You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Lonsdale Cup Preview
One for horses with plenty of stamina, the Lonsdale Cup is a Group 2 race that is run over two miles and fifty-six yards and is open to runners who are aged three or older. The race takes place on day three of the York Ebor Festival in August of each year.
The Doncaster Cup double
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Lonsdale Cup Information:
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated York tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at York Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026 (UKGC Regulated)
How competitive is the Lonsdale Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021, when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Lonsdale Cup, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Lonsdale Cup Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Lonsdale Cup Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Lonsdale Cup races over the last 20 renewals:
- Stradivarius (3:27.06) in 2019
- Coltrane (3:27.92) in 2023
- Quickthorn (3:28.20) in 2022
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Lonsdale Cup next time out, then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +1.90. Ahead of the 2027 Lonsdale Cup, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2007 renewal when Septimus from A P O'Brien under the guidance of Johnny Murtagh, won in a time of 3:38.82, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Stradivarius, trained by John Gosden and ridden by Frankie Dettori set the quickest time of 3:27.06 in the 2019 renewal.
Lonsdale Cup Past Winners
Here are the Lonsdale Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed are the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Lonsdale Cup are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 3:35.52 | Al Nayyir (GB) 8yo 9-5 (5 of 8) 9/1 | William Buick Tom Clover (GB) |
| 2025 3:29.04 | Trawlerman (IRE) 7yo 9-8 (4 of 6) 5/6F | William Buick John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2024 3:28.54 | Vauban (FR) 6yo 9-5 (4 of 9) 11/2 | William Buick W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2023 3:27.92 | Coltrane (IRE) 6yo 9-5 (5 of 7) 11/4 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2022 3:28.20 | Quickthorn (GB) 5yo 9-5 (1 of 6) 9/4 | Tom Marquand Hughie Morrison (GB) |
| 2021 3:30.87 | Stradivarius (IRE) 7yo 9-3 (1 of 4) 4/6F | Frankie Dettori John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2020 3:33.57 | Enbihaar (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (2 of 7) 15/8F | Jim Crowley John Gosden (GB) |
| 2019 3:27.06 | Stradivarius (IRE) 5yo 9-6 (3 of 4) 4/9F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2018 3:29.69 | Stradivarius (IRE) 4yo 9-6 (7 of 9) 4/11F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2017 3:31.06 | Montaly (GB) 6yo 9-3 (4 of 9) 16/1 | P J McDonald Andrew Balding (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Lonsdale Cup have been based:
- GB: 16 winners with an additional 24 placings from 128 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 4 placings from 24 runners
2026 Lonsdale Cup Replay
Lonsdale Cup Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Lonsdale Cup over the last 20 renewals is John Gosden, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Stradivarius (2018 & 2019) and Enbihaar (2020). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Lonsdale Cup are Andrew Balding (2 wins), W P Mullins (2 wins) and John & Thady Gosden (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Lonsdale Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Gosden | 8-3-6 | -2.32 | -0.85 |
| Andrew Balding | 12-2-5 | +8.75 | +5.78 |
| W P Mullins | 11-2-4 | +4.50 | +3.83 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 6-2-5 | -2.50 | -1.05 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 7-1-3 | -2.00 | +0.30 |
| A P O'Brien | 7-1-3 | -4.80 | -1.93 |
| Hughie Morrison | 5-1-1 | -1.75 | -2.59 |
| Tom Clover | 3-1-2 | +7.00 | +7.20 |
| Roger Charlton | 3-1-1 | +2.50 | +0.81 |
| Marcus Tregoning | 3-1-1 | +0.50 | -0.44 |
Lonsdale Cup Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Lonsdale Cup over the last 20 renewals is William Buick, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Times Up (2012), Vauban (2024), Trawlerman (2025) and Al Nayyir (2026).
Here are some of the top Lonsdale Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Buick | 11-4-6 | +19.33 | +11.47 |
| Ryan Moore | 11-1-5 | -7.50 | -3.26 |
| Oisin Murphy | 7-1-3 | -3.25 | -0.44 |
| P J McDonald | 5-1-2 | +12.00 | +6.50 |
| Tom Marquand | 5-1-1 | -1.75 | -2.59 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 3-1-2 | +2.00 | +3.40 |
| James Doyle | 5-0-2 | -5.00 | -2.35 |
| Jamie Spencer | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
| Luke Morris | 4-0-2 | -4.00 | +1.70 |
| Rossa Ryan | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
2027 Lonsdale Cup Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 2, 3, 1, 9, 2, 1, 4, 4, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 5, 1, 4
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Not in a G3/Cl2-5 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Achieved a TS of 55+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 79+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Ran in 1 - 3 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Held an OR of 102+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Furthest ran 1m4f - 2m4f
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Dam is not AUS/USA bred
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in a Cl3/Cl6 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Carried 126 - 141lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran in 2 - 8 races (1 Year)
- 19 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Win)
- 19 / 20 (87%) - No older than a 7yo
- 18 / 20 (66%) - Achieved an RPR of 105+ (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the York racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Lonsdale Cup. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Lonsdale Cup by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2027 Lonsdale Cup Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Lonsdale Cup will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.
