You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Kerry National Preview
Scheduled to take place in September of each year at the Listowel racecourse is the Kerry National, which is the most valuable race at Listowel throughout the season.
The race is run over three miles, and the runners will face a total of eighteen fences during the race. Runners aged four or older who have run at least three times over fences are eligible to enter the race.
Galway Plate the Dominant Feeder
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Kerry National Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Listowel tips on the day of the race. Do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist, or are they predicting other runners?
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How competitive is the Kerry National market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021, when the race had an over-round of 126%. The race in 2010 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 145%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Kerry National, the over-round has been 135%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £135 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Kerry National Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Kerry National Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Kerry National races over the last 20 renewals:
- Busselton (5:39.20) in 2022
- Your Busy (5:39.60) in 2014
- Alfa Beat (5:45.10) in 2010
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Kerry National next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -12.45. Before placing your bet on the 2027 Kerry National, see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Busselton, trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien and ridden by J J Slevin, who set the fastest winning time in the Kerry National. That runner won the race in a time of 5:39.20 in 2022. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer E McNamara and jockey P W Flood with Ponmeoath who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 6:21.40 in the 2008 renewal.
Kerry National Past Winners
Here are the Kerry National past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Kerry National are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 5:45.80 | Ballygunner Castle (IRE) 7yo 11-0 11/1 | Danny Mullins W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2025 5:53.20 | Spanish Harlem (FR) 7yo 11-1 16/1 | Danny Mullins W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2024 6:13.00 | Flooring Porter (IRE) 9yo 11-4 6/1 | Keith Donoghue Gavin Cromwell (IRE) |
| 2023 6:06.70 | Desertmore House (IRE) 8yo 10-6 11/1 | Ricky Doyle Martin Brassil (IRE) |
| 2022 5:39.20 | Busselton (FR) 5yo 10-5 13/2 | J J Slevin Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2021 5:50.80 | Assemble (GB) 7yo 10-10 9/1 | Shane Fitzgerald (7lbs) Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2020 6:07.00 | Cabaret Queen (GB) 8yo 10-9 6/1 | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2019 5:57.00 | Poker Party (FR) 7yo 10-5 14/1 | Rachael Blackmore Henry De Bromhead (IRE) |
| 2018 5:56.70 | Snow Falcon (IRE) 8yo 11-5 6/1 | Jonathan Moore Noel Meade (IRE) |
| 2017 6:21.30 | Potters Point (IRE) 7yo 10-0 8/1 | Ms L O'Neill (5lbs) Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Kerry National have been based:
- IRE: 20 winners with an additional 57 placings from 336 runners
- GB: 0 winners with an additional 3 placings from 17 runners
2026 Kerry National Replay
Kerry National Trainer Statistics
Two trainers have led the Kerry National over the last 20 renewals, with both W P Mullins and E McNamara winning the race three times. W P Mullins winners have been Cabaret Queen (2020), Spanish Harlem (2025) and Ballygunner Castle (2026). E McNamara winners have been with Ponmeoath (2007 & 2008) and Faltering Fullback (2012). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Kerry National are Gordon Elliott (2 wins) and Joseph Patrick O'Brien (2 wins). One trainer has not had the best of times in the Kerry National; E Bolger has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording a win.
