You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Middle Park Stakes Preview
Established in 1866, the Group 1 Middle Park Stakes is scheduled to take place in late September or early October of each year at the Newmarket racecourse. The race takes place on the final day of the Cambridgeshire meeting, the race before the big race itself. The race is open to two-year-old colts and is run over a straight six furlongs.
Use your notebook to note any smart performers in the race for future reference for the following year's 2,000 Guineas, as some leading contenders from this race have gone on to perform in the Guineas.
Deauville the Dominant Feeder
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Middle Park Stakes Information:
- Middle Park Stakes Past Winners
- Middle Park Stakes Trainer Statistics
- Middle Park Stakes Jockey Statistics
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Newmarket tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Cambridgeshire Meeting section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026 (UKGC Regulated)
How competitive is the Middle Park Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2014, when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Middle Park Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Middle Park Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Middle Park Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Middle Park Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Earthlight (1:09.31) in 2019
- Bushranger (1:09.56) in 2008
- Supremacy (1:09.73) in 2020
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Middle Park Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -3.35. Before placing your bet on the 2027 Middle Park Stakes, see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Earthlight, trained by A Fabre and ridden by Mickael Barzalona, who set the fastest winning time in the Middle Park Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 1:09.31 in 2019. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer David Simcock and jockey William Buick with Dream Ahead who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 1:14.28 in the 2010 renewal.
Middle Park Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Middle Park Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed are the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Middle Park Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 1:09.96 | Orthodox (GB) 2yo 9-2 (7 of 7) 7/2 | Rossa Ryan Clive Cox (GB) |
| 2025 1:11.56 | Wise Approach (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (8 of 9) 11/8F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2024 1:12.29 | Shadow Of Light (GB) 2yo 9-2 (7 of 6) 11/4 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2023 1:10.76 | Vandeek (GB) 2yo 9-2 (3 of 9) 5/4F | James Doyle Simon & Ed Crisford (GB) |
| 2022 1:12.02 | Blackbeard (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (2 of 8) 100/30 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2021 1:11.32 | Perfect Power (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (1 of 10) 11/4F | Christophe Soumillon Richard Fahey (GB) |
| 2020 1:09.73 | Supremacy (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (3 of 8) 13/2 | Adam Kirby Clive Cox (GB) |
| 2019 1:09.31 | Earthlight (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (4 of 8) 11/4F | Mickael Barzalona A Fabre (FR) |
| 2018 1:10.04 | Ten Sovereigns (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (4 of 8) 8/13F | Donnacha O'Brien A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2017 1:12.44 | U S Navy Flag (USA) 2yo 9-0 (11 of 12) 10/1 | Seamie Heffernan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Middle Park Stakes have been based:
- GB: 14 winners with an additional 25 placings from 122 runners
- IRE: 5 winners with an additional 10 placings from 51 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
2026 Middle Park Stakes Replay
Middle Park Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Middle Park Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Crusade (2011), U S Navy Flag (2017), Ten Sovereigns (2018) and Blackbeard (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Middle Park Stakes are Charlie Appleby (3 wins) and Clive Cox (3 wins).
Here are some of the top Middle Park Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 32-4-11 | +10.95 | +5.04 |
| Charlie Appleby | 8-3-4 | +21.13 | +11.91 |
| Clive Cox | 7-3-5 | +8.25 | +6.74 |
| Kevin Ryan | 8-1-2 | +1.00 | -1.20 |
| Richard Fahey | 5-1-2 | -1.25 | +8.15 |
| John Gosden | 4-1-2 | -2.50 | -1.74 |
| A Fabre | 1-1-1 | +2.75 | +1.65 |
| Simon & Ed Crisford | 1-1-1 | +1.25 | +0.75 |
| David Simcock | 1-1-1 | +1.25 | +0.75 |
| Richard Hannon | 8-0-4 | -8.00 | -3.84 |
Middle Park Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Middle Park Stakes over the last 20 renewals is William Buick, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Dream Ahead (2010), Charming Thought (2014), Shadow Of Light (2024) and Wise Approach (2025). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Middle Park Stakes is Seamie Heffernan (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Middle Park Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Buick | 11-4-7 | +20.38 | +14.67 |
| Seamie Heffernan | 5-2-2 | +32.00 | +15.50 |
| Ryan Moore | 15-1-5 | -10.67 | -8.73 |
| Rossa Ryan | 5-1-4 | -0.50 | +1.74 |
| James Doyle | 5-1-3 | -2.75 | +0.75 |
| Neil Callan | 2-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.80 |
| Mickael Barzalona | 1-1-1 | +2.75 | +1.65 |
| Christophe Soumillon | 1-1-1 | +2.75 | +1.65 |
| Gerald Mosse | 1-1-1 | +2.25 | +1.35 |
| Tom Marquand | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -3.90 |
2027 Middle Park Stakes Trends
Favourites' finishing positions (oldest to latest): 8, 1, 4, 1, (5, 10), (1, 2), 8, 2, 1, 2, 5, 1, 1, 2, 1, 5, 1, 2, 1, 5
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (63%) - Achieved a TS of 80+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (69%) - Won within last 2 starts
- 20 / 20 (69%) - Achieved an RPR of 96+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Break of 13 - 98 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Not in a LST/Cl2-3/Cl5 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Achieved an RPR of 101+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Achieved a TS of 67+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Achieved an RPR of 94+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Highest Won is not Cl3/Cl5-6
- 20 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 8/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Achieved a TS of 82+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Off a break of 13 - 58 days
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved a TS of 70+ (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Break of 13 - 98 days (Last Place)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Newmarket racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Middle Park Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Middle Park Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2027 Middle Park Stakes Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Middle Park Stakes will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually made 48 hours before the race.