Lonsdale Cup Trend Analysis
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career places on the going; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-32.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 5 (4,8) [8 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 4 (1) [6 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 4 (6,1) [9 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 5 (1) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (5) [6 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Lonsdale Cup is Goodwood; there have been a total of 10 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Ascot; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 142 runners, while female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 10 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Lonsdale Cup:
- Sea The Stars (3 Wins)
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
- Halling (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Lonsdale Cup despite multiple attempts:
- Galileo (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Dansili (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Montaly in 2017, winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of P J McDonald. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2027 Lonsdale Cup.
Route to the Lonsdale Cup
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Lonsdale Cup. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Al Nayyir Ascot - 7th of 11 (126/1) | Ascot Gold Cup |
| 2025 - Trawlerman Ascot - 1st of 8 (313/100) | Ascot Gold Cup |
| 2024 - Vauban Curragh - 3rd of 10 (11/8) | Comer Group International Curragh Cup |
| 2023 - Coltrane Goodwood - 3rd of 11 (3/1) | Goodwood Cup |
| 2022 - Quickthorn Longchamp - 1st of 6 (1/1) | Prix Maurice de Nieuil - Prix Radio FG |
| 2021 - Stradivarius Ascot - 4th of 12 (5/6) | Ascot Gold Cup |
| 2020 - Enbihaar Goodwood - 1st of 3 (1/2) | Lillie Langtry Stakes |
| 2019 - Stradivarius Goodwood - 1st of 8 (4/5) | Goodwood Cup |
| 2018 - Stradivarius Goodwood - 1st of 7 (4/5) | Goodwood Cup |
| 2017 - Montaly Sandown - 2nd of 6 (9/2) | Coral Marathon |
Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival
Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Lonsdale Cup. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Ebor Festival, with links to each race blog and information for last year's winners.
Wednesday at the Ebor Festival
The highlight of the opening day of the Ebor Festival is the Juddmonte International, a Group 1 race with a purse of £1.25 million, which is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Ebor HKJC World Pool Handicap | Air Force One (IRE) 5yo - 13/2 | Geoff Oldroyd P J McDonald |
| 14:25 York Acomb Stakes | Haffner (USA) 2yo - 11/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:00 York Great Voltigeur Stakes | Maltese Cross (FR) 3yo - 9/4 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 15:35 York Juddmonte International Stakes | Item (GB) 3yo - 10/1 | Andrew Balding Colin Keane |
| 16:10 York Ebor Stayers Heritage Handicap | Small Fry (IRE) 5yo - 2/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle |
Thursday at the Ebor Festival
The fillies and mares take centre stage on Thursday at the festival in the Yorkshire Oaks, another Group 1 which is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Lowther Stakes | Libertango (IRE) 2yo - 3/1 | George Boughey Billy Loughnane |
| 14:25 York Harrys Half Million By Goffs | Sun Goddess (IRE) 2yo - 1/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:00 York Clipper Handicap | The Lost King (GB) 4yo - 7/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 York Yorkshire Oaks | Kalpana (GB) 5yo - 10/11 | Andrew Balding Colin Keane |
| 16:10 York Galtres Stakes | Prizeland (GB) 3yo - 11/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 17:20 York Ebor Fillies Heritage Handicap | Machadadorp (GB) 3yo - 9/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
Friday at the Ebor Festival
The British Champion Series race for Friday at the Ebor Festival is the 500k Nunthorpe over the sprint distance of five furlongs. The Lonsdale Cup is also part of the British Champion Series on Friday.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Ebor Mile Heritage Handicap | Blue Courvoisier (GB) 3yo - 13/2 | Clive Cox Rossa Ryan |
| 14:25 York Lonsdale Cup | Al Nayyir (GB) 8yo - 9/1 | Tom Clover William Buick |
| 15:00 York Gimcrack Stakes | Arapaho Gold (IRE) 2yo - 2/1 | Michael Dods Connor Beasley |
| 15:35 York Nunthorpe Stakes | Bacio (USA) 3yo - 3/1 | Wesley A Ward Juan J Hernandez |
| 16:10 York Ebor Middle Distance Heritage Handicap | Plage De Havre (GB) 5yo - 11/2 | Andrew Balding P J McDonald |
Saturday at the Ebor Festival
The highlight on the final day of the Ebor Festival is the Ebor Handicap itself, a stamina-testing class two handicap which carries a purse of 500k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Strensall Stakes | Archivist (GB) 4yo - 9/1 | Hamad Al Jehani Callum Rodriguez |
| 14:25 York Melrose Heritage Handicap | Infraad (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 15:00 York City of York Stakes | Notable Speech (GB) 5yo - 9/4 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 15:35 York Ebor Handicap | Daiquiri Bay (GB) 4yo - 10/1 | Alan King Rossa Ryan |
| 16:45 York Roses Stakes | Sale Shark (IRE) 2yo - 17/2 | Hugo Palmer Oisin Murphy |
| 17:20 York Ebor Finale Heritage Handicap | Raammee (GB) 4yo - 13/8 | Roger Varian Ray Dawson |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Lonsdale Cup Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Content Editor
Andy Powell
Content Editor
Other Principal Races at York Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the York racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in May (Dante Festival)
- Churchill Tyres Handicap
- Jorvik Stakes
- Minster Stakes
- Musidora Stakes
- Dante Stakes
- Hambleton Stakes
- Lindum York Handicap
- Middleton Stakes
- Westow Stakes
- Macmillan Charity Handicap
- Marygate Fillies Stakes
- Michael Seely Memorial Fillies Stakes
- Yorkshire Cup
