🐎 2027 Nunthorpe Stakes: Preview, Tips & Trends

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2027 Nunthorpe Stakes Preview

The feature race on day three of the York Ebor Festival in August is the Group 1 Nunthorpe Stakes. The race is one of the very few that is open to runners aged two or older, and it is run over five furlongs.

Established in 1922 and named after an area of York, the race acts as part of the Breeders' Cup Challenge, where the winner of the race gets an automatic spot in the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint.

Follow the King George Stakes form

The Nunthorpe's key trial is the King George Stakes at Glorious Goodwood, the five-furlong Group 2 run at the same trip. Seven of the last twenty winners came to York straight out of that race, part of nine who had their final prep at Goodwood, making it comfortably the most productive starting point. So a strong effort in the King George is the standout pointer among the speedsters, and this sharp five-furlong dash is often best approached through proven Goodwood form ahead of the next renewal.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated York tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at York Racecourse section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Nunthorpe Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021, when the race had an over-round of 118%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Nunthorpe Stakes, the over-round has been 123%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £123 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2027 Nunthorpe Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Nunthorpe Stakes Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Nunthorpe Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:

Battaash (55.90) in 2019
Borderlescott (56.09) in 2008
Meccas Angel (56.24) in 2016

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Nunthorpe Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -13.75. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Nunthorpe Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2026 renewal when Bacio from Wesley A Ward under the guidance of Juan J Hernandez, won in a time of 59.42, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Battaash, trained by Charles Hills and ridden by Jim Crowley set the quickest time of 55.90 in the 2019 renewal.

Nunthorpe Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Nunthorpe Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed are the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Nunthorpe Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

Year	Horse (Drawn)	Info
2026 59.42	Bacio (USA) 3yo 9-13 (5 of 18) 3/1F	Juan J Hernandez Wesley A Ward (USA)
2025 57.38	Asfoora (AUS) 7yo 9-12 (5 of 17) 11/1	Oisin Murphy Henry Dwyer (AUS)
2024 57.34	Bradsell (GB) 4yo 9-13 (3 of 12) 3/1	Hollie Doyle Archie Watson (GB)
2023 56.87	Live In The Dream (IRE) 4yo 9-13 (4 of 16) 28/1	Sean Kirrane Adam West (GB)
2022 57.18	Highfield Princess (FR) 5yo 9-12 (14 of 13) 5/1	Jason Hart John Quinn (GB)
2021 56.72	Winter Power (IRE) 3yo 9-6 (6 of 14) 9/1	Silvestre De Sousa Tim Easterby (GB)
2020 57.38	Battaash (IRE) 6yo 9-11 (3 of 8) 1/2F	Jim Crowley Charles Hills (GB)
2019 55.90	Battaash (IRE) 5yo 9-11 (1 of 11) 7/4	Jim Crowley Charles Hills (GB)
2018 57.18	Alpha Delphini (GB) 7yo 9-11 (7 of 15) 40/1	Graham Lee Bryan Smart (GB)
2017 57.97	Marsha (IRE) 4yo 9-8 (8 of 11) 8/1	Luke Morris Sir Mark Prescott Bt (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Nunthorpe Stakes have been based:

GB: 15 winners with an additional 31 placings from 239 runners
IRE: 2 winners with an additional 5 placings from 33 runners
AUS: 2 winners with an additional 0 placings from 7 runners
USA: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 5 runners
FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 6 runners
SAF: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 4 runners
CZE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

2026 Nunthorpe Stakes Replay

Nunthorpe Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Nunthorpe Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with Charles Hills, Michael Dods, and Edward Lynam having all won the race twice. Charles Hills' winners have been with Battaash (2019 & 2020). Michael Dods' winners have been with Meccas Angel (2015 & 2016). Edward Lynam's winners have been with Sole Power (2010 & 2014). Two trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Nunthorpe Stakes. Kevin Ryan has sent a total of 26 runners to the race without recording any wins, whilst A P O'Brien has sent out 14 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Nunthorpe Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer	R-W-P	Win	EW
Charles Hills	13-2-3	-8.75	-4.15
Michael Dods	9-2-4	+5.00	+3.60
Edward Lynam	7-2-3	+97.75	+57.15
Robert Cowell	14-1-3	+27.00	+9.20
Bryan Smart	11-1-1	+30.00	+14.00
Tim Easterby	10-1-4	+0.00	+0.70
Archie Watson	5-1-4	-1.00	+1.70
Michael Bell	4-1-1	+17.00	+9.00
John Best	4-1-2	+9.00	+3.90
John Quinn	4-1-2	+2.00	+0.50

