You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Lowther Stakes Preview
The Lowther Stakes features on the second day of the York Ebor Festival, which takes place in August of each year. This Group 2 is open to two-year-old fillies only and is run over a trip of six furlongs. Established in 1946, it's a race in which the leading contenders are worth watching if they head to the Cheveley Park Stakes at Newmarket.
The Cheveley Park pathway — with a warning
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Lowther Stakes Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at York, then head over to the York tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at York Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026 (UKGC Regulated)
How competitive is the Lowther Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2017, when the race had an over-round of 113%. The race in 2026 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 133%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Lowther Stakes, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Lowther Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Lowther Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Lowther Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Tiggy Wiggy (1:08.90) in 2014
- Lady Of The Desert (1:09.34) in 2009
- Queen Kindly (1:09.84) in 2016
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Lowther Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -1.00. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2027 Lowther Stakes.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:08.90 was set by Tiggy Wiggy in 2014, trained by Richard Hannon and ridden by Richard Hughes, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2026 when Libertango won in a time of 1:13.66 for trainer George Boughey, who booked Billy Loughnane in the saddle.
Lowther Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Lowther Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed are the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Lowther Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 1:13.66 | Libertango (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (15 of 17) 3/1 | Billy Loughnane George Boughey (GB) |
| 2025 1:11.27 | Royal Fixation (GB) 2yo 9-2 (11 of 11) 5/2F | William Buick Ed Walker (GB) |
| 2024 1:10.77 | Celandine (GB) 2yo 9-2 (4 of 9) 13/2 | Tom Marquand Ed Walker (GB) |
| 2023 1:10.89 | Relief Rally (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (7 of 8) 2/1F | Tom Marquand William Haggas (GB) |
| 2022 1:10.80 | Swingalong (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (14 of 13) 25/1 | Clifford Lee K R Burke (GB) |
| 2021 1:10.46 | Zain Claudette (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (7 of 10) 6/1 | Ray Dawson Ismail Mohammed (GB) |
| 2020 1:10.71 | Miss Amulet (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (8 of 14) 15/2 | James Doyle K J Condon (IRE) |
| 2019 1:10.74 | Living In The Past (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (1 of 10) 12/1 | Daniel Tudhope K R Burke (GB) |
| 2018 1:11.23 | Fairyland (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (2 of 9) 6/4F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2017 1:12.48 | Threading (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (7 of 9) 9/2 | James Doyle Mark Johnston (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Lowther Stakes have been based:
- GB: 18 winners with an additional 31 placings from 175 runners
- IRE: 2 winners with an additional 7 placings from 23 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
- USA: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
2026 Lowther Stakes Replay
Lowther Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Lowther Stakes over the last 20 renewals is William Haggas, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Rosdhu Queen (2012), Besharah (2015) and Relief Rally (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Lowther Stakes are K R Burke (2 wins) and Ed Walker (2 wins). One trainer has not had the best of times in the Lowther Stakes; Kevin Ryan has sent a total of 12 runners to the race without recording a win.
Here are some of the top Lowther Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Haggas | 7-3-4 | +5.25 | +2.24 |
| K R Burke | 14-2-3 | +25.00 | +11.00 |
| Ed Walker | 3-2-2 | +8.00 | +4.40 |
| A P O'Brien | 9-1-3 | -6.50 | -4.95 |
| Richard Fahey | 7-1-2 | -1.50 | -2.05 |
| Brian Meehan | 6-1-1 | -3.37 | -4.02 |
| K J Condon | 3-1-2 | +5.50 | +5.50 |
| Richard Hannon | 3-1-1 | -0.12 | -0.87 |
| Ismail Mohammed | 2-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.60 |
| George Boughey | 2-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.50 |
Lowther Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are multiple leading jockeys in the Lowther Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with Jamie Spencer, James Doyle, and Tom Marquand having all won the race twice. Jamie Spencer's winners have been with Nahoodh (2007) and Queen Kindly (2016). James Doyle's winners have been with Threading (2017) and Miss Amulet (2020). Tom Marquand winners have been with Relief Rally (2023) and Celandine (2024).
Here are some of the top Lowther Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Spencer | 9-2-5 | +5.00 | +4.15 |
| James Doyle | 5-2-3 | +9.00 | +5.00 |
| Tom Marquand | 5-2-3 | +5.50 | +2.79 |
| Ryan Moore | 13-1-4 | -10.50 | -8.51 |
| William Buick | 9-1-2 | -5.50 | -5.78 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 7-1-2 | +6.00 | +3.30 |
| Clifford Lee | 5-1-1 | +21.00 | +11.00 |
| Tom Queally | 3-1-1 | +0.50 | -0.50 |
| Ray Dawson | 2-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.60 |
| Billy Loughnane | 2-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.50 |
2027 Lowther Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): DSQ, 6, 1, 4, 7, PU, (1, 7), 1, 2, 3, 9, 1, 2, 2, 2, 5, 1, 4, (1, 2), 2
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (62%) - Achieved an RPR of 91+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Within the first 8 of the market
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved a TS of 55+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not on HY/GS/FM/STD-SLW/FS (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Break of 6 - 78 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 33/1 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Furthest ran 5f - 6f
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Highest Run is not G1/Cl3/Cl5
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Highest Placed is not G1/Cl3
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 73+ (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (77%) - Break of 6 - 89 days (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (82%) - Not in FRA/SCO/USA/WAL (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career Win)
- 19 / 20 (86%) - In a field of 5 - 25 (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the York racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Lowther Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Lowther Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2027 Lowther Stakes Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Lowther Stakes will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.
Lowther Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +45.13, is when runners had 3 career starts in Flat (Turf) races.