Here are some of the top Kerry National trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| W P Mullins | 49-3-12 | -13.00 | -2.37 |
| E McNamara | 20-3-9 | +39.00 | +33.76 |
| Gordon Elliott | 42-2-7 | -25.00 | -21.60 |
| Joseph Patrick O'Brien | 22-2-4 | -4.50 | -7.25 |
| Henry De Bromhead | 16-1-4 | -1.00 | +0.44 |
| Noel Meade | 10-1-3 | -3.00 | -2.06 |
| M F Morris | 7-1-3 | +2.00 | +6.00 |
| C Byrnes | 6-1-4 | +1.00 | +1.88 |
| Gavin Cromwell | 6-1-1 | +1.00 | -1.25 |
| A J Martin | 6-1-2 | -1.00 | -0.62 |
Kerry National Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Kerry National over the last 20 renewals is Danny Mullins, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Faltering Fullback (2012), Spanish Harlem (2025) and Ballygunner Castle (2026). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Kerry National is Ms L O'Neill (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Kerry National; Mark Walsh has ridden 15 runners in the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Kerry National jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Mullins | 11-3-5 | +52.00 | +37.51 |
| Ms L O'Neill | 3-2-2 | +14.00 | +8.38 |
| Paul Townend | 18-1-6 | -11.00 | -2.25 |
| J J Slevin | 7-1-2 | +0.50 | +3.56 |
| Ricky Doyle | 5-1-2 | +7.00 | +5.88 |
| Keith Donoghue | 4-1-1 | +3.00 | +0.75 |
| Jonathan Moore | 3-1-2 | +4.00 | +4.25 |
| Shane Fitzgerald | 2-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.63 |
| Mark Walsh | 15-0-3 | -15.00 | -7.19 |
| Darragh O'Keeffe | 8-0-3 | -8.00 | -1.31 |
2027 Kerry National Trends
Favourites' finishing positions (oldest to latest): (3, 6), PU, 1, 2, 2, PU, 7, 3, F, PU, (5, 7), 3, 9, 3, UR, UR, 2, 6, F, 3
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Furthest Placed 2m4f - 3m1f
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Ran in 5 - 14 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Fewer than 5 races (Class)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Fewer than 2 placings (Class)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Off a break of 3 - 108 days
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Furthest ran 2m6f - 4m
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 1 - 8 placings (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran over 1m2f - 2m4f (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 73+ (Last 3)
- 19 / 20 (80%) - No more than +3yrs (Vs Min Age)
- 19 / 20 (81%) - No older than a 9yo
- 19 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 136+ (Career)
- 18 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Win)
- 17 / 20 (63%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 17 / 20 (71%) - No bigger than 14/1 (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Listowel racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Kerry National. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Kerry National by adding a tip on the race here.
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2027 Kerry National Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Kerry National will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually made 48 hours before the race.
Kerry National Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +24.50, is when runners had 0 career wins in Handicap races.
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career win in the class; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-61.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Kerry National is Galway; there have been a total of 9 winners of this race who ran at Galway last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Killarney; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Killarney last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 330 runners, while female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 23 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Kerry National:
- Environment Friend (2 Wins)
- Flemensfirth (2 Wins)
- Presenting (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Kerry National despite multiple attempts:
- Beneficial (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Old Vic (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Dr Massini (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Born To Sea (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Kayf Tara (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Faltering Fullback in 2012, winning for E McNamara at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Danny Mullins. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 1 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2027 Kerry National.
Route to the Kerry National
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Kerry National. These are the races in which the recent winners ran before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Ballygunner Castle Galway - 18th of 22 (10/1) | Galway Plate |
| 2025 - Spanish Harlem Punchestown - 1st of 5 (8/15) | Jim Ryan Memorial Novice Chase |
| 2024 - Flooring Porter Killarney - 5th of 7 (11/2) | BoyleSports Handicap Chase |
| 2023 - Desertmore House Kilbeggan - 1st of 13 (9/2) | Follow Kilbeggan On Facebook Handicap Chase |
| 2022 - Busselton Galway - 2nd of 20 (7/2) | Guinness Galway Blazers Handicap Chase |
| 2021 - Assemble Galway - 7th of 22 (14/1) | Galway Plate |
| 2020 - Cabaret Queen Galway - 3rd of 21 (33/1) | Galway Plate |
| 2019 - Poker Party Galway - UR of 22 (12/1) | Galway Plate |
| 2018 - Snow Falcon Galway - 4th of 22 (11/1) | Galway Plate |
| 2017 - Potters Point Tramore - 1st of 6 (6/4) | EY Chase |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Kerry National Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
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