-day Cambridgeshire meeting is the Group 3 Tattersalls Stakes, a seven-furlong race for two-year-old runners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Tattersall Stakes | Fuel The Jet (IRE) 2yo - 13/2 | Tom Clover Neil Callan |
| Jockey Club Rose Bowl | Gregory (GB) 6yo - 4/7 | John & Thady Gosden James Doyle |
Friday at the Cambridgeshire Meeting
Day two of the Cambridgeshire is a step up from the opening day, with five class one races, the highlight being the Group 2 Joel Stakes contested over a mile. We also have the two-year-old race, the Rockfel Stakes, a Group 2 over seven furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Rosemary Stakes | Alobayyah (GB) 4yo - 100/30 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| Princess Royal Stakes | Coedana (IRE) 4yo - 100/30 | Edward Bethell Connor Beasley |
| Rockfel Stakes | Pensando A Te (GB) 2yo - 15/2 | Marco Botti Silvestre De Sousa |
| Joel Stakes | Talk Of New York (GB) 3yo - 4/9 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| Godolphin Stakes | Fortitudine (IRE) 3yo - 15/8 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Saturday at the Cambridgeshire Meeting
The Cambridgeshire Handicap is the highlight on the third and final day; it's a race which spans two counties! It starts in Cambridgeshire and ends in Suffolk! There are also a couple of valuable Group 1s on the final day with the Cheverley Park Stakes and the Middle Park Stakes.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery | Al Samsama (IRE) 2yo - 9/2 | Richard Hughes Billy Loughnane |
| Royal Lodge Stakes | Haffner (USA) 2yo - 7/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| Cheveley Park Stakes | Sun Goddess (IRE) 2yo - 5/6 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| Middle Park Stakes | Orthodox (GB) 2yo - 7/2 | Clive Cox Rossa Ryan |
| Cambridgeshire Handicap | Pierre Royal (IRE) 4yo - 33/1 | Adrian McGuinness Mikey Sheehy |
| Cambridgeshire Meeting Sprint Handicap | Sword (GB) 5yo - 20/1 | Stuart Williams Olivia Haines |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Joel Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
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