Nunthorpe Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Nunthorpe Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Paul Mulrennan, who has won the race twice, with those two winners coming from Meccas Angel (2015 & 2016). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Nunthorpe Stakes; Ryan Moore has ridden 14 runners in the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Nunthorpe Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey	R-W-P	Win	EW
Paul Mulrennan	10-2-3	+4.00	+0.70
William Buick	13-1-2	-8.50	-9.40
Oisin Murphy	9-1-2	+3.00	-1.60
Wayne Lordan	7-1-2	+94.00	+57.00
Silvestre De Sousa	7-1-2	+3.00	+4.90
Neil Callan	6-1-1	+4.00	-0.50
Jason Hart	6-1-2	+0.00	-1.50
Hollie Doyle	5-1-3	-1.00	-0.75
Hayley Turner	3-1-1	+18.00	+10.00
Jimmy Quinn	3-1-1	+10.00	+4.00

2027 Nunthorpe Stakes Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 4, 6, 2, 6, (1, 6), 2, 1, 2, 2, 2, 4, 6, 1, 4, 6, 2, 4, 11, 1

The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.

20 / 20 (77%) - Won within last 5 starts
20 / 20 (84%) - Break of 12 - 139 days (Last Place)
20 / 20 (85%) - Had 1 - 5 placings (Season)
20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 96+ (Career)
20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved a TS of 86+ (Last 3)
20 / 20 (86%) - Within the first 13 of the market
20 / 20 (88%) - Ran in 1 - 6 races (180 Days)
20 / 20 (88%) - Fewer than 5 races (Course)
20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 104+ (Last 3)
20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
20 / 20 (89%) - Ran in 1 - 7 races (Season)
19 / 20 (70%) - Break of 12 - 312 days (Last Win)
19 / 20 (75%) - Highest Won is not G2/Cl3-5
19 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 40/1
19 / 20 (83%) - Carried 120 - 133lbs (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the York racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Nunthorpe Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Nunthorpe Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

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2027 Nunthorpe Stakes Runners & Shortlist

The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Nunthorpe Stakes will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.

Nunthorpe Stakes Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +167.00, is when runners had 0 career wins over further.

❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class won of Class 1 (G2); when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-61.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

2026: Winner in 5 (10,8) [18 Runners]
2025: Winner in 5 (3,6) [17 Runners]
2024: Winner in 3 (13,7) [12 Runners]
2023: Winner in 4 (6,9) [16 Runners]
2022: Winner in 14 (13,11) [13 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Nunthorpe Stakes is Goodwood; there have been a total of 9 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Deauville; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Deauville last time out.

The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 11 winners from a total of 214 runners, while female runners have produced 9 winners from a total of 81 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Nunthorpe Stakes:

Dark Angel (4 Wins)
Compton Place (2 Wins)
Kyllachy (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Nunthorpe Stakes despite multiple attempts:

Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 13 runners)
No Nay Never (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Bertolini (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Mehmas (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Shamardal (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Sole Power in 2010, winning for Edward Lynam at odds of 100/1 under the guidance of Wayne Lordan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2027 Nunthorpe Stakes.

Route to the Nunthorpe Stakes

Many trainers target races as preparation for the Nunthorpe Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

Info	Last Race
2026 - Bacio Ascot - 1st of 27 (3/1)	Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes
2025 - Asfoora Goodwood - 7th of 12 (4/1)	King George Stakes
2024 - Bradsell Deauville - 1st of 12 (31/10)	Prix du Cercle - Prix Hipodromo de la Gavea
2023 - Live In The Dream Deauville - 4th of 11 (7/5)	Prix du Cercle - Prix Dr Ignacio Pavlovsky Padre
2022 - Highfield Princess Deauville - 1st of 14 (173/10)	Prix Maurice de Gheest
2021 - Winter Power York - 1st of 10 (9/4)	John Smiths City Walls Stakes
2020 - Battaash Goodwood - 1st of 7 (2/7)	King George Stakes
2019 - Battaash Goodwood - 1st of 9 (1/4)	King George Stakes
2018 - Alpha Delphini York - 2nd of 8 (5/1)	John Smiths City Walls Stakes
2017 - Marsha Goodwood - 3rd of 11 (9/2)	King George Stakes

Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival

Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Nunthorpe Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Ebor Festival, with links to each race blog and information for last year's winners.