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners' last place was 2 starts ago; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-40.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 15 (6,14) [17 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 11 (4,1) [11 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 4 (5,8) [9 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 7 (4,1) [8 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 14 (12,6) [13 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Lowther Stakes is Ascot; there have been a total of 7 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Newbury; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Lowther Stakes:
- Kodiac (4 Wins)
- Exceed And Excel (3 Wins)
- Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
- No Nay Never (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Lowther Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Havana Grey (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Oasis Dream (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Acclamation (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Dark Angel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Mehmas (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Swingalong in 2022, winning for K R Burke at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Clifford Lee. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2027 Lowther Stakes.
Route to the Lowther Stakes
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Lowther Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Libertango Newmarket (July) - 2nd of 8 (10/11) | Duchess of Cambridge Stakes |
| 2025 - Royal Fixation Newmarket (July) - 2nd of 6 (14/1) | Duchess of Cambridge Stakes |
| 2024 - Celandine Goodwood - 4th of 15 (11/2) | Molecomb Stakes |
| 2023 - Relief Rally Newbury - 1st of 20 (1/1) | Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes |
| 2022 - Swingalong Ripon - 1st of 11 (7/4) | Longines Irish Champions Weekend 10-11 September EBF Fillies Novice Stakes |
| 2021 - Zain Claudette Ascot - 1st of 10 (15/2) | Princess Margaret Keeneland Stakes |
| 2020 - Miss Amulet Naas - 1st of 7 (12/1) | ARQANA Irish EBF Marwell Stakes |
| 2019 - Living In The Past Ascot - 3rd of 9 (12/1) | Princess Margaret Keeneland Stakes |
| 2018 - Fairyland Ascot - 3rd of 18 (5/2) | Albany Stakes |
| 2017 - Threading Goodwood - 1st of 15 (12/1) | Markel Insurance Maiden Fillies Stakes |
Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival
Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Lowther Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Ebor Festival, with links to each race blog and information for last year's winners.
Wednesday at the Ebor Festival
The highlight of the opening day of the Ebor Festival is the Juddmonte International, a Group 1 race with a purse of £1.25 million, which is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Ebor HKJC World Pool Handicap | Air Force One (IRE) 5yo - 13/2 | Geoff Oldroyd P J McDonald |
| 14:25 York Acomb Stakes | Haffner (USA) 2yo - 11/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:00 York Great Voltigeur Stakes | Maltese Cross (FR) 3yo - 9/4 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 15:35 York Juddmonte International Stakes | Item (GB) 3yo - 10/1 | Andrew Balding Colin Keane |
| 16:10 York Ebor Stayers Heritage Handicap | Small Fry (IRE) 5yo - 2/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle |
Thursday at the Ebor Festival
The fillies and mares take centre stage on Thursday at the festival in the Yorkshire Oaks, another Group 1 which is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Lowther Stakes | Libertango (IRE) 2yo - 3/1 | George Boughey Billy Loughnane |
| 14:25 York Harrys Half Million By Goffs | Sun Goddess (IRE) 2yo - 1/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:00 York Clipper Handicap | The Lost King (GB) 4yo - 7/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 York Yorkshire Oaks | Kalpana (GB) 5yo - 10/11 | Andrew Balding Colin Keane |
| 16:10 York Galtres Stakes | Prizeland (GB) 3yo - 11/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 17:20 York Ebor Fillies Heritage Handicap | Machadadorp (GB) 3yo - 9/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
Friday at the Ebor Festival
The British Champion Series race for Friday at the Ebor Festival is the 500k Nunthorpe over the sprint distance of five furlongs. The Lonsdale Cup is also part of the British Champion Series on Friday.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Ebor Mile Heritage Handicap | Blue Courvoisier (GB) 3yo - 13/2 | Clive Cox Rossa Ryan |
| 14:25 York Lonsdale Cup | Al Nayyir (GB) 8yo - 9/1 | Tom Clover William Buick |
| 15:00 York Gimcrack Stakes | Arapaho Gold (IRE) 2yo - 2/1 | Michael Dods Connor Beasley |
| 15:35 York Nunthorpe Stakes | Bacio (USA) 3yo - 3/1 | Wesley A Ward Juan J Hernandez |
| 16:10 York Ebor Middle Distance Heritage Handicap | Plage De Havre (GB) 5yo - 11/2 | Andrew Balding P J McDonald |
Saturday at the Ebor Festival
The highlight on the final day of the Ebor Festival is the Ebor Handicap itself, a stamina-testing class two handicap which carries a purse of 500k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Strensall Stakes | Archivist (GB) 4yo - 9/1 | Hamad Al Jehani Callum Rodriguez |
| 14:25 York Melrose Heritage Handicap | Infraad (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 15:00 York City of York Stakes | Notable Speech (GB) 5yo - 9/4 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 15:35 York Ebor Handicap | Daiquiri Bay (GB) 4yo - 10/1 | Alan King Rossa Ryan |
| 16:45 York Roses Stakes | Sale Shark (IRE) 2yo - 17/2 | Hugo Palmer Oisin Murphy |
| 17:20 York Ebor Finale Heritage Handicap | Raammee (GB) 4yo - 13/8 | Roger Varian Ray Dawson |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Lowther Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Content Editor
Andy Powell
Content Editor
Other Principal Races at York Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the York racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in May (Dante Festival)
- Churchill Tyres Handicap
- Jorvik Stakes
- Minster Stakes
- Musidora Stakes
- Dante Stakes
- Hambleton Stakes
- Lindum York Handicap
- Middleton Stakes
- Westow Stakes
- Macmillan Charity Handicap
- Marygate Fillies Stakes
- Michael Seely Memorial Fillies Stakes
- Yorkshire Cup