Middle Park Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +49.58, is when runners had 2 wins in the past 90 days.
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last win was 3 starts ago; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-30.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 7 (3) [7 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 8 (6,5) [9 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 7 (5) [6 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 3 (9,8) [9 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 (5,7) [8 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Middle Park Stakes is Deauville; there have been a total of 10 winners of this race who ran at Deauville last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Middle Park Stakes:
- Havana Grey (2 Wins)
- Mehmas (2 Wins)
- No Nay Never (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Middle Park Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Dark Angel (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Wootton Bassett (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Crusade in 2011, winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Seamie Heffernan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2027 Middle Park Stakes, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Route to the Middle Park Stakes
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Middle Park Stakes. These are the races in which the recent winners ran before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Orthodox Deauville - 6th of 7 (41/10) | Sumbe Prix Morny |
| 2025 - Wise Approach Deauville - 3rd of 6 (39/5) | Sumbe Prix Morny |
| 2024 - Shadow Of Light York - 2nd of 10 (6/1) | Gimcrack Stakes |
| 2023 - Vandeek Deauville - 1st of 9 (27/5) | Sumbe Prix Morny |
| 2022 - Blackbeard Deauville - 1st of 5 (23/10) | Darley Prix Morny - Finale des Darley Series |
| 2021 - Perfect Power Deauville - 1st of 14 (24/5) | Darley Prix Morny - Finale des Darley Series |
| 2020 - Supremacy Goodwood - 1st of 7 (11/2) | Richmond Stakes |
| 2019 - Earthlight Deauville - 1st of 8 (12/5) | Darley Prix Morny - Finale des Darley Series |
| 2018 - Ten Sovereigns Curragh - 1st of 8 (1/3) | John Sisk & Son Round Tower Stakes |
| 2017 - U S Navy Flag Curragh - 1st of 8 (5/4) | Plusvital Round Tower Stakes |
Other Principal races during the Cambridgeshire Meeting
Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Middle Park Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Cambridgeshire Meeting, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Thursday at the Cambridgeshire Meeting
The highlight on the opening day of the three-day Cambridgeshire meeting is the Group 3 Tattersalls Stakes, a seven-furlong race for two-year-old runners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Tattersall Stakes | Fuel The Jet (IRE) 2yo - 13/2 | Tom Clover Neil Callan |
| Jockey Club Rose Bowl | Gregory (GB) 6yo - 4/7 | John & Thady Gosden James Doyle |
Friday at the Cambridgeshire Meeting
Day two of the Cambridgeshire is a step up from the opening day, with five class one races, the highlight being the Group 2 Joel Stakes contested over a mile. We also have the two-year-old race, the Rockfel Stakes, a Group 2 over seven furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Rosemary Stakes | Alobayyah (GB) 4yo - 100/30 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| Princess Royal Stakes | Coedana (IRE) 4yo - 100/30 | Edward Bethell Connor Beasley |
| Rockfel Stakes | Pensando A Te (GB) 2yo - 15/2 | Marco Botti Silvestre De Sousa |
| Joel Stakes | Talk Of New York (GB) 3yo - 4/9 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| Godolphin Stakes | Fortitudine (IRE) 3yo - 15/8 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Saturday at the Cambridgeshire Meeting
The Cambridgeshire Handicap is the highlight on the third and final day; it's a race which spans two counties! It starts in Cambridgeshire and ends in Suffolk! There are also a couple of valuable Group 1s on the final day with the Cheverley Park Stakes and the Middle Park Stakes.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery | Al Samsama (IRE) 2yo - 9/2 | Richard Hughes Billy Loughnane |
| Royal Lodge Stakes | Haffner (USA) 2yo - 7/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| Cheveley Park Stakes | Sun Goddess (IRE) 2yo - 5/6 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| Middle Park Stakes | Orthodox (GB) 2yo - 7/2 | Clive Cox Rossa Ryan |
| Cambridgeshire Handicap | Pierre Royal (IRE) 4yo - 33/1 | Adrian McGuinness Mikey Sheehy |
| Cambridgeshire Meeting Sprint Handicap | Sword (GB) 5yo - 20/1 | Stuart Williams Olivia Haines |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Middle Park Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
About the author
About the author and editor