Wednesday at the Ebor Festival

The highlight of the opening day of the Ebor Festival is the Juddmonte International, a Group 1 race with a purse of £1.25 million, which is part of the British Champion Series.

Race	Last Winner	Info
13:50 York Ebor HKJC World Pool Handicap	Air Force One (IRE) 5yo - 13/2	Geoff Oldroyd P J McDonald
14:25 York Acomb Stakes	Haffner (USA) 2yo - 11/8	A P O'Brien Ryan Moore
15:00 York Great Voltigeur Stakes	Maltese Cross (FR) 3yo - 9/4	William Haggas Tom Marquand
15:35 York Juddmonte International Stakes	Item (GB) 3yo - 10/1	Andrew Balding Colin Keane
16:10 York Ebor Stayers Heritage Handicap	Small Fry (IRE) 5yo - 2/1	Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle

Thursday at the Ebor Festival

The fillies and mares take centre stage on Thursday at the festival in the Yorkshire Oaks, another Group 1 which is part of the British Champion Series.

Race	Last Winner	Info
13:50 York Lowther Stakes	Libertango (IRE) 2yo - 3/1	George Boughey Billy Loughnane
14:25 York Harrys Half Million By Goffs	Sun Goddess (IRE) 2yo - 1/1	A P O'Brien Ryan Moore
15:00 York Clipper Handicap	The Lost King (GB) 4yo - 7/1	Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy
15:35 York Yorkshire Oaks	Kalpana (GB) 5yo - 10/11	Andrew Balding Colin Keane
16:10 York Galtres Stakes	Prizeland (GB) 3yo - 11/1	Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy
17:20 York Ebor Fillies Heritage Handicap	Machadadorp (GB) 3yo - 9/1	Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy

Friday at the Ebor Festival

The British Champion Series race for Friday at the Ebor Festival is the 500k Nunthorpe over the sprint distance of five furlongs. The Lonsdale Cup is also part of the British Champion Series on Friday.

Race	Last Winner	Info
13:50 York Ebor Mile Heritage Handicap	Blue Courvoisier (GB) 3yo - 13/2	Clive Cox Rossa Ryan
14:25 York Lonsdale Cup	Al Nayyir (GB) 8yo - 9/1	Tom Clover William Buick
15:00 York Gimcrack Stakes	Arapaho Gold (IRE) 2yo - 2/1	Michael Dods Connor Beasley
15:35 York Nunthorpe Stakes	Bacio (USA) 3yo - 3/1	Wesley A Ward Juan J Hernandez
16:10 York Ebor Middle Distance Heritage Handicap	Plage De Havre (GB) 5yo - 11/2	Andrew Balding P J McDonald

Saturday at the Ebor Festival

The highlight on the final day of the Ebor Festival is the Ebor Handicap itself, a stamina-testing class two handicap which carries a purse of 500k.

Race	Last Winner	Info
13:50 York Strensall Stakes	Archivist (GB) 4yo - 9/1	Hamad Al Jehani Callum Rodriguez
14:25 York Melrose Heritage Handicap	Infraad (IRE) 3yo - 100/30	William Haggas Tom Marquand
15:00 York City of York Stakes	Notable Speech (GB) 5yo - 9/4	Charlie Appleby William Buick
15:35 York Ebor Handicap	Daiquiri Bay (GB) 4yo - 10/1	Alan King Rossa Ryan
16:45 York Roses Stakes	Sale Shark (IRE) 2yo - 17/2	Hugo Palmer Oisin Murphy
17:20 York Ebor Finale Heritage Handicap	Raammee (GB) 4yo - 13/8	Roger Varian Ray Dawson

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Nunthorpe Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.

James Banting

Content Editor

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.

Andy Powell